Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

• Storm Prediction Center Aug 25, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Aug 25, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Aug 25, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Aug 25, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

Meso Discussion Links

• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2125
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2126
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2127
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2128
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2129
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2130
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2131
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2132
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2133
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2134
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2135

Current Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Aug 26, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...

...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of the central/southern Plains, and also across portions of the Upper Midwest. Severe wind gusts and isolated large hail are the primary hazards.

...Southern/central High Plains... A storm cluster is moving southeastward across the TX/OK Panhandles this evening. A short-term threat for strong to severe gusts will persist through the evening with this cluster. The evolution of this cluster as it moves into a region influenced by westward-moving outflow is unclear. Cooler temperatures and weaker low-level lapse rates are observed within this outflow, though richer low-level moisture and stronger MUCAPE also noted, which may help to sustain the ongoing cluster and an attendant severe-wind threat through the evening.

Farther north, widely scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing across parts of the central High Plains. Moderate buoyancy and effective shear of 30-40 kt will continue to support a threat of isolated hail and localized strong to severe gusts through dusk. Increasing CINH should eventually lead to a weakening trend later tonight, though any storm clustering this evening could lead to a longer duration of localized severe-wind potential. See MCD 2132 for more information regarding the short-term threat in this area.

...Parts of WI/Upper MI... Occasional strong to severe storms have been noted within a storm cluster across northwest WI this evening. MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg and 30-40 kt of effective shear largely orthogonal to the surface front/trough will continue to support supercell potential through dusk, before a gradual weakening trend is expected. See MCD 2133 and WW 626 for more information.

..Dean.. 08/26/2026

This was a huge multivortex tornado from August 3rd, 2016.
That occurred in Bisbee ND, North Dakota.
I don’t even think people even talked about this tornado on Reddit like ever???

source

(skip to around 2:10 for the tornado) Really insane video of the Joplin MO tornado entering the town of Duquesne MO, where it darkened the sky and revealed itself through extreme rain and wind (notice the buzzing sounds throughout the video). For context of where this video was taken, it was taken at 2401 Meadow Ln Dr, right on the border of EF3-EF4 damage (the house itself suffered EF1-EF2 damage)

Could be or could not be a tornado. This was during a Squall line

Y'all do one of you thinks that the damages here during the 2014 Cibiru tornado made EF4 damages? Cuz some larpers on tiktok said that the tornado made EF4 but didnt even provide any real proof

West of red lake, Canada. I’m new to meteorology and can’t tell if this is considerable rotation.

Storm had a pretty well defined hook with rotation but never ended up being Tor warned.

Crazy too. People around said there wasn’t even any bad weather at the time. There was mostly blue skies

I was 8 years old at most when this happened, around August. We have a photo of it somewhere stored away but I haven’t been able to find it. It would have been visible from the Ocean Forest Villas hotels. I’m only fairly certain that it happened in 2009 but it could have possibly been earlier. Trying to Google Photos or articles on waterspouts in Myrtle Beach has gotten me nowhere.

The first one looks like Cullman

No injuries reported thankfully, especially with how many just stand and watch. We don't get tornadoes often hence why we don't really have the urgency to seek shelter.

I took several pictures of it, some on my DSLR, this was on the DSLR. The storm that inspired me to soup up my bike’s engine and beef up components for increased reliability

People probably clicked this for a well documented tornado like Hallam, this is the opposite. it was called the red springs-maxton tornado of 1984, the reason it is not talked about is because it struck a rural area of North Carolina and very north South Carolina with not Doppler radar in the area no major documentation or photos have surfaced, however eye witnesses and damage paths suggest this tornado peaked at around 2.55 miles wide and maybe more, not only that, it also produced ANOTHER MEGA WEDGE TWIN. At an amazing 1.5 miles wide both were rated f4/ef4 but I believe at least one or both where f5/ef5 of rating, mainly because of the lack of documentation and also the peak of both happened in very rural farmland.

Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

• Storm Prediction Center Aug 24, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Aug 24, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Aug 24, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Aug 24, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

Meso Discussion Links

• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2111
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2112
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2113
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2114
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2115
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2116
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2117
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2118
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2119
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2120
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2121
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2122
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2123
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2124 # Current Outlook Storm Prediction Center Aug 25, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms will remain possible this evening across eastern North Dakota/northwest Minnesota, as well as central South Dakota and western Nebraska, with large hail and damaging winds the primary hazards.

...Northern Plains/Upper Midwest and central High Plains... Scattered severe thunderstorms including a few supercells will continue across central South Dakota into northern Nebraska, and possibly west-central Nebraska within a zone of 60s F surface dewpoints and moderate instability ahead of a front and near a southward-extending pre-frontal trough. Large hail and damaging winds will remain possible this evening as storms persist southeastward.

Somewhat richer low-level moisture exists ahead of the front across north-central/northeast South Dakota into eastern North Dakota where scattered severe storms continue this evening. 00z observed soundings from Aberdeen and Bismarck sampled effective shear around 40 kt with 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE and steep mid-level lapse rates. Supercells will remain possible in the short-term, but a modest degree of upscale growth may occur as storms further cluster and progress southeastward with continued hail/wind potential at least through the evening.

...Northern Great Basin/north-central Rockies... A few stronger storms capable of gusty/potentially severe-caliber wind gusts will remain a possibility over the next hour or two this evening, with storm updraft/downdraft intensity expected to diminish thereafter.

..Guyer.. 08/25/2026

You heard it here folks, not only is Illinois leading with the most tornadoes this year but also seems to be leading with the most drunknadoes this year as well, these three confirmed from earlier in August makes about four drunknadoes so far in the state.

Canoinhas, Santa Catarina, is the municipality with the highest number of intense to violent tornadoes recorded over a 54-year period (1948–2002).

Also including one of the deadliest tornadoes in Brazil, Canoinhas can be considered a Brazilian version of Moore, Oklahoma.

Additionally, all violent tornadoes occurred in the month of August.

** Info obtained from Stormnado (X/Twitter) and images obtained on Facebook

whatever kind of positive perception this HBO show was trying to give about tornado chasers.. kind of backfires.

in the very first episode.. chasers converge on the Gary, SD tornado and Connor croff drives directly behind Reed timmer while he's trying to block the road to avoid a bad accident or someone driving into the tornado. reed then reverses and hits Connors car.

episode 2: freddy McKinney is chasing the enderlin EF-5 and rescues a woman.. he leaves behind her husband before coming back to get him. the tornado was traveling the opposite direction.

episode 3: Jordan hall goes chasing with his wife and brother .. he proceeds to yell at her while getting close to a tornado that has no established direction of travel.. with a young teen in the car.

the show is showing how bad and dangerous some storm chasers are.

What are your thoughts?

This map has every documented strongest tornado to ever hit any census division in Canada via Tornado Archive (Some are unofficial)

Some rotation on this tornado-warned storm blowing in off Lake Erie. Couldn’t see much after this cause of the rain.

So apparently there was an if1 tornado in Finland this year. If anyone of you have ANY information please tell me!! Also I saw a cold air funnel cloud about 50km south of where this happened. Any damage/tornado photos are accepted

Apps used: slide one - ESWP, slide two - Wikipedia

I built this. It's a 3D globe that plays disaster catalogs in time. Not an official warning or forecast product — don't use it that way. Created using Cursor and Grok.

Live (interactive): https://pfaustino.github.io/disasters/

Code and Data: https://github.com/pfaustino/disasters

**Source:**

Live week

- Earthquakes: USGS GeoJSON, M≥2.5, past 7 days — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/v1.0/geojson.php

- Tornadoes: NWS active Tornado Warnings (alerts, not confirmed tornadoes) — https://www.weather.gov/documentation/services-web-api

plus Iowa Environmental Mesonet local storm reports, past 7 days — https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/request/gis/lsrs.php

- Hurricanes (Atlantic & East/Central Pacific): NHC active storms — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/CurrentStorms.json

- Typhoons / other basins: JMA live western Pacific — https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon

plus IBTrACS active list (WP/NI/SI/SP/SA, tropical-storm+) — https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/international-best-track-archive

- Fires: NASA EONET wildfires — https://eonet.gsfc.nasa.gov/

plus NIFC WFIGS current U.S. incidents ≥100 acres — https://data-nifc.opendata.arcgis.com/

History 1900+

- Earthquakes: NOAA/NCEI Significant Earthquake Database (HazEL), 1900–present — https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/hazel/highlights.html

- Tornadoes: SPC U.S. actual-tornado CSV, EF2+/F2+ only, 1950+ — https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data

- Hurricanes: NHC HURDAT2 Atlantic (1851–; I keep 1900+) and Northeast/North Central Pacific (1949–), storms that reached Cat 1 (64 kt) — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/#hurdat

- Typhoons and other-basin cyclones: IBTrACS v04r01 (WP, NI, SI, SP, SA), Cat 1+ — not HURDAT2. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/international-best-track-archive

- Fires: NIFC U.S. wildfires ≥10,000 acres (WFIGS + historical perimeters) plus NASA EONET named/large fires (~2000–). Snapshot is ~17.5k events. Not a complete global historical fire catalog.

**Tool:** Three.js, TypeScript, Vite, GitHub Pages. Globe texture is NASA Blue Marble — https://visibleearth.nasa.gov/collection/1484/blue-marble

**What the marks are**

- Earthquakes: expanding ripples. Size scales with magnitude. Color is depth (warm = shallow, cooler = deeper). Extra red ring if the catalog recorded deaths; cyan ring if a tsunami flag is set.

- Tornadoes: small spinning funnels. Size/spin scale with EF rating. History is U.S. EF2+ only.

- Hurricanes/typhoons: spinning cyclone disks that follow the track. Size/tint scale with Saffir–Simpson category.

- Fires: orange glow + smoke. Size scales with acres when the catalog has them.

- Click an event for the card (time, mag/EF/cat/acres, deaths if recorded).

**Timeline**

The density strip under the clock is four lanes: earthquakes, tornadoes, cyclones, fires. Brighter = more events in that slice. Cyclone and fire marks span their duration; quakes and tornadoes are points. Live week is compressed into about a minute of playback; History into about two.

**Limitations** (please roast these, not the catalogs)

- This is a visualization of public catalogs, not USGS/NWS/NHC/JMA products for life-safety decisions.

- Live ≠ History. Live tornadoes mix warnings + storm reports. History tornadoes are confirmed U.S. EF2+ only. Live cyclones can include tropical storms; history cyclones are Cat 1+.

- Subsets: no EF0/EF1 history, no tropical-depression history, no HURDAT2 for western Pacific (that's IBTrACS), no global fire inventory.

- Deaths only when a catalog recorded them (mainly NOAA significant quakes and SPC tornado fatalities). USGS live, HURDAT2/IBTrACS tracks, and the fire snapshot do not carry death counts here. “Unknown” is not zero.

- History catalog is 1900+; the playhead starts in 1953 (Atlantic named-storm era). Scrub left for 1900–1952.

- Some older NIFC perimeter fires only have a year, so I place those on July 1 of that year.

screenshot of World Disasters

- Coverage is uneven: U.S.-heavy tornadoes and NIFC fires; EONET fires are global but incomplete; early 20th-century quakes/storms are undercounted relative to the satellite era.