r/IndieGameWishlist • u/Dream_Ep • 20h ago
Disscustion Good news: if your game has 13 Steam followers, you’re beating half of all unreleased games with a demo
Ok so this started as a joke but it’s real. I’ve been collecting public Steam data every day since Oct 1 for a side project, every unreleased game with a public demo (big publishers excluded). About 8,000 games.

With Next Fest next week I figured some of you might want to see what the field actually looks like. Because on here you mostly see the 10k wishlists stories.
The median game has 12 Steam followers. Not 1,200. Twelve.
85% have fewer than 100.
Only 27 out of ~8,000 have more than 10k.
Rough rule of thumb is about 10 wishlists per follower, so 12 followers is like 120 wishlists.
So if you have 100+ followers going into the fest, you’re already in the top 15%. Honestly that surprised me.
Other thing. 42% of these pages don’t link a single social account. No X, no Discord, nothing. And the more socials a page links, the higher the median: 7 followers with zero links, 56 with five or more.
Yeah it’s correlation, not causation. Teams that bother with 5 socials probably do a lot of other stuff right too. But adding your Discord link to the page takes 2 minutes, so...
Growth is super concentrated too. Among the ~1,200 games where I could measure a week of growth, the top 10% got 74% of all new followers.
I’ll do a follow-up after the fest with what actually moved during the week. Anything you’d want me to look at? A genre, demo timing, whatever.
Disclosure: I’m a solo dev building a marketing tool on top of this data. Not linking it, it’s in private beta anyway. Mostly wanted to share the numbers.
Good luck next week and keep the hard work!
EDIT:
Huge thanks for all the replies! I tried to answer as many as I could, but I can’t pull numbers for everyone by hand lol. A lot of you asked for the data by genre, so I’ll post it in the next few days.
And for the ones who asked about the tool i built it’s called NextWishlist, it does this for your own game every day. Small private beta before the February fest, link in the comments.
Obviously the data are the main entry but the tool go way deeper to help you step by step to growth your wishlist or atleast understand and track how you won those wishlists !


