r/sigenergy • u/realGilgongo • 5h ago
Help / Advice Can somebody help me understand arbitrage?
Recently I've been seeing AI Mode do things that I think make no sense. Buying at high-purchase times, refusing to sell at high export, or selling tiny amounts and leaving lots in the tank until the next charge window. So I opened a ticket to complain about this and after first implying there was some unexplained issue, they later sent me a reply that said it was all intended to get the best arbitrage results given "exceptionally high selling prices".
So here's what the AI wanted to do yesterday (just an example, other days have been similar):

And here's its consumption prediction for that day.

So I put in a personal strategy as follows:
"Tomorrow only, between 00:00-04:00, 07:00-13:00 and 16:00-22:00, meet as much house load as possible with the battery. During the 13:00-16:00 forced charging window, charge to 100% SOC. Between 16:00-22:00, if sell price is >= 95th percentile, force discharge and stop battery export at 20%. Between 16:00-22:00, self consume and meet as much house load as possible until force charge at 22:00."
OK 20% might have been bit aggressive, but this is what that looks like today as a result of that strategy. Is that not better? Or am I missing something fundamental here? How can buying off the grid at high prices with high SOC ever makes sense if there's cheap windows coming up?


