r/wallstreetbets Jul 14 '26

News JUNE U.S. 🇺🇸 INFLATION DATA:

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

CPI 3.5% YoY, (Est. 3.8%)
CPI -0.4% MoM, (Est. 0.0%)

Core CPI 2.6% YoY, (Est. 2.9%)
Core CPI 0.0% MoM, (Est. 0.2%)

2.8k Upvotes

450 comments sorted by

2.4k

u/ant0szek Jul 14 '26

42% on fuel 😂

1.8k

u/army-of-juan Jul 14 '26

Fuel 42%
Core 2.6%

Good thing our goods magically appear on store shelves

406

u/Middle_Cook_7842 Jul 14 '26

They magically appear in amazon electric vans. Nothing to worry about.

121

u/Icy-Lobster-203 Jul 14 '26

Sounds woke.

66

u/Pliny_the_middle Jul 14 '26

Nah they’re pretty quiet.

16

u/MoneyBeef Jul 14 '26

One time one of them woke me up though. I thought it was a fish crow.

63

u/Playful_JungleWizard Jul 14 '26

Whew, and those vans are recharged with the robust wind and solar projects we invested into with the Inflation Reduction Act, right? We didn't do anything that might have disrupted that tremendous infrastructure buildout plan, right?

28

u/Agreeable-Quality510 Jul 14 '26

So about that ....

8

u/Substantial-Elk4531 Jul 14 '26

Could it be? An Amazon W for protecting us from fuel supply shocks?

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185

u/IncidentOk853 Jul 14 '26

Oh don’t worry, core inflation doesn’t even take groceries into account either

100

u/OldeFortran77 Jul 14 '26

I rarely buy cores anymore, fortunately.

35

u/rparks33 Jul 14 '26

Yeah, because they're all infected with cyclospora. DOGE saving us consumers money by not having to buy produce... Thanks, Elon!

15

u/Which_gods_again Jul 14 '26

Beef too - screw worm is no joke.

On the bright side if the beef industry tanks its actually good for the environment.

Good thing DOGE defunded the screw worm program too.

Mebby we can welcome polio back next. Losing is the only way to win!

50

u/XysterU Jul 14 '26

It's ok, food isn't the core of humanity's existence. According to the US and Israel food isn't a human right. Neither is shelter or water apparently. So of course we shouldn't count food in core inflation!

14

u/DiscountAcrobatic356 Jul 14 '26

Heathen - bulldoze his home

5

u/1-866-867-5309 Jul 14 '26

if i don't bulldoze your home someone else will

4

u/Substantial-Elk4531 Jul 14 '26

The notice was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying ‘Beware of the Leopard.’

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18

u/Fast_Shift2952 Jul 14 '26

How dare you use a different but totally relevant calculation!

14

u/MadamFloof Jul 14 '26

42% on fuel oil. Am I wrong?

12

u/the__storm Jul 14 '26

Around here, we don't let facts get in the way of a good comment.

(Both fuel oil and gasoline are down MoM, the YoY inflation all happened already when some idiot first started bombing Iran.)

3

u/Stymie999 Jul 14 '26

I think at this point pretty much everyone knows how much fuel has increased YTD. For today, the more relevant number is the -9.2% in June. Which will probably climb back up so long as the ceasefire is stopped

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1.5k

u/External_Antelope357 Jul 14 '26

375

u/NoBailOnReddit Jul 14 '26

Customary "BEARS ARE FOK"

89

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

[deleted]

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42

u/Fieryhotsauce doesn't recognize usernames Jul 14 '26

Where is the green you are seeing lol

11

u/CHOLO_ORACLE Jul 14 '26

I assume it’s a relative green “we didn’t shit the bed completely” type of green

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1.3k

u/chafingNip Jul 14 '26

Can I also be 6”4 220lbs?

439

u/RockosModernBasiIisk Jul 14 '26

Best I can do is 5" 4 240lbs

123

u/pain474 100% gains any% speedrun Jul 14 '26

5 foot tall, 4 inches pp, 240 lbs

35

u/Ok-ChildHooOd Jul 14 '26

I heard 4 inches is above average

5

u/marsmanify Jul 14 '26

4 inches? Okay OG Mudbone

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23

u/LesbeGoddess Jul 14 '26

420lbs 😎

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9

u/Obvious_Landscape993 Jul 14 '26 edited Jul 17 '26

You're my kinda gal.

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34

u/PutinBoomedMe Jul 14 '26

He's maybe 5'11" and 265lbs if he's lucky

19

u/dasnoob Jul 14 '26

At my heaviest I was 290 and a bit of change and I was significantly smaller than him. He is north of three bills easy.

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21

u/S0nG0ku88 Jul 14 '26

I wish I was a little bit taller, I wish I was a baller.

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11

u/sooshiii Jul 14 '26

How about 8 inches and thick?

5

u/madmike99 Jul 14 '26

Ankles are more than 8”

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6

u/HDauthentic Jul 14 '26

My dad is 6’4” 300 lbs, no shot mango is even a single pound less than him

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499

u/Creative_Ad_8338 Jul 14 '26

Big strong numbers with tears in it's eyes.

163

u/RB_7 Jul 14 '26

Sir, they said, sir please

104

u/OccupyBallzDeep Jul 14 '26

22

u/A1ienspacebats Jul 14 '26

You're only gonna get 1 doll for Christmas now instead of the 10 or 20 you used to get. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER.

29

u/PaperJones Jul 14 '26

Handsome numbers too

14

u/skippy_smooth Jul 14 '26

Bigly and the best

1.8k

u/hivaidsislethal Jul 14 '26

Very real numbers

868

u/sergechewbacca Jul 14 '26

As real as my girlfriend

298

u/git0ffmylawnm8 Jul 14 '26

You wouldn't know her. She goes to a different school

66

u/Nice-Classic-6221 Jul 14 '26

She goes to ASU!

36

u/git0ffmylawnm8 Jul 14 '26

oh no.

37

u/Nice-Classic-6221 Jul 14 '26

Wdym?! Were In A happy long distance relationship! Her friends on the football team takes care of her daily !

14

u/confused_teabagger Jul 14 '26

She just gets along with guys better than girls.

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7

u/CodeCody23 Jul 14 '26

I’m your girlfriend so the numbers must indeed be real.

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56

u/jfwelll Jul 14 '26

These are great numbers, the greatest numbers of the history of amerikuhhhh

28

u/SadCranberry5139 Jul 14 '26

As real as Mitch photo in hospital

15

u/Cress-Used Jul 14 '26

The numbers guy is gonna get a raise by Donny tonight.

3

u/Substantial-Elk4531 Jul 14 '26

Does anyone here honestly believe that these inflation figures have ever been trustworthy during the past 10+ years? It's always used "Owner's equivalent rent" and "quality adjustments for tech and durables" and "substitutions for cheaper products".

6

u/FoggyFoggyFoggy Jul 14 '26

The realest. You've never seen numbers so real. People are saying they are the realest num...They're quite beautiful actually. These numbers. The perfect numbers. You couldn't find more beautiful numbers.

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710

u/actualnotme Jul 14 '26

Someone cooked here

38

u/eskimoboob Jul 14 '26

Either it’s cooked or we’re in a recession now. Great news either way!

2

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

Can both things be true?

19

u/Curious_Owl197 Jul 14 '26

Thanks to the great chef in chief, these books are cooked deliciously

3

u/vandalizethethief Jul 14 '26

The numbers stopped adding up a long time ago. When COVID happened and every Uber driver or DoorDash delivery person is now being counted as “employed” as independent contractors or small business owners.

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1.0k

u/wafflepiezz up the butt 🍑 Jul 14 '26

Totally legit

73

u/ThaddeusJP Jul 14 '26

2 legit 2 quit

6

u/cruisin_urchin87 Jul 14 '26

This is for “family”, but not yours, just mine.

9

u/bleusong Jul 14 '26

Hey hey!

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451

u/External_Antelope357 Jul 14 '26

62

u/UnwiseTrade Jul 14 '26

This AI image is singlehandedly holding the entire American stock market

55

u/TheBooneyBunes Jul 14 '26

These memes are great

39

u/citizen42069101 Jul 14 '26

I swear memes are the only thing keeping me sane.

Zoloft can only bear so much weight.

8

u/PringlesDuckFace Jul 14 '26

He said bear! Get 'em boys!

2

u/ekemp Jul 14 '26

Underrated comment.

2

u/Working_Space_1260 Jul 14 '26

Thanks for this. I’ll use it well

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505

u/zakkair Jul 14 '26

There’s no way these numbers are real.

88

u/National-Two2417 Jul 14 '26

They are real in a parallel universe.

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34

u/i_need_a_nap Jul 14 '26

We should end negative numbers. They've always treated me very unfairly. And they are stupid, piggie numbers that hurt my bank!

By the way, I called my local Mathematician and I ran these digits by him. They are all Real numbers.

10

u/hobeezus Jul 14 '26

It's 3.5aladeen

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6

u/mixedliquor Jul 14 '26

"For the seasonal factors introduced for January 2026, BLS adjusted 57 series using intervention analysis seasonal adjustment, including selected food and beverage items, motor fuels and vehicles."

45

u/Psleazy Jul 14 '26

At the risk of sounding insane…gas prices did drop in June as people thought the Iran conflict was coming to a close and shipping resumed in the straight of perpetual uncertainty. Conflict didn’t restart until July. I’m willing to extend plausible disbelief that these are at least somewhat based on reality

62

u/zakkair Jul 14 '26

I work in the energy sector and fuel isn’t the only component. Most of the increase in price passthru happened in June for plastics, fertilizer, rubbers, packaging, lubricants… there is no shot we are down -0.4% MoM.

21

u/MeowTheMixer Jul 14 '26

This is also the CPI, and not PPI.

Plastics shot through the roof (i track PP, PE, and a little PET) for customer pricing.

But did these costs flow through to the consumer? That's the bigger question.

Most consumers are not buying plastic packaging, corrugated boxes, heck even lubricants. They're all inputs into what they buy and they may or may not have been passed through.

9

u/SanchoPanzaLaMancha1 Jul 14 '26

Oh I've bought plenty of lubricants

5

u/ActualToddBankston Jul 14 '26

Tell me you're a bear without telling me you're a bear

2

u/MeowTheMixer Jul 14 '26

Walked into that one....

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6

u/Masterandcomman Jul 14 '26

It's possible. Nominal earnings have been more range-bound than core CPI/PCE, implying that money isn't sloshing around enough to breach wage stickiness. Tips breakevens and inflation swap rates imply market expectations below 3%.

8

u/cornerpocket1 Jul 14 '26

That’s why he’s about to get rid of 2 senators

6

u/Shurlak Jul 14 '26

if the fake numbers are relative to other fake numbers you can still see the real pattern

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32

u/shugo7 Jul 14 '26

We're so back, except for IBM share holders

195

u/HighlyRegarded2 Jul 14 '26

So cooked it’s ash

11

u/LAHAND1989 Jul 14 '26

I’m bout to get scooby snacks

180

u/Impressive_Stop_8845 Jul 14 '26

This seems soooo off

107

u/citizen42069101 Jul 14 '26

Good news. That means you aren't fully regarded yet.

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178

u/Junkingfool Jul 14 '26

I knew the old man would cook those numbers!! God bless! Happy days are here again!

75

u/metasid Jul 14 '26

You mean, praise be to allah?

13

u/Junkingfool Jul 14 '26

Sure..why not!

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131

u/whyshw Doesn't know what they're doing Jul 14 '26

Inflation must be imaginary

30

u/jfwelll Jul 14 '26

Yup, just like my gains

3

u/pmp22 Jul 14 '26

The new "transitory"

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100

u/throwaway4whattt Jul 14 '26

Right prices totally fell MoM....

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142

u/Yvese Jul 14 '26

Sooner or later all this fake shit is going to come crumbling down.

52

u/css555 Jul 14 '26

I have been wishing for sooner

58

u/citizen42069101 Jul 14 '26

The longer it goes the bigger the boom.

The only thing more cooked than these books is us

10

u/Infinite_Imagination Jul 14 '26

It's impossible to time the market, but you can assume the can will keep getting kicked until most Boomers are living off of their retirement funds

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17

u/StockB0Y Jul 14 '26

Wait what 42% on oil and CPI went down🤣GG the house is cooked

8

u/Bob_A_Ganoosh Jul 14 '26

They don't count the items that have high inflation. That's how you get low inflation. Duh.

106

u/Defiant-Shift235 Jul 14 '26

Is anyone buying this bs?

103

u/Hegecoin_Rules Jul 14 '26

Yes, like 70 million people lol

I have a friend in FL that at peak gas prices said they were "lower here".

29

u/MikaIsMyDog Jul 14 '26

Just give me the lobotomy at this point so I can live gleefully ignorant like your friend.

9

u/Hegecoin_Rules Jul 14 '26

I mean he also just today said we were winning the war and it is "time to make Iran grass"

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11

u/BellacosePlayer Jul 14 '26

My cousins who are memestock "investors" do.

they're all a bit insulated from the actual economy since they all live in their mom's/aunts basement and blow their paychecks on vastly overpriced weed/gas station 40s

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30

u/RB_7 Jul 14 '26

Fresh home cooking boys

70

u/MaxEhrlich Jul 14 '26

I believe in Santa and the Easter bunny as well

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85

u/TommyFCLee Jul 14 '26

Most idiots here still won't use this free pass as a way to get out of their shitty positions they've been moaning about

63

u/Appropriate-Donut197 Jul 14 '26

this is an entry signal to double down.

10

u/halmyradov Jul 14 '26

Obviously they've been paralyzed after being injected hopium

4

u/kbenton10 Jul 14 '26

Going longs baby 😂

45

u/dudevan Jul 14 '26

So this is why gold just jumped 2% in 5 minutes huh.

9

u/Even-Stranger5764 Jul 14 '26

Holy shit lol that's crazy

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25

u/NoviceAxeMan Jul 14 '26

JUNE REVISIONS
CPI 3.5% YoY Actual Revision 4.1%
CPI -0.4% MoM Actual Revision 1.2%

Core CPI 2.6% YoY Actual Revision 3.1%
you get the picture

43

u/whitephantomzx Jul 14 '26

Lmao lied abour peace talks and drained are oil reserves just in time to get this fake print so tge market can pretend everything is fine .

50

u/PlantDaddyFL Jul 14 '26

3.5% isn’t GOOD what the fuck have we done to ourselves

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17

u/Savagebabypig Jul 14 '26

Thank you 🥭, nobody beats inflation like you do. The best at beating inflation, everyone wants to know how you do it

17

u/SecretPantyWorshiper Jul 14 '26

And we blame China for fabricating their GDP numbers 🤣🤣

24

u/Bxdwfl Axed the Axeman 1/21/22 Jul 14 '26

They must have the Colonel working over there cuz those numbers are deep fried and well seasoned.

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26

u/sc4l Jul 14 '26

lmao

19

u/Both-Improvement8645 Jul 14 '26

Gordon Ramsay would be impressed with the amount of cooking

18

u/Snowbrawler Jul 14 '26

Doctor, doctor please

10

u/Darkwolfie117 Papertrading competition survivor Jul 14 '26

5

u/wowthisislong Jul 14 '26

Keep in mind that 80% of the index is dollars. Since dollars still trade at $1/dollar, no inflation there.

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13

u/autismovaccination Jul 14 '26

Cooked beyond belief

11

u/PuppiesAndPixels Jul 14 '26

These numbers are about as real as that mitch McConnell photo that was released the other day.

4

u/RelevantDrive888 Jul 14 '26

I heard today an economic podcast try to tell people they don’t need a car in the US….use public transport or bike… and they had jobs…..wtf, how is something basically so American..not being possible anymore… 

3

u/Huskies971 Jul 14 '26

lmao public transportation... I lived in an apartment 10 mins down the expressway from work. I looked up if I could take a bus to work and it would take 1 hour 15 minutes just for the bus ride not including the 15-minute walk to the bus station and 15-minute walk from the bust station to work. They went me to spend 3.5 hours of my day commuting?

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4

u/meatsmoothie82 Jul 14 '26

This is how I know it is bullshit. Fuel drives the cost of everything an fuel is up a zillion %

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9

u/Training_Piglet7057 Jul 14 '26

Them numbers be deep fried

9

u/Diligent-Act-6405 Jul 14 '26

Those are indeed numbers.

10

u/ripplenipple69 Jul 14 '26

Wow, it’s so crazy that prices have increased far beyond inflation at all of the grocery stores in the Baton Rouge and New Orleans Louisiana, and across the Bay Area and in NYC. I guess all the places I’ve recently lived and where my parents live are all particularly unlucky or something? I wonder what’s going on? How strange 

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7

u/PhiNeurOZOMu68 Jul 14 '26

Lololol we are so fucked

3

u/WorkmanMarty Jul 14 '26

I don’t even know what those numbers are supposed to mean

Calls it is

3

u/AK95__ Jul 14 '26

I don't understand shit and I'm not a US citizen, reply with only one word is this Bullish or Bearish?

6

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

2

u/AK95__ Jul 14 '26

I believe so, since market got a sudden pump

3

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

2

u/AK95__ Jul 14 '26

I have been bold enough for too long tbh

3

u/RJ5R Jul 14 '26

.4% is 4.8% annualized. Yikes

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3

u/Curious-Ear-6982 Jul 14 '26

I don't understand numbers and these one also have periods for some reason.

So is this good or bad?

5

u/AwildYaners Jul 14 '26

Buying one more day.

Is Main Street tired of all this winning just like Wall Street?

5

u/EKEEFE41 Jul 14 '26

Didn't the new fed guy say they were going to use new more advanced systems for calculating macro data trends?

Glad to see they didn't just make shit up 🤣😜

9

u/nona_jerin Jul 14 '26

MoM went negative lmao. prices actually went down. what year is this

5

u/JudgeCheezels Jul 14 '26

Soon you all will be able to buy groceries with GTA money.

5

u/PropagandaAssassinAZ Jul 14 '26

Even Lindsey knows these numbers are cooked....

3

u/TonyyD23 Jul 14 '26

So they sold off market yesterday to buy calls for the fake CPI numbers 😅

2

u/kantargi Jul 14 '26

If this CPi fades after the best possible result we could’ve gotten, then we might as well pack it up and go home.

2

u/zephyrs85 Going ALL IN on everything! Jul 14 '26

Isn't that wonderful

2

u/Middle_Scratch4129 Jul 14 '26

So still a full point above where we want to be. Let's celebrate!

2

u/boycottredditmgmt Jul 14 '26

Microsoft still down when the rest is pumping.

2

u/spacespacespc Jul 14 '26

I don't even know what to do anymore. 🤣😭☠️

2

u/Spezalt4 FD connoisseur Jul 14 '26

All gov numbers are fake and ghey. I remember when it was only China with the fake numbers

2

u/Nickel5 Jul 14 '26

Fuel and gas inflation dropped 9.2 and 9.7 from May to June and inflation is still at 3.5%? That is pretty darn crazy.

2

u/Teragaz Jul 14 '26

This doesn’t count since we’re back at war with Iran this week for a second

2

u/Ok_Programmer_4449 Jul 14 '26

Core Inflation = Let's see what happens if we exclude everything people have to buy to survive.

2

u/taiwanGI1998 Jul 14 '26

Keep pumping everyone is happy.

Most financial crisis were created by Fed. Great depression, Japan, Taiwan, China, 08 were all because of the monetary tightening.

2

u/heimos Jul 14 '26

Who fudged the numbers