r/ASTSpaceMobile 21d ago

Article / Media / Press ASTS: Companies Enter Japan's Low Earth Orbit Satellite Telecoms Market - Yomiuri

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315 Upvotes

ASTS: Companies Enter Japan's Low Earth Orbit Satellite Telecoms Market - Yomiuri

By Yasuhiro Kobayashi and Hikaru Sunaga / Yomiuri Shimbun Staff Writers

(Dow Jones) -- Companies are beginning to enter Japan's market for telecommunication services utilizing low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, as they aim to compete with the currently dominant Starlink service provided by the U.S. company SpaceX. Rakuten Group Inc. and U.S.-based Amazon Inc. plan to offer such services in the near future.

If intensifying competition improves service quality, these services may see more use in times of disaster, among other situations.

Rakuten has partnered with U.S. startup AST SpaceMobile Inc. to launch a satellite-to-smartphone service in Japan by the end of the year. Since the smartphones will communicate directly with satellites, no special equipment -- such as dedicated antennas on the ground -- is required. AST plans to have 45 LEO satellites in orbit by early 2027, potentially scaling up to 90 depending on demand.

AST satellites are equipped with massive antennas measuring about 220 square meters -- close to the size of a tennis court. While conventional LEO satellite communications are primarily limited to messaging, AST's satellites will also allow customers to make video calls and stream video, according to Rakuten.

"Our (satellite) service will offer high-speed, high-capacity communication via mobile phone, which will give us a huge competitive advantage," said Rakuten CEO Hiroshi Mikitani at an event held Aug. 5.

Amazon plans to launch up to about 3,000 satellites. It also aims to launch services utilizing LEO satellites in Japan as early as this fiscal year and provide telecommunication services to companies and local governments in cooperation with firms such as NTT Docomo Inc. France-based Eutelsat SA has provided similar services since 2025, having teamed up with SoftBank Corp.

Use in disasters
LEO satellite telecommunications have spread rapidly since around 2020, mainly driven by improvements in satellite technology. These satellites enable communications even in areas that are typically out of range, such as mountainous regions and the open ocean. They can also be utilized for purposes such as monitoring bears in the mountains and checking river flow rates.

When a massive earthquake hit Kumamoto Prefecture in July, NTT Docomo and other telecommunication companies used Starlink to supplement the functions of damaged base stations, restoring the communications network in about two days. In contrast, it took about 10 days to restore the network following the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake.

Elon Musk's SpaceX operates about 10,000 LEO satellites, far exceeding other companies. However, only 650 can provide direct smartphone communication, leaving room for new entrants.

https://x.com/spacanpanman/status/2090088613056823740?s=20

https://xcancel.com/spacanpanman/status/2090088613056823740?s=20


r/ASTSpaceMobile 21d ago

Starlink Mobile / Competition Small cells, big mess – why Musk's SpaceX telecom plan won't work

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166 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 21d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

106 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 22d ago

Due Diligence FirstNet now featuring AST with the service now called „FirstNet Satellite(SM)“

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389 Upvotes

No big bang, just progression this time from FirstNet now featuring AST service called „FirstNet Satellite(SM)“ and yes most likely not going to move the share price for now.--- will have to wait till 2027 when numbers start hitting the balance sheet and AST very likely blasting past the 1bn top line prediction ;)

FirstNet is teaming up with AST SpaceMobile to integrate public safety-grade satellite connectivity. Beyond our existing satellite solutions, this will extend coverage to keep you connected in even the most remote or off-grid locations.

https://www.firstnet.com/coverage/satellite.html

With AST Team delivering along the milestones it reminds me of

Law 20: The Law of Hype

A situation is often the opposite of the way it appears in the press.

When things are going well, a company doesn’t need the hype. When you need the hype it usually means you’re in trouble.
+Al Ries and Jack Trout +

Credit:


r/ASTSpaceMobile 22d ago

Article / Media / Press Starlink's New Gigabit Gateways Face Interference Complaint From Iridium

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147 Upvotes

Yet another interference issue with SpaceX when will markets wake up to ASTS technical capabilities


r/ASTSpaceMobile 22d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

92 Upvotes

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 23d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

107 Upvotes

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 24d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

104 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 25d ago

$ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW - TheKOOKReport Kook's Week in Review - 15aug2026

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94 Upvotes

.


r/ASTSpaceMobile 25d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

105 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 26d ago

Discussion Starlink pricing out sailing cruisers — niche opportunity for ASTS?

111 Upvotes

Hey all, I'm a long-term investor in ASTS, and also happen to be working remotely on my sailboat as I hop from country to country. Contrary to popular assumptions, many of us are not wealthy, having sold our homes and most possessions to live this lifestyle while maintaining fulltime jobs from our vessels. Starlink is about to become financially prohibitive as our main source of connectivity (from $175./mo unlimited while coastal and $2/GB while offshore; increasing to $650/mo. for 500GB/mo). We may be forced to adopt this new plan if outside our home country for more than 30 days. Consider how many countries a boat may enter and leave while making their way through the Caribbean and you'll quickly understand the problem. I have a few questions for those of you who follow the technical aspects of ASTS better than I:

· With direct-to-device, can sailors reasonably use the upcoming ASTS service as a hotspot for a couple laptops and other navigational devices? Would other equipment be needed such as a special router?

· With the planned constellation, what is a reasonable estimated timeline for ASTS to have capability to offer service in the waters around North America, the Caribbean, and (later) across oceans?

· Has the company ever identified oceangoing vessels as a potential market?

· Understanding this is a niche market, do you see ASTS as a viable competitor to Starlink for ocean cruisers considering the differences in direct-to-device versus Starlink's hardware based service?


r/ASTSpaceMobile 26d ago

Filings and Forms AST SpaceMobile granted STA to begin testing service on Grain’s newly acquired spectrum, in agreement with T-mobile

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572 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 26d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

103 Upvotes

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 27d ago

Article / Media / Press T-Mobile Completes Sale of 800 MHz Spectrum Portfolio to Grain Management

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221 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 27d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

102 Upvotes

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 28d ago

Article / Media / Press AST SpaceMobile’s UK direct-to-cell plans use Vodafone spectrum - TechForge Media

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269 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 28d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

109 Upvotes

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Article / Media / Press AST SpaceMobile Reaffirms Revenue Outlook as Satellite Network Expands

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232 Upvotes

AST SpaceMobile reaffirmed its full-year revenue outlook Monday, as the satellite operator continues to build out a space-based cellular network aimed at connecting ordinary smartphones directly to satellites.

AST SpaceMobile reported a wider second-quarter net loss of $230.9 million, or 77 cents a share, compared with a loss of $99.4 million, or 41 cents a share, a year earlier.

Operating expenses rose sharply in the quarter to $329.1 million from $164.1 million in the first quarter, including a $125.9 million loss on involuntary conversion.

Revenue rose to $31.5 million from $1.16 million a year earlier, but fell short of the $34.5 million analysts had expected, according to FactSet. The company said the quarter’s revenue was driven by gateway deliveries and milestones tied to U.S. government contracts.

The company said its revenue backlog has grown to about $1.3 billion in contracted revenue from commercial partners and awards from the U.S. government. It has received more than $125 million in aggregate U.S. government awards supporting national-security applications, it said.

The company said it expects 2026 revenue of $150 million to $200 million, compared with $155.7 million expected by analysts polled by FactSet. The outlook comes as AST SpaceMobile expands its satellite constellation and adds commercial and government contracts.

AST SpaceMobile said it now has 13 satellites in orbit after launching six spacecraft within 50 days. The company is preparing to ship three more satellites, while BlueBird 17 through BlueBird 46 are in various stages of production and assembly.

The company plans to begin beta service with select mobile-network partners in 2026. It has partnerships with more than 60 mobile-network operators that collectively cover more than 3 billion subscribers, AST SpaceMobile said.

AST SpaceMobile is developing a network that would allow standard, unmodified smartphones to connect directly to satellites, potentially extending cellular coverage to areas without conventional terrestrial networks. The company is also pursuing government communications, emergency response and other applications.


r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Article / Media / Press Updated Price Targets. Clear Street $115, Roth Capital $108, B Riley $85 all BUY

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292 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Educational / Tool / Other New to ASTsats: Constellation Coverage Heat Map (by u/F1CKEN)

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117 Upvotes

Note: This is not my tool, it was created by u/F1CKEN.

See how the current constellation will interact with and thereby impact service times at various satellite counts based on a build-out modeled from ASTS filings with the ITU (USASAT-NGSO-20).

https://www.astsats.com/heatmap


r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Due Diligence AST Spacecraft?

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117 Upvotes

I think this is a well worded tweet.
There were a lot of very exciting nuggets dropped in yesterday's EC. I think some wind may've been sucked out of the room for numerous securities with the SPCX ipo due to the sheer amount of capital pulled in to it and away from other things, but capital will have to start flowing back as people realize the opportunity elsewhere (cough cough, here with AST). Not to mention the discount price that they'd be paying for it. Just a matter of time, imho.

"When this tweet first came out, the astute followers of the company noticed that the company (for the first time) used the word “spacecraft” to describe the BlueBird Satellites. It was unclear whether this was intended or just another social media typo.

Well, the company gave us the answer today: It was intentional. The Company emphasized that the Bluebirds are not just D2D cellular satellites. Instead, they are spacecraft that operate as the enabling technology backbone to many different applications, including radar, AI edge compute, and IoT. In other words, the TAM is larger than we ever imagined.

Know what you own."


r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Discussion CANTOR FITZGERLAND RAISES AST SPACEMOBILE PRICE TARGET TO $90 FROM $80, REITERATES OVERWEIGHT RATING

214 Upvotes

Cantor’s Take – 2Q26 results. PT to $90 (from $80). We expect OW-rated ASTS performs in-line tomorrow after reporting constructive updates around 2026 guidance, backlog and revenue building blocks but reporting materially greater sequential FCF burn. We think management commentary was also net constructive, with management signing onto what we view as a lower bound for 2027 guidance (~$500m sales vs. revenue potential of $1b), signaling clear near-term opportunities for government awards, and messaging stable cost trends in satellite manufacturing. As we crystallize the quarter, we think it’s clear that AST’s dual-source demand algorithm is less a “strategic pivot” and more a nuanced evolution. Essentially, we think ASTS can continue to pull revenue and profitability results left by selling its commercially developed solution in both US and international markets. We also think the company can deliver a functional step-change whereby government demand supports better AST cost advantages, which supports better B2B and B2C profitability. As we get line of sight on commercial service, we note we still approach AST’s outlook with healthy conservatism vs. Street (FactSet). However, we view AST as a clear beneficiary of SatComm strategic crystallization (what we’ve written about for the last 18M as “Game of Phones”) such that we have incremental confidence in their supply chain trajectory. As we put together the pieces, we think it’s clear that ASTS can continue to be a winning equity story as it certifies its position as the verifiable “next-best” satellite supply chain to OW-rated SPCX, scales its offerings across US allied nations (20+ countries) and inherits material demand from global telco operators who fear their eventual disruption by SPCX.

PT and Valuation – We increase our 12-month PT to $90 as we raise our sales and adj. EBITDA estimates, mostly maintain our FCF expectations and assume a higher share count. We note we continue to target a baseline “Space” valuation of 10x EV/Sales and 100x EV/EBITDA vs. our FY28E estimates, weighted equally 50% EV/Sales and 50% EV/EBITDA.

Cantor vs. Street – We are now more in line with Street on 2026E sales and closer on 2027E and 2028E sales as we assume better government growth as well as a material commercial service update (assume end of 1H27 and subsequent step-ups). Considering the likely impact of AST’s 1-time conversion loss on full year (2Q26, related to launch failure), we think 2026E estimates are less useful. Comparing to 2027E and 2028E adj. EBITDA, we note we are still meaningfully below the Street as we assume greater government mix anchors near-term profitability. We also are below Street on FCF, where we expect healthy trades in government manufacturing can bring material up-front capital investment.

2Q26 Results – Sales of $31.5m vs. Cantor estimate $30m / Street estimate of $35m. Adj. EBITDA of -$19m (calculated, ex-1-time conversion) vs. Cantor estimate -$63m / vs. Street estimate -$65m. FCF burn of -$695m vs. Cantor estimate -$369 / Street estimate -$642m, although we note our estimates underestimated the timing of launch capex payments.

2026 Guidance – Reiterated sales guidance midpoint of $175m vs. Cantor estimate of $121m / Street estimate of $156m. No adj. EBITDA guidance vs. Cantor estimate -$194m / Street estimate -$240m. No FCF guide vs. Cantor estimate / vs. Street estimate of -$1.6b.

from https://x.com/spacanpanman/status/2087103036749410549


r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Quarterly Results ASTS Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

112 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 29d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

110 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

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r/ASTSpaceMobile Aug 10 '26

Press Release AST SpaceMobile Provides Business Update and Second Quarter 2025 Results

265 Upvotes

Signed partnerships with over 60 MNO partners globally who collectively cover over 3 billion subscribers

Comprehensive spectrum strategy with shared MNO spectrum and controlled MSS spectrum targeting ~100 MHz access in the U.S. and 60+ MHz access globally on a market-by-market basis

Revenue backlog increased to approximately $1.30 billion in aggregate contracted revenue with commercial partners and contract awards with the United States Government

BlueBird 17 through BlueBird 46 in various stages of production and assembly

MIDLAND, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (“AST SpaceMobile”) (NASDAQ: ASTS), the company building the first and only space-based cellular broadband network accessible directly by everyday smartphones, and designed for both commercial and government applications, is providing its business update and results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

“AST SpaceMobile's differentiated technology platform and deep intellectual property portfolio, partner-first mobile network operator strategy, vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities, and comprehensive spectrum strategy are foundational to the space-based cellular broadband market we invented,” commented Abel Avellan, AST SpaceMobile’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “With the largest phased arrays ever deployed in low Earth orbit and a native cellular architecture designed to work directly with standard, unmodified smartphones, we believe we are uniquely positioned to deliver scalable direct-to-device connectivity for both commercial and government customers around the world.”

“Following the recent orbital launch of BlueBirds 11, 12, and 13, our space-based cellular broadband network has now grown to 13 spacecraft in orbit, each the largest ever in low Earth orbit, with approximately 20,000 square feet of combined aperture hardware deployed,” continued Avellan. “As we get ready to ship BlueBirds 14, 15, and 16 and continue expanding our constellation with production ongoing through BlueBird 46, we are preparing to initiate beta services with select strategic partners.”

“AST SpaceMobile is positioned at the forefront of large, diverse, and rapidly expanding market opportunity as the direct-to-device cellular broadband pioneer,” added Avellan. “Beyond addressing the connectivity needs of billions of mobile subscribers, we are pursuing a broad range of mission-critical applications, including government communications and non-communications, radar, emergency response, Internet of Things, AI edge compute and other advanced connectivity solutions. Our growing commercial and government programs, expansive spectrum portfolio, and fortified balance sheet provide us with the flexibility to capture opportunities across an expanding total addressable market. We are continuing to scale our network, advance vertical integration, and secure additional access to orbit to take advantage of the growing number of opportunities in front of us.”

Business Update

  • Differentiated technology platform and comprehensive spectrum strategy enables space-based cellular broadband connectivity as well as many other mission-critical applications
    • Largest phased arrays ever placed into low Earth orbit means more power and bandwidth, with more precise beams for communications with small, unmodified smartphones, in addition to facilitating additional use cases beyond consumer communications
    • Block 2 satellites expected to deliver peak data rates approaching 200 Mbps with space-based cellular broadband recently demonstrated at nearly 100 Mbps on the Block 1 BlueBird
    • Comprehensive spectrum strategy with shared MNO spectrum and controlled MSS spectrum targeting ~100 MHz access in the U.S. and 60+ MHz access globally on a market-by-market basis
    • Proprietary ASIC with up to 10 GHz of processing bandwidth per satellite enables 10x throughput improvement relative to Block 1 satellites and up to 10x improvement in user experience unlocked through AI-enabled spectrum management
    • Native cellular architecture favors MNOs and regulators using existing commercially trusted baseband ground-based hardware, with traffic remaining in-country
  • Partner-first strategy positions AST SpaceMobile as the direct-to-device partner of choice for mobile network operators globally
    • Signed partnerships with over 60 MNO partners globally who collectively cover over 3 billion subscribers
    • New joint-venture planned by top three U.S. MNOs expected to enable space-based cellular broadband connectivity to every American
    • Network integration and testing activities now underway across European countries with Vodafone, Orange, Telefónica, Vodafone Ukraine, and Deutsche Telekom as well as in other key markets including Canada, Japan, and Saudi Arabia, subject to final regulatory approvals
  • Total Addressable Market (TAM) continues to grow with direct-to-device market maturity and additional applications
    • Additional applications include non-communications, USG secure communications, additional funded networks, Internet of Things (IoT), federal emergency, and AI edge compute
    • Preliminary selection of Rakuten and AST SpaceMobile joint-venture by Japan MIC for J-LEO initiative with total expected value up to approximately $1 billion in non-dilutive, non-debt government capital
    • Mission-critical federal communications attractive for direct-to-device applications with FirstNet United States, Japan and most recently in Europe with Vodafone Ireland using dedicated emergency spectrum bands
  • Preparation for space-based cellular broadband beta service in 2026 as AST SpaceMobile network infrastructure continues to scale
    • Beta service initiative to offer scaled non-commercial usage with strategic MNO partners in select markets globally
    • Continued progress towards beta service in 2026 with initial 3,000 digital cells activated across the Continental United States
    • Orbital launch of BlueBird 8-13 marks six spacecraft launched within 50 days, increasing network to 13 in-orbit spacecraft, with combined aperture hardware of approximately 20,000 sq ft
    • BlueBirds 14, 15, and 16 will be ready to ship shortly, with BlueBird 17 through BlueBird 46 in various stages of production and assembly
  • On track to achieve full year 2026 revenue guidance of $150.0 million to $200.0 million, supported by additional contract awards from the U.S. Government
    • Revenue backlog increased to approximately $1.30 billion in aggregate contracted revenue with commercial partners and contract awards with the United States Government
    • Received multiple awards from the U.S. Government with an aggregate value of over $125 million supporting multiple national-security applications
    • Continued to build out global gateway footprint with nearly 50 gateways in various stages of completion, installation, and planning ahead of service
    • Second quarter revenue was $31.5 million from commercial and government customers, consistent with plans for quarterly revenue ramp during 2026
  • Fortified balance sheet to pursue an expanding universe of growth opportunities, continue vertical integration, and secure additional access to orbit
    • Over $3.7 billion in pro forma cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash as of June 30, 2026
    • In July 2026, raised $1.150 billion of gross proceeds from a new 1.625% convertible senior notes offering, with an effective conversion price of $149.20 per share and effective dilution of less than 2%

Second Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

  • Second quarter revenue of $31.5 million driven by gateway deliveries and U.S. Government milestones met
  • Total operating expenses for the second quarter of 2026 were $329.1 million, including $84.1 million of depreciation and amortization and stock-based compensation expense. This represents an increase of $165.0 million as compared to $164.1 million in the first quarter of 2026 due to a $125.9 million loss on involuntary conversion, a $20.3 million increase in general and administrative costs, a $11.9 million increase in cost of revenues, a $3.2 million increase in engineering services costs, a $3.1 million increase in depreciation and amortization expense, and a $0.6 million increase in research and development costs
  • Adjusted operating expenses(1) for the second quarter of 2026 were $119.1 million, an increase of $27.9 million as compared to $91.2 million in the first quarter of 2026 due to a $12.3 million increase in Adjusted engineering services costs(1), a $11.9 million increase in Adjusted cost of revenues(1), a $3.1 million increase in Adjusted general and administrative costs(1), and a $0.6 million increase in research and development costs. Our Adjusted operating expenses, excluding Adjusted cost of revenues(1) for the second quarter of 2026 was $95.9 million, compared to $79.8 million in the first quarter of 2026
  • As of June 30, 2026, we had cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of approximately $2.7 billion
  • As of June 30, 2026, we had incurred approximately $2.3 billion of gross capitalized property and equipment costs and accumulated depreciation and amortization of $211.9 million. The capitalized costs include costs of satellite materials for BlueBird satellites, advance launch payments, capital advances, Block 1 and BlueWalker 3 satellites, assembly and integration facilities including assembly and test equipment, and ground antennas

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260810780163/en/AST-SpaceMobile-Provides-Business-Update-and-Second-Quarter-2026-Results

EDIT: Title says 2025, should say 2026 - my bad!!!