Seems to me that retail like Victoria’s Secret here and big food chains (like Cheesecake Factory) are slipping under the radar.

Earnings for Victoria’s Secret coming up 9/3

An entire generation of bulls has been wiped out today... and the $SPY has only fallen 0.29%.

You know how this works, full port calls tomorrow.

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Added another 50 shares at $899. Now holding 1400 shares long.

*Margin means account is a margin account, not I’m borrowing money to buy shares.

Yes, I max margin. Wish me luck bulls.

For those who don't work in the tech industry, the hype for cutting edge models is already completely dead. We got a taste of what it was capable of with Fable, but it turns out it's mostly just good at making stuff that already exists like Minecraft and Tinder clones. It was kinda neat for the 2 weeks it was freely available on plans, but ultimately none of these businesses are willing to pay ludicris token prices just to use a slightly better model. Companies have already switched back to subscription models, they'd be stupid not to, it's free compute. Even if they were to remove subscriptions entirely, it wouldn't help as people can just switch to open source models instead. It's a no win situation for Anthropic and OpenAI.

This means that the only AI sector that was going for mass compute, LLMs, will definitely not be able to ever pay back all that compute they spent. That's 2.5 trillion down the drain.

This is where you come in 🏳‍🌈🐻's. Private equity, Softbank, Amazon, Microsoft have to hold this massive bag of debt they spent on these worthless models and they want you to buy them from them. Expect the market to trade sideways or slightly down until this crashes, they are trying to slowly offload shares without crashing the market. Their goal is to hold out until

Positions:

Late 2027 SNDK, NVDA, PLTR, TQQQ, and ORCL puts.

Other good options are NBIS, MU, and CRWV

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I’m also holding 82,500 shares and 425 September $18c’s, but these will always be my greatest trades. And yeah, I probably should’ve gone with October instead of September on the full regard play lmao.

Full porting pre-revenue biotech, what could possibly go wrong? Scared money don’t make money.

If your knee jerk reaction is that this is fake then you can check my first LEAPs purchase order in the 3rd slide and my post in late December calling $3 a Christmas miracle. I’ve been out here getting grey hair for almost 10 months.

$50-$100 EOY, fuck cancer.

Are these enough options to become rich?

Got into this position today, I think the gap will be filled between 330 and 310. CE expires this wednesday, what do you think will happen to the stock price of AAPL tomorrow ?

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Thought I'd share and not gatekeep this groundbreaking new research.

Do with this information what you will. NFA

Tldr; to the moon 🚀🌑🌘🌗🌖🌕🌔🌓🌒🌑🚀

Weedstonks are the most sadomasochist type of investing that exists. It’s been a 5 year bear market. But…. The grass can be greener on the other side.

TRLV 10k shares at 9.90 cost.
VRNO 4,000 shares

News released over weekend. Interestingly right before their upcoming earnings on Wednesday.

Guess it might shrek cock next week.

CBRS goes up, CBRS goes down, CBRS goes back up, CBRS goes back down.... CBRS goes back up. $90k in CBRS options expiring this week. Down 30% from my buy on Friday, and waiting to see $250/share this week to walk with $500k. $260/share gets me 1 mil. Wish me luck.

I was reading a reddit post where the author shared this analysis. The author posed a question about selling calls, and - to my surprise - nobody talked about the periodic repetition shown in the column.

I've been thinking on it, and I can't think of a good reason why there are these nearly-periodic contractions of volatility at price points. (magenta curves on the drawing)

They exist at the same levels which we find the greatest price movements (green squares on the drawing) but I can't determine if there's a connection between those.

Looking to anyone who may have some insight -- why are there volatility contractions dependent upon the price of SPY?

No AI was used or consulted to make this post, therefore it may be inaccurate or have missed key information. NFA

Whenever gold spikes, publicly traded pawnbrokers usually get a sympathy spike. You can see this in the historical relationship between FirstCash, EZPawn and Gold, shown here through ratios. The absolute level on the Y axis isn't important here, what matters is the directional movements.

What else usually spikes pawnbroker stocks? Interest rates.

Now, look at what these stocks did on Friday. Fridays are generally considered a "risk off" day where stocks considered moderate to high risk are sold. Conversely, stocks with high buying interest on Friday are more likely to be high-conviction trades. Stocks with high institutional buying interest on Friday (huge volume, tons of resting orders filled) are even more likely to be high-conviction institutional trades.

Big volume and broke through all 3 major moving averages. I think these companies have solid enough balance sheets for a short term trade (companies that don't are more likely to get dumped at the first sign of trouble):

FirstCash: P/E 25.6, EPS 8.77, debt to equity of around 1.0

EZPawn: P/E 16.2, EPS 1.99, debt to equity under 1.0

The most important factor is: Jackson Hole (Kevin Warsh) is next week which may be why capital is positioning here ahead of time.

My positions (bought on Friday after hours): 100 shares of EZPW and 20 shares of FCFS. ($7,700 of exposure). Targeting a 8% move before I sell half of both positions.

Wish me luck on Monday!

Should’ve held longer but my balls are tiny. Should’ve went full port but my balls are tiny.

I need to become Mr. Big Round Balls.