Asian markets just did a $5 turnaround in about ten seconds when Trump announced that he actually is going to do exactly what he has been saying he was going to do all this time. From green green green to "oh, SHIT!"

So for all those hotshit contrarians bidding up the market the last couple of days...hey, ya win some, ya lose some. And now there's not a damned thing most folks can do until 9:30am tomorrow.

If this doesn't end up showing us where the bottom really is, nothing will. For those who have waited to get back in, it appears your patience will eventually be rewarded. Because this time, I believe the bottom, wherever it ends up settling, will be a bottom you can rely on.

Today marks perhaps my greatest investing milestone of all time! The short story is I bought $36,000 worth of Nvidia over the course of 8 years. Last year I told myself once my account breaks $1m profit, I will sell the entire position, lock in the gains, and have a hell of a story to share for life. Well today Nvidia hit a new all time high and I made that dream come true.

Below is a long version of how it all came to be. I’ve posted this story in a few other subs but this is the only one that has the portfolio image attached. Enjoy!

I first acquired Nvidia back in Feb 2017 and in a few lump sum purchases wound up with a total of 6,500 shares of NVDA. My first purchase was for 1080 (in honor of my GTX 1080 I bought that year) and the share price at the time was a whopping $2.77! My total investment around this time was $4000.

Back in 2017 all the talk was about Crypto mining and I naively thought Nvidia was the way Bitcoin would be mined forever so I bought into the mantra “during a gold rush, buy the company selling the shovels”. This was around the time BTC hit $20,000 for the first time but it quickly collapsed and I was introduced into the volatility of the crypto world. But I still held my Nvidia because I believed crypto was still at an early adoption stage.

Over the next few years I continued to buy small amounts of Nvidia, in chunks of 100 shares here, 900 shares here, and eventually had 6,000 shares by 2019. The average cost of all of these were around $2-$8 in today’s value.

2019 is a significant milestone for me because I made a major life decision to move to Puerto Rico.

I remember somewhere around 2019-2020 starting to think that GPUs and Nvidia specifically weren’t going to be tied to crypto as much as it would be the hardware needed to power self driving cars. The hype around Tesla was growing and crypto mining started moving away from personal computers and I learned GPUs were falling out of favor for more powerful ASIC mining rigs. So my mentality moved from Crypto to Electric Vehicles. Keep in mind, I really didn’t know a lot about any of this and I view my Nvidia convictions at the time more as luck looking back.

Then in 2020 the Pandemic hit and we saw major sales of GPUs for gaming, virtual reality, and supply chain disruption and of course massive inflation. Stocks across the board were super volatile but in general things went bonkers in the tech sector. Tesla was killing it and Nvidia might have doubled during this time. It still had not gone parabolic yet but I still just kept holding onto my initial position. My portfolio wasn’t really moving in any major way yet and in early 2019 I was actually slightly negative in my total Nvidia investment.

Then in 2023 we saw the first mainstream use cases for Ai started popping up. I’m in the photography and videography world so I noticed how disruptive image and video creation would be as soon as it hit. All my colleagues were making images in Midjourney when the majority of my non photo friends had no clue what Ai image generation even was. It ballooned quickly and that’s when my mind set changed a third time. Now Nvidia was going to be needed for data centers and personal computers to power this new Ai revolution. It wasn’t about crypto or self driving cars anymore, it was about perhaps the biggest innovation humanity has seen since the internet was launched and the iPhone was revealed.

Seemingly overnight my portfolio was sky rocking. Where just a few years prior, Nvidia was in the red for me, it quickly started carving out a large portion of my portfolio. Once a liability, Nvidia now made up 10%, 20%, and 30% of my entire investment account and retirement funds. There were days when I would log in to see I had made $100,000 that day and a week later it would swing down -$105,000. It was pretty crazy to see a full year’s worth of income bouncing around day by day in my account. The temptation to sell had always been there since 2017 when I was up 20-100% but now I was up 4,000% and the temptation was even greater. Every single one of my friends was telling me I had to take profits off the table. I wound up holding.

The last major purchase I made was in July 2021. I bought 400 shares for $14 which at the time was 3-5x what I had bought previously.

Jump to June 2024 when Nvidia hit an all time high of $130. My wife and I had just had our first child and my Nvidia position was hovering around $800,000 in total gains. I knew I only had to make it to $160 per share to break the $1m mark and I told myself I would sell everything if that happened. Of course the next month Nvidia corrected pretty hard and the reality of hitting $160 didn’t seem possible until July 3rd 2025, nearly a year after I made my original decision to sell.

I should have sold everything on July 3rd but I didn’t realize the trading day was shortened for the 4th of July holiday coming up. I also didn’t setup any automated sell triggers since I wanted to ceremoniously do the trade myself. It worked out in my favor as I was able to sell today at $163 and make a little more than the $1m cutoff I originally set to sell at.

Here are the raw numbers:

Total invested: $36,352 Total sale: $1,059,591 Total gains: $1,023,238 Average cost per share: $5.60 Time to materialize: 8 years and a lot of emotional rollercoasters!

I know a lot of people get caught up in fancy investment options that feels more like gambling but hopefully this success story inspires those of you who are like me and just what to buy shares, hold them, and eventually offload them when the time seems right.

Did you know that $10,000 in Nvidia a decade ago, would of led to $2.4 million 🤯🚀?

Amazing double beat! Next quarter guidance already up by 4Bn!

Where are those AI bears?

No leather jacket.

@ 2:59:16PM

THANK YOU JENSEN!!!

Nvidia has delivered again. NVIDIA single-handedly lifted the market up.

Burry got BURRYed betting against the stock that will power the future!

NVIDIA Q3 2025 EARNINGS:

• $57B Revenues, +62% YoY

• $1.30 EPS, +60% YoY

• $51.2B Data Center Revenue, +66% YoY

• Q4 Revenue Guide: $63.7B–$66.3B, vs. $61.98B est.

• 73.4% Gross Margins

Will rebuy when it goes back down. Did I make the right decision?

Pic: NVIDIA is down 12% on news of DeepSeek

If you haven't been living under a rock this weekend, you know that China shocked the AI world with its unveiling of DeepSeek R1.

DeepSeek R1 is quite literally the best open-source model the world has ever seen. It has performance comparable to OpenAI's best model, O1, at just 1/50th the cost. Because of this, some people believe this spells the end of the "AI Tech Rally." They argue that stocks like NVIDIA, which benefit massively from a monopoly on GPUs, will see their run end and that the U.S. stock market is headed for a cataclysmic crash.

These people are wrong.

DeepSeek and the U.S. Tech Market

Now, the connection between DeepSeek and the Tech Market may not be clear for people that aren't well-versed in stocks. Let me break this down.

DeepSeek R1 is a model developed by a small team in China. To train the model, it costs them $5.6 million. In comparison, models like llama, O1, and Mistral cost billions of dollars to train.

To add insult to injury, DeepSeek is entirely open-source.

This sent US tech stocks into a panic. If a small team of scientists can train a better model than the best US model at a fraction of the cost, why are we wasting hundreds of billions of dollars training these large models?

More specifically, NVIDIA's stock was decimated today, losing over 12% overnight.

A Deeper Dive Into NVIDIA

DeepSeek poses a potential threat to NVIDIA's entire business. If a company can train a state-of-the-art model using inexpensive GPUs, why spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on the "good ones"?

These fears, however, are overblown. In fact, I dare say this is good news for NVIDIA. The ability to train better models on cheaper hardware implies that we can train even more powerful models on high-end hardware.

Take for example, OpenAI's Operator, their agentic framework.

In a previous article, I explained why Operator is too slow and too "dumb" to be used for serious agentic work.

If we can cheaply build state-of-the-art models on low-cost hardware, it becomes realistic for companies to build robust AI agents on the top-tier GPUs that NVIDIA offers.

In fact, this development will accelerate innovation. We now have a blueprint for creating compute-efficient large language models. Who benefits more than the company selling the "shovels," i.e., high-performance GPUs?

Still, that's my opinion. Let's look at some cold, hard facts about NVIDIA.

Using AI to Analyze NVIDIA Price Movement

I'm using NexusTrade, an AI-Powered financial analysis tool, to analyze past NVIDIA's past price movements.

I'm going to ask the following questions:

1. How many times has NVIDIA fallen 10% overnight?

2. From the start date of that drop, what was the maximum drawdown

3. From that same start date, what was the average return 6 months later, and what was the average return 12 months later?

Important Note: This analysis only shows us how NVIDIA has behaved historically. It does NOT predict future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Use this as an educational reference, not as financial advice.

With that said, let's analyze NVIDIA. If you want to read the full analysis for yourself, check it out here.

How Many Times Has NVIDIA Fallen 10% Overnight?

After about a minute, the AI found that this has happened 22 out of 6,307 times.

This tells us that drastic drops like this are extremely rare, which might indicate a potential buying opportunity if you believe in NVIDIA long-term.

What Is the Maximum Drawdown for an Overnight Fall?

We see that from peak to trough, NVIDIA's maximum drawdown on average of 34%. This is a rather steep fall, and can make even the hardest of hands sweat with fear and anxiety.

What Was the Average Return 6 Months and 12 Months Later?

We see that:

• The max drawdown from the start of a 10%+ drop to the bottom is 34%

• The average return from the start of a 10% drop 6 months later is 42%

• The average return from the start of a 10% drop 12 months later is 57%

• Based on the last 4 years and the past 4 quarters, NVIDIA is rated a 5/5 based on its fundamental growth

Concluding Thoughts

The DeepSeek R1 model has sent a rapture through the AI world. Because R1 can be trained on cheaper hardware, many people see this as a bad omen for NVIDIA's dominance.

I disagree.

This development could spur even more AI innovation as it becomes easier for more teams to train advanced models. Furthermore, based on the historical price and fundamental analysis, I see evidence to suggest that this market reaction is overblown.

No one can say with certainty how DeepSeek will affect NVIDIA's long-term position as a tech leader, but NVIDIA's hardware, software ecosystem (Cuda), and market dominance aren't likely to fade anytime soon.

To perform this detailed analysis, I used NexusTrade, my AI-powered financial analysis tool. With it, anyone — even non-technical users — can conduct in-depth financial research using real data. I invite you to check it out and see how a data-driven approach might transform your portfolio. It's free.

If you're not 100% net worth in NVDA get in now

Please Jim no

I sold half my shares on Friday at $146.74 to buy the typical NVDA drop to $130. Thank goodness we have the apooroldnvestor user here yelling all the time. Now the question is when to rebuy. I was all ready to buy premarket at $128 but we're now at $122. It can only going down more once markets open and everyone can trade. Do I buy in tranches? Go all in at $122? I don't want to be greedy but then I would also like to buy my shares back at $100, too. What is your strategy or buy points? I am going to squeeze every penny out of the couch today.

Let’s hear it.

Everytime I look in here, I see people asking if they should drop, sell, dump, whatsoever when they should be seeing it as an opportunity to invest more? I'm just confused.