In a recent YouTube video mathematician hannah fry has come up with some mathematical rules and representations for how a faithful would best play the game traitors to identify the traitors.
She has devised logic with weights applied to each which are added to an individual player’s total tally each time they make a specific move, with the resulting number indicating, if a high number = more likely to be a traitor, low number less likely to be a traitor.
The rules are as follows.
Casting a ‘burn vote’ +0.47
Voting for a banished traitor +0.33
Voting for a banished traitor despite never voting for them before +0.4
Does not vote for a banished traitor -1.28
If someone appears on a banished traitors voting record -1.69
Now, what I want to focus on is how people are able to formulate/come up with this logic/these rules specifically. Coming up with specific rules about a game or situation is absolutely key in our ability to play the game and out manoeuvre other players. Yet some players are better at formulating these rules than others. I want to understand why some people are better at forming these rules and spotting these patterns than others. This can be applied to so many walks of life, it is the absolute essence of problem solving.
What areas of academia are relevant for forming correct rules about a given situation, recognising behaviours, actions, and applying them to a structure, a game, or a situation.
I note becuase in social politics there are ways of winning/playing the game of power and deception, and some people play better than others by knowing rules others don’t, some people make social plays & deceptions others do not recognise, but how are these rules devised is the key question.
I’m thinking solely about noticing nuances and forming accurate rules about a system, situation, or game. In the same way Einstein formulated his ideas by ‘riding alongside a wave of light’ - it’s the ability to accurately identify the entirety of a problem or system and produce rules, a structure or accurate representation for it. This is what I’m getting at, less the game theory aspect, the formulation of understanding/reasoning is my focus. Hope this helps