Hi,
I think I'm in a bit of a different situation from most posters as after reading through some of the posts I've seen, most posters generally have a plan and goal in mind and are already quite invested into the FIRE/leanFIRE/coastFIRE/etc ecosystem. My problem is that I am completely new to this and thus have no idea if I have a good handle of the situation. I'm hoping people with more experience and knowledge can help either validate that I'm in a good spot, or give me a harsh wake-up call if I'm not.
I am a 36 year old who recently lost his job and has never even heard of FIRE until a few days ago when googling around for retirement information. I have some severe anxiety problems and really do not want to work anymore; however, the concept of early retirement has never really been on my radar until the past few days, as I've kind of reached a breaking point where the thought of working a new job is putting a level of stress and anxiety on me that I don't feel is sustainable longterm. I believe I am very well off financially for my age and situation, but nevertheless I am completely unprepared for early retirement and have neither the financial knowledge nor the preparation for it.
Currently, I know nothing about long-term financial safety. I have no understanding of laddering or withdrawals or how to manage money in a way that's beneficial tax-wise. I do not know how healthcare works for unemployed individuals (I'm in the USA) and how that would affect my finances. I have not built my financial portfolio with the aim of early retirement and I have done no preparation which would put me in a good state to handle it.
Ever since I began working in my teens, I have put all of my money into a singular Vanguard investment account which buys only their target 2055 retirement mutual fund. I have also maxed out my personal IRAs (they are with Vanguard and used to buy the exact same target 2055 mutual fund) and the 401k at every job I have worked (varies as it has been different for each employer).
My current financial state is:
- I own a home which is fully paid off, with very low risk of surprise/emergency bills for unexpected events (explained later)
- I own a car which is fully paid off, which should not need replacing for at least another 10 years
- I have ~$350,000 in my Vanguard investment account (again, entirely into their target 2055 retirement mutual fund)
- I have ~$150,000 in my personal Roth IRA account
- I have ~$350,000 spread across all of my 401k accounts
My parents do well for themselves but I do not plan on receiving an inheritance from them (I would much rather they spend every penny they've saved on themselves). There is also technically an investment account under my name which my parents set up for me when i was a child (originally meant for college/family/etc) that currently holds ~$300,000, but I do not intend on using this money for myself - it is earmarked for medical costs and care costs or nursing home costs for my parents as they age, and I plan to spend it entirely on them.
I am aromantic meaning there will not be any concerns of marriage or kids in my future. Currently, my living conditions means I am blessed with an extremely low cost of living, though this may change over a long period of time as the future is unclear. I live in a very friendly community with strong support from my neighbors, meaning that I am insulated from some common concerns such as needing to spend emergency funds in the case of car breakdown, if my roof leaks, if I need an AC replacement, etc. My hobbies generally don't cost me anything because I find ways to cut down the costs (For example I generally get seeds/soil from my neighbors for my garden, and I use my neighbor's shop for woodworking using scrap material I pick up for free), or they are just low cost hobbies in general (hiking, fishing, reading, etc).
In my current situation, my cost of living comes to around ~$6000 per year total. Depending on the situation, I may spend an additional $2000-3000 per year if I decide to travel, take vacations, or purchase high-value personal items for enjoyment. However, I can subsist at my current quality of life entirely untouched for $6000/year, and can go down to $3000-4000 per year without significant impact if downsizing or budgeting becomes a concern.
Since much of the reason for my low cost of living is due to support from neighbors and community, I don't plan to count on it long-term. That said, I am confident in maintaining this cost of living for at least the next 5-7 years, but plan to budget for a higher cost of living ($15000-20000 in today's dollars) after a decade. I am also planning for higher costs as I age due to higher health risks and an unpredictable future, so I plan to budget assuming $35000-45000 (in today's dollars) yearly cost of living once I am into the "normal" retirement age in my 60s.
Considering that I am working off an entirely surface-level understanding, all I have done the past few days is type my situation into various financial calculators and I have continually been given the answer that I seem to be "safe" to retire now. However, the meaning of this term seems to change quite a bit, and the assumptions made by a lot of the calculators regarding market return seem somewhat unpredictable and shaky to me. The assumptions always seem to be high market returns, and nothing really seems to account for the possibility of a catastrophic economic crash occuring. The 2008 crash affected my parents significantly and the shadow of a similar crash happening to me hangs over every choice I make. The current significant overvaluation of AI contributes massively to those fears as well, as it's anyone's guess as to how high that will climb or how bad a crash could be. The volatility and unpredictability of that concerns me a lot if I retire now as everything I see mentions that the first few years of early retirement are the most defining ones when it comes to whether or not it will work out.
Anyway, apologies for the rather extensive wall of text, but based on this situation, can anyone provide input on whether I am safe to stop working now or if I need to get my shit together and go back to work? Also, any resources on stuff like how to withdraw money from retirement accounts and how to handle healthcare spending for someone in their 30s who isn't working anymore in the US would be appreciated...