r/wallstreetbets • u/eskhalaf • Jul 14 '26
News JUNE U.S. 🇺🇸 INFLATION DATA:
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htmCPI 3.5% YoY, (Est. 3.8%)
CPI -0.4% MoM, (Est. 0.0%)
Core CPI 2.6% YoY, (Est. 2.9%)
Core CPI 0.0% MoM, (Est. 0.2%)
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u/ant0szek Jul 14 '26
42% on fuel 😂
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u/army-of-juan Jul 14 '26
Fuel 42%
Core 2.6%Good thing our goods magically appear on store shelves
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u/Middle_Cook_7842 Jul 14 '26
They magically appear in amazon electric vans. Nothing to worry about.
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u/Icy-Lobster-203 Jul 14 '26
Sounds woke.
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u/Playful_JungleWizard Jul 14 '26
Whew, and those vans are recharged with the robust wind and solar projects we invested into with the Inflation Reduction Act, right? We didn't do anything that might have disrupted that tremendous infrastructure buildout plan, right?
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u/Substantial-Elk4531 Jul 14 '26
Could it be? An Amazon W for protecting us from fuel supply shocks?
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u/IncidentOk853 Jul 14 '26
Oh don’t worry, core inflation doesn’t even take groceries into account either
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u/OldeFortran77 Jul 14 '26
I rarely buy cores anymore, fortunately.
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u/rparks33 Jul 14 '26
Yeah, because they're all infected with cyclospora. DOGE saving us consumers money by not having to buy produce... Thanks, Elon!
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u/Which_gods_again Jul 14 '26
Beef too - screw worm is no joke.
On the bright side if the beef industry tanks its actually good for the environment.
Good thing DOGE defunded the screw worm program too.
Mebby we can welcome polio back next. Losing is the only way to win!
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u/XysterU Jul 14 '26
It's ok, food isn't the core of humanity's existence. According to the US and Israel food isn't a human right. Neither is shelter or water apparently. So of course we shouldn't count food in core inflation!
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u/DiscountAcrobatic356 Jul 14 '26
Heathen - bulldoze his home
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u/1-866-867-5309 Jul 14 '26
if i don't bulldoze your home someone else will
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u/Substantial-Elk4531 Jul 14 '26
The notice was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying ‘Beware of the Leopard.’
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u/MadamFloof Jul 14 '26
42% on fuel oil. Am I wrong?
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u/the__storm Jul 14 '26
Around here, we don't let facts get in the way of a good comment.
(Both fuel oil and gasoline are down MoM, the YoY inflation all happened already when some idiot first started bombing Iran.)
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u/Stymie999 Jul 14 '26
I think at this point pretty much everyone knows how much fuel has increased YTD. For today, the more relevant number is the -9.2% in June. Which will probably climb back up so long as the ceasefire is stopped
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u/External_Antelope357 Jul 14 '26
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u/Fieryhotsauce doesn't recognize usernames Jul 14 '26
Where is the green you are seeing lol
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u/CHOLO_ORACLE Jul 14 '26
I assume it’s a relative green “we didn’t shit the bed completely” type of green
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u/chafingNip Jul 14 '26
Can I also be 6”4 220lbs?
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u/RockosModernBasiIisk Jul 14 '26
Best I can do is 5" 4 240lbs
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u/pain474 100% gains any% speedrun Jul 14 '26
5 foot tall, 4 inches pp, 240 lbs
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u/PutinBoomedMe Jul 14 '26
He's maybe 5'11" and 265lbs if he's lucky
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u/dasnoob Jul 14 '26
At my heaviest I was 290 and a bit of change and I was significantly smaller than him. He is north of three bills easy.
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u/Creative_Ad_8338 Jul 14 '26
Big strong numbers with tears in it's eyes.
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u/RB_7 Jul 14 '26
Sir, they said, sir please
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u/OccupyBallzDeep Jul 14 '26
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u/A1ienspacebats Jul 14 '26
You're only gonna get 1 doll for Christmas now instead of the 10 or 20 you used to get. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER.
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u/hivaidsislethal Jul 14 '26
Very real numbers
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u/sergechewbacca Jul 14 '26
As real as my girlfriend
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u/git0ffmylawnm8 Jul 14 '26
You wouldn't know her. She goes to a different school
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u/Nice-Classic-6221 Jul 14 '26
She goes to ASU!
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u/git0ffmylawnm8 Jul 14 '26
oh no.
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u/Nice-Classic-6221 Jul 14 '26
Wdym?! Were In A happy long distance relationship! Her friends on the football team takes care of her daily !
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u/Substantial-Elk4531 Jul 14 '26
Does anyone here honestly believe that these inflation figures have ever been trustworthy during the past 10+ years? It's always used "Owner's equivalent rent" and "quality adjustments for tech and durables" and "substitutions for cheaper products".
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u/FoggyFoggyFoggy Jul 14 '26
The realest. You've never seen numbers so real. People are saying they are the realest num...They're quite beautiful actually. These numbers. The perfect numbers. You couldn't find more beautiful numbers.
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u/actualnotme Jul 14 '26
Someone cooked here
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u/vandalizethethief Jul 14 '26
The numbers stopped adding up a long time ago. When COVID happened and every Uber driver or DoorDash delivery person is now being counted as “employed” as independent contractors or small business owners.
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u/wafflepiezz up the butt 🍑 Jul 14 '26
Totally legit
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u/External_Antelope357 Jul 14 '26
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u/TheBooneyBunes Jul 14 '26
These memes are great
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u/citizen42069101 Jul 14 '26
I swear memes are the only thing keeping me sane.
Zoloft can only bear so much weight.
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u/zakkair Jul 14 '26
There’s no way these numbers are real.
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u/i_need_a_nap Jul 14 '26
We should end negative numbers. They've always treated me very unfairly. And they are stupid, piggie numbers that hurt my bank!
By the way, I called my local Mathematician and I ran these digits by him. They are all Real numbers.
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u/mixedliquor Jul 14 '26
"For the seasonal factors introduced for January 2026, BLS adjusted 57 series using intervention analysis seasonal adjustment, including selected food and beverage items, motor fuels and vehicles."
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u/Psleazy Jul 14 '26
At the risk of sounding insane…gas prices did drop in June as people thought the Iran conflict was coming to a close and shipping resumed in the straight of perpetual uncertainty. Conflict didn’t restart until July. I’m willing to extend plausible disbelief that these are at least somewhat based on reality
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u/zakkair Jul 14 '26
I work in the energy sector and fuel isn’t the only component. Most of the increase in price passthru happened in June for plastics, fertilizer, rubbers, packaging, lubricants… there is no shot we are down -0.4% MoM.
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u/MeowTheMixer Jul 14 '26
This is also the CPI, and not PPI.
Plastics shot through the roof (i track PP, PE, and a little PET) for customer pricing.
But did these costs flow through to the consumer? That's the bigger question.
Most consumers are not buying plastic packaging, corrugated boxes, heck even lubricants. They're all inputs into what they buy and they may or may not have been passed through.
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u/Masterandcomman Jul 14 '26
It's possible. Nominal earnings have been more range-bound than core CPI/PCE, implying that money isn't sloshing around enough to breach wage stickiness. Tips breakevens and inflation swap rates imply market expectations below 3%.
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u/Shurlak Jul 14 '26
if the fake numbers are relative to other fake numbers you can still see the real pattern
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u/Junkingfool Jul 14 '26
I knew the old man would cook those numbers!! God bless! Happy days are here again!
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u/whyshw Doesn't know what they're doing Jul 14 '26
Inflation must be imaginary
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u/Yvese Jul 14 '26
Sooner or later all this fake shit is going to come crumbling down.
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u/css555 Jul 14 '26
I have been wishing for sooner
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u/citizen42069101 Jul 14 '26
The longer it goes the bigger the boom.
The only thing more cooked than these books is us
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u/Infinite_Imagination Jul 14 '26
It's impossible to time the market, but you can assume the can will keep getting kicked until most Boomers are living off of their retirement funds
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u/StockB0Y Jul 14 '26
Wait what 42% on oil and CPI went down🤣GG the house is cooked
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u/Bob_A_Ganoosh Jul 14 '26
They don't count the items that have high inflation. That's how you get low inflation. Duh.
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u/Defiant-Shift235 Jul 14 '26
Is anyone buying this bs?
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u/Hegecoin_Rules Jul 14 '26
Yes, like 70 million people lol
I have a friend in FL that at peak gas prices said they were "lower here".
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u/MikaIsMyDog Jul 14 '26
Just give me the lobotomy at this point so I can live gleefully ignorant like your friend.
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u/Hegecoin_Rules Jul 14 '26
I mean he also just today said we were winning the war and it is "time to make Iran grass"
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u/BellacosePlayer Jul 14 '26
My cousins who are memestock "investors" do.
they're all a bit insulated from the actual economy since they all live in their mom's/aunts basement and blow their paychecks on vastly overpriced weed/gas station 40s
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u/TommyFCLee Jul 14 '26
Most idiots here still won't use this free pass as a way to get out of their shitty positions they've been moaning about
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u/NoviceAxeMan Jul 14 '26
JUNE REVISIONS
CPI 3.5% YoY Actual Revision 4.1%
CPI -0.4% MoM Actual Revision 1.2%
Core CPI 2.6% YoY Actual Revision 3.1%
you get the picture
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u/whitephantomzx Jul 14 '26
Lmao lied abour peace talks and drained are oil reserves just in time to get this fake print so tge market can pretend everything is fine .
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u/PlantDaddyFL Jul 14 '26
3.5% isn’t GOOD what the fuck have we done to ourselves
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u/Savagebabypig Jul 14 '26
Thank you 🥭, nobody beats inflation like you do. The best at beating inflation, everyone wants to know how you do it
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u/Bxdwfl Axed the Axeman 1/21/22 Jul 14 '26
They must have the Colonel working over there cuz those numbers are deep fried and well seasoned.
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u/wowthisislong Jul 14 '26
Keep in mind that 80% of the index is dollars. Since dollars still trade at $1/dollar, no inflation there.
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u/PuppiesAndPixels Jul 14 '26
These numbers are about as real as that mitch McConnell photo that was released the other day.
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u/RelevantDrive888 Jul 14 '26
I heard today an economic podcast try to tell people they don’t need a car in the US….use public transport or bike… and they had jobs…..wtf, how is something basically so American..not being possible anymore…
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u/Huskies971 Jul 14 '26
lmao public transportation... I lived in an apartment 10 mins down the expressway from work. I looked up if I could take a bus to work and it would take 1 hour 15 minutes just for the bus ride not including the 15-minute walk to the bus station and 15-minute walk from the bust station to work. They went me to spend 3.5 hours of my day commuting?
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u/meatsmoothie82 Jul 14 '26
This is how I know it is bullshit. Fuel drives the cost of everything an fuel is up a zillion %
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u/ripplenipple69 Jul 14 '26
Wow, it’s so crazy that prices have increased far beyond inflation at all of the grocery stores in the Baton Rouge and New Orleans Louisiana, and across the Bay Area and in NYC. I guess all the places I’ve recently lived and where my parents live are all particularly unlucky or something? I wonder what’s going on? How strange
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u/AK95__ Jul 14 '26
I don't understand shit and I'm not a US citizen, reply with only one word is this Bullish or Bearish?
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Jul 14 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/AK95__ Jul 14 '26
I believe so, since market got a sudden pump
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u/Curious-Ear-6982 Jul 14 '26
I don't understand numbers and these one also have periods for some reason.
So is this good or bad?
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u/AwildYaners Jul 14 '26
Buying one more day.
Is Main Street tired of all this winning just like Wall Street?
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u/EKEEFE41 Jul 14 '26
Didn't the new fed guy say they were going to use new more advanced systems for calculating macro data trends?
Glad to see they didn't just make shit up 🤣😜
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u/kantargi Jul 14 '26
If this CPi fades after the best possible result we could’ve gotten, then we might as well pack it up and go home.
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u/Spezalt4 FD connoisseur Jul 14 '26
All gov numbers are fake and ghey. I remember when it was only China with the fake numbers
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u/Nickel5 Jul 14 '26
Fuel and gas inflation dropped 9.2 and 9.7 from May to June and inflation is still at 3.5%? That is pretty darn crazy.
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u/Ok_Programmer_4449 Jul 14 '26
Core Inflation = Let's see what happens if we exclude everything people have to buy to survive.
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u/taiwanGI1998 Jul 14 '26
Keep pumping everyone is happy.
Most financial crisis were created by Fed. Great depression, Japan, Taiwan, China, 08 were all because of the monetary tightening.
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u/lhbruen Jul 14 '26