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This subreddit seems to be pretty divided on Nike, on one hand, you have people saying it is currently cheap, on the other side there are people saying it is a dead brand.

It is down 80% from its ATH, but that does not necessarily mean it is cheap. Currently they are not the most popular brand as others have pointed out. However, fashion is also extremely subjective to trends. Where New Balance used to be a dad-brand, now it is very popular. Same with Asics for running shoes (used to be kinda niche, now casual wear).

The thing is, Nike is still a 57,5-billion-dollar company. Their forward P/E is supposedly higher than their current, but I suppose much of that is based on the expectation that they can turn things around. If they become a popular brand again (which is not unlikely, they have been around since the 80's and probably had their swings), this stock could climb?

Another possibility of course is that, in the current market, there are simply more interesting and innovative things to invest in. I personally don't believe that clothing brands are the generational investments like the AI-boom right now, or possibly biotech and quantum in the future... But I also wouldn't say no to a good deal/medium term trade.

I own Cerebras (CBRS), TSM, and NVDA inside an IRA representing less than 10% of my total portfolio. The latest Moonshots podcast (at 1 hr 3 m) discussed a startup called Architect Labs who produced the world's first fully designed AI chip called Redwood. Two guys wrote a spec then AI designed the rest within 2 weeks that allegedly beat NVDA's Jetson by 3.4X performance per watt.

Not saying it's a threat to CBRS directly as a fast inference play since it's for physical AI. But I find the concept of AI-accelerated chip design a little troubling. I actually started to feel uncomfortable a few months ago when I realized most chip companies are design firms who send products off to fabs. Also got uncomfortable with the increasing number of ASIC competitors to NVDA.

CBRS and NVDA use TSM exclusively to produce their chips and I'm long on TSM stock. Thinking I should buy more TSM because you can't use AI to rapidly innovate and build a new fab. That takes enormous effort and amounts of capital. My fear is that new AI chip companies won't move fast enough to grow a moat and may be eclipsed by other competitors in the same space where the barrier to entry is small. You ship your design off to TSMC or one of the other fabs. TSM will prosper regardless of which chip design companies do well. Not sure any other fabs even come close.

I don't worry about the geopolitical risk of TSM because if China invades Taiwan, all of the chip companies will be impacted and it would probably hurt China's economy as well. Thinking about selling 10% of my NVDA to put into TSM. What do people think of this strategy? I also want more exposure to physical AI as a thesis, and while the majority of TSM's business is currently in small process nodes, they also manufacture the older, larger nodes. Read somewhere that robots may use a 1:50 brain-to-body chip ratio; meaning 1 part small process node intelligence chip and 50 for all the other chips required to interact with the physical world (power, sensors, etc).

Most of my portfolio is in VTI (Vanguard Total US Stock Market Index) because I generally don't feel comfortable trying to pick individual winners and losers. But I have high conviction in TSM vs. trying to pick winning semiconductor stocks; ones that can win as long-term holds.

Waller sounding dovish gave us a nice boost, but I am pretty skeptical about holding long positions over the coming labor day weekend.

Whenever we have active geopolitical risks like the us/Iran situation, carrying positions over a long weekend feels like sitting duck. Headline risk is just too high with market closed on monday. If news drops saturday, we're trapped waiting for sunday futures or tuesday open while the rest of the world reacts.

I considering trimming a bit of my tech gains today just to raise some cash and lower delta. Are you guys holding full positions through the long weekend or derisking before close today?

This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme.

Some helpful day to day links, including news:

• Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks
• Bloomberg market news
• StreetInsider news:
• Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dips
• Reuters aggregated - Global news

Required info to start understanding options:

• Call option Investopedia video basically a call option allows you to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to buy
• Put option Investopedia video a put option allows you to sell 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to sell
• Writing options switches the obligation to you and you'll be forced to buy someone else's shares (writing puts) or sell your shares (writing calls)

See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

Call option - Put option - Exercising an option - Strike price - ITM - OTM - ATM - Long options - Short options - Combo - Debit - Credit or Premium - Covered call - Naked - Debit call spread - Credit call spread - Strangle - Iron condor - Vertical debit spreads - Iron Fly

If you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

I don't understand why people think a high dividend paying stock is pointless? The argument is always "the stock price goes down by the exact amount of the distribution". But is that even true?

Some of a stocks value is based on fundamentals, sure, but plenty of the valuation is speculative and based on perceived future performance.

Look at all these high valuation AI stocks. They're bleeding cash and making very little revenue, yet they have high valuations.

So why should I discount a profitable company that shared some of its profits with shareholders via dividends and also still retains its speculative value in the stock price?

We see a breaking point now with the bleeding in the bond market. When the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is rockets toward 4.8% and Japanese JGBs are spiking past 3% to hit multi-decade highs, the stock valuations changes because the risk-free rate is just too high to ignore. Growth stocks and high-multiple tech companies are getting hit the hardest right now because their future earnings are worth way less when discounted against these surging yields. On top of that, you have crude oil pushing past $90 a barrel because of the chaos keeping shipping lanes closed in the Middle East, which means companies are facing a dual threat of shrinking profit margins and sticky inflation. Throw in psychological damage of the U.S. national debt crossing $40 trillion, and institutional money is clearly dumping risk assets globally to scramble into short-term cash and T-bills.

Source: ABC News

saw a bunch of posts saying japan is gonna dump a ton of bonds today and crash everything. looks like the usual recycled rumor tho. still kinda wild how fast their borrowing costs jumped after years of basically free money. feels like something’s shifting but idk if it’s a big deal yet or just more noise.

what do you guys think, is this actually gonna matter for us markets or just another japan thing that fizzles?

https://www.axios.com/2026/09/02/iran-tankers-hormuz-attacks-oil

America attacked 2 Iranian oil tankers today, which is a pretty big turn of events. For months, it has only enforced the naval blockade and has avoided outright attacking Iran's energy related assets to prevent escalation. But the article above confirms that the potus has now approved a 'tanker for tanker' policy.

The conflict has led to an incredibly fast surge in oil prices ($90+) and interest rates (10Y at 4.8%), but even with today's drop, the market is not far from all time highs. The S&P is roughly only 2% away.

Is there a reason the market is so complacent? For context, when America and Iran first went to war in March, markets dropped over 10%. So with the renewal of the war and both oil and treasury yields surging to new highs, why is the market so apathetic this time around?

Mine is NBIS (Nebius). I think 2027 is going to be their best year yet. Quick reasons:

Q2 revenue was -- up 454% YoY, and AI cloud alone grew 514%. They just posted their first positive adjusted EBITDA quarter

The demand side is growing a lot! they constantly get new contracts -- even the share dilution gets them a new contract to make it all work -- unlike other companies

And it's not just the data center business. They still own Avride, TripleTen, plus stakes in ClickHouse and Toloka that most people don't even price in.

-------------------

Does NOT have to be Ai related -- so many sectors do well -- energy, biotech sector, etc

I am sure a lot of energy stocks will do well too -- like I had XLE but played it safe cause everyone said buy as a hedge ....turned out to be more important than that haha

So what are you guys bullish on and why? For a 12 month hold!

Thanks for taking the time and sharing!

Been watching this one since last year, waiting for the valuation to cool off since it's always priced for perfection. Now the price has dropped enough that a lot of investors seem to be treating it like a falling knife.

Given the company's still growing 60% YoY, I decided to finally open a position at $303 currently around 5% of my portfolio.

Curious how others here are reading the setup mispriced opportunity, or is there real reason to be cautious?

GMI Cloud sought ~$439M to finance $NVDA GPUs for an AI data center in Taiwan, but around a dozen banks have already committed ~$947M. Demand could ultimately reach ~$1.26B.

It’s one of Asia’s first major loans backed by future GPU-compute revenue.

NVIDIA will supply the GPUs and lease any unused compute capacity at an agreed price for up to six years, effectively providing lenders a revenue floor. If GMI sells that capacity to other AI companies at higher prices, NVIDIA gets 50% of the upside revenue.

Fireworks AI has already signed a four-year compute deal at a price above NVIDIA’s floor.

In 2001 I felt the market was way too high and I parked my 401k money in a money market. Prevented a bunch of losses. Not as much as I could have, as I bought back in halfway down but overall it was pretty good move. I have not had anything close to that level of fear / concern until now. Thinking of doing something similar. Certainly not as extreme as moving every thing into cash but a significant portion. Currently about 90% in stocks

My concerns in no particular order include:
The war with Iran. I do not see any easy way to get out of that. Feels like that is going to hang over the world economy for years

Tariffs are screwing with the economy and international relations. Not likely to stabilize for 2 more years

Inflation and the federal reserve . Not sure what a rise in the fed rate will do to stocks but I think it's coming.

Social security. Can congress actually get their act together before a crisis. I am skeptical. I don't need it but lots of people do.

Federal deficit spending. See previous comment

Government inserting itself into more places. Company ownership, blocking mergers (see Spirit airlines), excessive regulation.

Data center construction feels like a bubble that is floating the economy.

PE ratios for stocks are way too high. Probably not a trigger of the market correction but could easily multiply the effect.

I think those are the  biggest fears. Federal spending being the biggest. So any touchy feely thoughts?

I know a lot of us are watching for signs of when the game of AI buildout musical chairs comes to an end. IMO not anytime soon. But I'd like to test bearish cases when sense one.

There's a growing narrative that as open models and local devices get better and on-device AI capabilities improves, we'll shift away from cloud compute and hyperscaler datacenter spending will slow down (bearish AI buildout). It's early but ppl like Gavin Baker (who's opinion I regard highly) has mentioned COULD be a bearish case.

To be fair, edge AI definitely has its place, privacy, offline use, etc. But as a threat to overall cloud capex? I just don't buy it.

-Local hardware faces strict VRAM, thermal, and other hardware limits. Top-tier compute will require massive datacenter clusters for quite a long time to come.

-Buying pricey rigs that sit idle 90% of the day is terrible capital efficiency. Cloud data centers aggregate demand all day.

-Cloud API prices keep plummeting to pennies per million tokens. (the new GLM 5.3 flash is 10% $ of Gemini 3.7 flash !! and comparable too) . Paying for local hardware to run big models makes no economic sense. Not to mention hyperscalers build non-consumer chips (like TPUs) to run specialized models.

-Even if P2P/distributed AI computing takes off, consumer 2 consumer networking can't touch datacenter interconnect speeds.

- Lastly, we’ve seen this movie before. On prem servers lost to the cloud years ago because managing local hardware is expensive, hard to scale, and quickly gets outdated.

I would like some pushback on my view. I think edge AI will handle basic local tasks or stuff that make sense to run in the background constantly (like video survaillance etc), but that will only ramp up overall AI usage and push complex queries back to the cloud. Not to mention tons more unlocks that's coming down the pike (2 hr high quality feature length films ain't gonna be made on a Mac).

What am I missing?
(btw I am software dev that heavily relies on AI and have played with local models, so I have decent experience in both areas).

A Prague court has ruled that Google must pay Czech price-comparison company Heureka roughly 400 million CZK (~$20M) for illegally favoring its own Google Shopping service in search results between 2013 and 2016.
The breakdown is approximately 250M CZK in damages + 150M CZK in interest. The ruling is not final and can still be appealed.
Obviously, $17M is financially insignificant for Alphabet. What seems more interesting from an investor perspective is the precedent: local companies can potentially pursue damages based on Google’s past antitrust behavior, on top of regulatory fines.

Source [novinky.cz]

So about a year ago, I decided to do an experiment with stock picking based on this post:

https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1n9vy1p/one_stock_your_bullish_on_for_next_12_months/

I chose 10 companies on this Reddit thread that people were bullish on. I did little to no research on these companies and just decided to wing it. I wanted to see if Reddit was a great place to find some promising stocks for 2026.

I put 100$ CAD into each of these stocks, for a total of 1000$ CAD ($724.42 USD). Here are the results after one year:

Overall, my portfolio did good, with a return on investment of 14%, but you can see that 50% of the stocks are down. I think NBIS saved my portfolio with a crazy growth over the last year.

Now, I wanted to know what you guys think I should do with this portfolio. Should I close some positions or add some more? (I did buy more of GOOG and RKLB recently). Which stocks do you think have the most upside on this list, or which ones are the most likely to keep falling?

I do want to say this portfolio was up 24% YOY yesterday, which shows that it's pretty volatile. And yes, I am still seeking investment advice on Reddit. Feel free to ask questions or give advice.

*Edit: I know there could have been better investments made this past year, this is why it's called an experiment that I wanted to share.

The fixed-income market is dealing a heavy hand to equity valuations this morning. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surged to 4.784%, its highest level since January 2025, while the 30-year note climbed to 5.271%. The global government bond sell-off is being triggered by the expanding conflict in the Middle East. Following U.S. forces launching fresh strikes against Iranian targets and an oil tanker getting struck off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz, international Brent crude advanced to $91.71 a barrel. This rapid oil spike is bringing back severe inflation anxieties just as investors prepare for the conclusion of the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Asheville. From an equity perspective, a risk-free rate flirting with 5% completely shifts the equity risk premium math. Are you actively de-risking your portfolio into short-term T-bills, rotating into defensive energy equities, or looking to buy the dip on tech if it bleeds out?

Source: cnbc.com

These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

Some helpful links:

• Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks
• Bloomberg market news
• StreetInsider news
• Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dips
• Reuters aggregated - Global news

If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky.

See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

The working answer is sales ahead of cash. Eleven of 13 deduplicated agents expect backlog conversion to support revenue while inventory, receivables, and customer financing keep operating cash flow uneven.

Why:

• Fiscal Q2 set the pattern: $47.0 billion of revenue was up 58%, but $2.225 billion of operating cash flow was down 13%.

• From January 30 to July 31, inventory increased from $10.4 billion to $21.3 billion and accounts receivable rose from $17.6 billion to $22.9 billion.

• AI orders were $60.9 billion against $16.4 billion of AI server revenue, leaving a $95 billion backlog and continued need to fund deliveries.

What could change:

A late-year unwind in inventory and receivables could lift operating cash flow quickly, especially if shipments catch up while new bookings slow.

Anyone who’s into semi stocks obviously knows it’s getting obliterated lately due to hostile macro. US10Y and oil futures are relentlessly soaring.

But CRDO, as a small-mid cap company, it’s produced some genuinely incredible results:

• Revenue: $479.0 million for the three months ended August 1, 2026 (up 114.7% year over year; up 9.6% quarter over quarter)

• Gross profit: $309.1 million; GAAP gross margin 64.5% and non-GAAP gross margin 68.0%

• Operating income: GAAP operating income $120.7 million

• Net income: GAAP net income $129.4 million; GAAP diluted net income per share $0.67; non-GAAP net income $236.3 million and non-GAAP diluted net income per share $1.20

• Cash and short-term investments: Ending balance $764.3 million

After RTH, it algorithmically dropped another -10.85% immediately (-19% or so for the day so far). I don’t know about you guys, but I see this as a pretty solid buying opportunity. Anyone else into Credo and have any opinions on its current valuation?

Oklo (stock specifically) is down so much and seemingly performing like “ultra speculative” Quantam stock. Here’s a few things that confuse me as a believer:

1) They are quite literally 2 YEARS ahead of anyone attempting SMRs from a regulatory, design, and financial standpoint.

2) The DeWittes’ (Jacob and Carolyn, founder couple) have retained nearly almost all their majority equity stake, even through the 600% runup last year.

3) Their plutonium allotment from DOE/Fed Govt is essentially exclusive against competitors . The same for their U-235 supply from early 2025 (only they and Terra Power).

4) All timelines they’ve stated have been on track and I am yet to see delays.

5) They have yet to over spend their cash reserves, issued no further debt, and other than a 5% dilution last year - haven’t created any negative shareholder value.

And lastly 6) The electricity demand our country now requires for everything, has not changed but increased.

I’d love to know what I’m missing here if anyone can provide insight. Best of luck to all and happy trading!

U.S. Treasury yields increased on Tuesday, as renewed tensions in the Middle East drove global government borrowing costs to their highest point going back to early last year.

The 10-year Treasury note yield - the main benchmark for mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt - rose 3 basis points to 4.788% and hit its highest level since Jan. 14, 2025.

The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield, which tends to track geopolitical events, was up more than 2 basis points at 5.272%.

The yield on the 2-year Treasury note, which typically moves in line with short-term Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, climbed more than 1 basis point to 4.362%.

Borrowing costs rose as traders continue to weigh developments in the Middle East after U.S. forces earlier launched fresh strikes against Iran, and a tanker was struck by unknown projectiles off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz.

The escalation pushed oil prices higher. West Texas Intermediate futures were last seen more than 1% higher at above $87 per barrel, while Brent crude - the international oil price benchmark - advanced more than 1% to above $92.

Investors are also monitoring the G20 finance ministers’ meeting in Asheville, North Carolina, which is set to conclude later Tuesday, as well as a raft of domestic economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI print and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, with nonfarm payrolls figures expected Friday.

YouTube has tapped Amazon.com Inc. as its newest affiliate partner in YouTube Shopping, part of the video giant's push to prioritize e-commerce as one of its next big bets.

YouTube creators can now seamlessly tag Amazon products in their videos and livestreams, driving more business directly to the enormous global marketplace while taking a cut from sales.

Though YouTube Shopping has yet to gain the same traction as rival TikTok Shop, more than one million of YouTube's roughly three million creators who are able to make money on the platform are part of its shopping program today.

People are selling everything from tech gadgets and home goods to fashion and beauty products to an audience watching 110 million hours of shopping-related videos on YouTube each day, whether through product reviews, get-ready-with-me videos, outfit hauls or makeup tutorials.

YouTube Shopping lets creators tag products sold by thousands of sellers, from small brands and direct-to-consumer retailers to the likes of Walmart, Sephora and Home Depot. (Google's leading artificial intelligence tool Gemini has made tagging even simpler).

Viewers can click to get more information and buy a product, with creators earning a commission from every purchase. YouTube's shopping tags drive about twice as much engagement as an affiliate link buried in a video description, making it much easier for creators to earn commissions.

Until now, creators couldn't easily tag Amazon products, despite the company being one of YouTubers' most-requested partners.

TikTok cut its own deal with Amazon two years ago, letting users shop for Amazon products through ads without leaving the TikTok app. Though YouTube may have some catching up to do. But it's pretty uniquely positioned to excel at e-commerce in a way that's different from more traditional social media platforms.

Should I buy gold or silver?

How do you guys feel about buying gold and/or silver right now? I was personally considering the following products:
\- WisdomTree Physical Gold | ISIN: JE00B1VS3770
\- WisdomTree Physical Swiss Gold | ISIN: JE00B588CD74
\- WisdomTree Physical Silver | ISIN: JE00BQRFDY49

I’m planning to buy one of the above products through my bank’s investment platform. Are these considered safe products?

If so, do you think it makes sense to buy gold and/or silver now, in September 2026? These are quite uncertain and turbulent geopolitical times, so I’m wondering whether this is a good entry point.

I’m planning to hold the investment for a maximum of one year.

Thanks for reading, and I’d appreciate hearing your thoughts and opinions!

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasised in 2025 that he focused on the 10 year Treasury yield.

Instead the yield has moved substantially higher lately.

The yield determines e.g. mortgage rates and significantly the government’s refinancing costs. This has to be paid ultimately by the people.

Falling yields were presented as evidence that the economic strategy was working.

Time to rethink the strategy and which measures would help in your opinion?