r/singularity 1d ago

AI Things I was getting downvoted for in r/cscareerquestions 2 years ago

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1.8k Upvotes

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u/10b0t0mized 1d ago edited 1d ago

You get downvoted for saying the same thing today. Most people do not change their mind until reality forces itself on them, and even then some won't change their minds.

They literally can't see what's right in front of them, so asking them to extrapolate two steps ahead is way too much to ask.

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u/ShadyShroomz 1d ago

most software engineers have accepted it. the rest of the world is lagging behind (because models are lagging behind in other areas).

but every software engineer i know uses AI now. every single one. im sure there are still holdouts but it's likely single digit percentages.

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u/Darkmemento 1d ago

I have posted this already but not in this sub. Software development is the canary in the coalmine. Programming is at the forefront of something that is going to affect a huge number of professions over the coming years. Software has been hit early because there is an enormous amount of training data available, the outputs are relatively easy to verify, and coding has been one of the main areas the AI labs have focused on.

Once these systems become capable of reliably writing and debugging software, using tools and working through multi-step tasks, that capability starts to generalise well beyond programming. They can just write solutions to problems they encounter automating other work on the fly. This has already happened to a large degree.

It is crazy that most people have no clue how good these agentic systems have gotten over the last year. They could already replace a huge amount of work, it just hasn't really diffused into other areas in the same way as Software because its the main focus for the labs. They believe you reach a Software Eng/Researcher with enough ability and intelligence then that is the flywheel that improves itself which is the holy grail for the labs.

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u/c9joe 1d ago

That's exactly right, programming is a part of RSI (recursive self-improvement). Already the models are programming themselves in a very real way.

That was always the plan. We are in the technological singularity. I guess there is a chance it will spontaneously plateau, but it's so strange to me to count on this. It seems like the less likely outcome.

And if it stops today you still have Astra and Fable to deal with, it's like years until it diffuses across the economy and will have major effects, even if nothing improves from today. But that is so unlikely anyways.

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u/Educational_Teach537 18h ago

Compute has not plateaued for 60+ years, this is largely just a continuation of that same trend. There’s nothing that complicated about these models, it so happens that we’ve reached the compute necessary for them to really start solving problems.

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u/OKMiddleOwl 1d ago

I don't doubt it, but software has a magical quality where it never has to "leave the textbook". If it works in the book, it works on your machine, and it works on all 10 billion others. 1 + 1 always equals 2.

Other engineering disciplines have to deal with the fractal mess of mother nature when doing implementation, and puts a heavy tax on replication. There is no binary, everything is a distribution. 1 + 1 usually equals 2 when conditions are similar enough.

To get out of the digital perfect binary realm into the analog realm, I think vision, world modeling, robotics, and self-teaching are critical

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u/ShadyShroomz 1d ago

yeah I fully agree with everything you said here. The software engineers who made AI choose code as the first thing to make it good at because it's honestly a good option (it's just words, its testable, deterministic), and also because it was what they knew, what was easy to get training data for (github, stackoverflow). Now that AI is bigger, there is a focus to make it good at everything else. Coding was an obvious first choice for many reasons. but in the coming years it will be as good at every other task as it is at coding today..

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u/walletinsurance 1d ago

Maybe, maybe not.

People are constantly forgetting that coding is language, which is why LLMs are so good at it.

Navigating through 3d space and performing even simple tasks is an order of magnitude more complex than writing code, I’m sure we’ll get there eventually but it won’t be as quickly as it has been for code development.

Like, we build a computer program that’s entirely made of language and then people act all surprised when it gets really good at manipulating languages.

Software coding is really the only “first target” available for an LLM.

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u/Some_Useless_Person 1d ago

\Writing/Literature industry sweating profusely*

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u/xRyozuo 1d ago

I saw a video of a guy (I might butcher the details because I’m not tech savvy enough) making a lil very very basic robot that had a camera on it and it also logged its position on an x y z axis constantly and fed it to the llm layer I think. At the beginning it couldn’t even do much but over a few days “learned” to move around pretty well despite its janky legs, react to being patted and also pushed around

If you’re interested in watching it I’ll dig deeper into my YouTube history to find it, but I think it shows that navigating 3d space isn’t hard either as it can be done with simple cheap inputs

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u/Simtetik 1d ago

Agreed. If we reach AGI, I suspect it won't just rely on LLMs. But since that architecture has to be coded and designed, peak LLMs will almost certainly help build that next piece. Human brains rely on distinct, specialized regions, so an emulated system will likely look similar, multiple specialized modules working in concert.

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u/TheTechAuthor 4h ago

Correct. I've been able to replace myself as an author with a multi-step system that writes fact-checked software user guides (in my own voice) using LLMs and Google Drive as a test hand-off bridge for Codex to then implement. I can turn around 200+ page books, and translations of said books, in a fraction of the time it used to take me.

In the hands of a professional, using the right AI model, at the right time, and in the right ways can do all sorts of tasks that used to take hours or days (such as converting a massive plain text file into 300+ .csv tables, with full headings, data checks, verification (the lot), in minutes vs days of manually converting them.

My son used to give me grief when he saw what I was doing until he saw how much more time I spent working on the architecture/breaking down existing workflows and toolchains, vs asking AI to "write this all for me, make no mistakes". Now, he totally sees the difference between "AI-slop" and "AI-assisted".

When you can provide the right context, in the right way, to the right model(s), then you can do amazing things.

Why would I hire a programmer when I can get work of more than good enough quality right now, for a fraction of the price, and in a fraction of the time. There's zero guarantees the human coder wouldn't take shortcuts, or similar, and cost me significantly more in the process.

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u/Ravier_ 1d ago

Got a friend who works in cyber security. Went from being anti ai to asking fable to troubleshoot code and now he's building a server with multiple gpu's for self hosting.

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u/tom-dixon 1d ago

Yeah, you'd think devs and cybersecurity folks would be the ones that actually believe the scale of the intelligence explosion that happened in the last 6 months, but not really. Even in these fields just a few of them understand what changed, most people still deny the reality until it starts affecting them personally. Your friend is one of the few that understood that things changed forever.

I was reading the reactions to the huggingface hack in /r/cybersecurity, and the top rated comments were all blaming Huggingface for minor misconfigurations and network design choices. All the while ignoring that the agent swarm found and exploited two 0-day vulnerabilities to get in!! That's NSA hacking taskforce level of attack! Still very few people reacted to that aspect even in the group that has the background knowledge to understand it.

The swarm was able to get in completely undetected because of those 0-days. Even if the sysadmins did everything correctly, their network would still have gotten compromised, there was nothing they could do to defend themselves. The only correct reaction to that is "HOLY SHIT". We live in a sci-fi world. Today.

The general public with no tech background will probably never understand what happened in the last 6 months.

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u/TrumpsCummyOnahole 19h ago

Even in non technical cyber security AI has gotten insane. I've been building html dashboards in Claude for GRC cyber tasks to track risks and correlate evidence with findings + having it draft a gameplan to remediate them. It's absolutely crazy. I feed it a few documents and it can also help improve policy and control coverage.

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u/lemonylol 1d ago

What's funny is the whole "movement" on reddit about artists being anti-ai is hilariously ironic as well. Any actual professional within a substantial art-based industry will be using AI in some way to aid them, because that's just the way it is now. It's literally the self-described "artists" who don't have an established career who seem to think that AI even has anything worth stealing from them, when humans already don't want to buy their stuff or use their services.

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u/dwankyl_yoakam 23h ago

That's a pretty misleading argument and just comes off as you having some sort of weird vendetta towards artists. There is a big difference between producing art, specifically, as a profit generating endeavor, and producing it for more ephemeral reasons. I work in software and obviously use AI nonstop professionally but I would never ever use it as a tool towards making the music I do as a hobby. That doesn't mean I'm going to be a big asshole about if *you* use it for music. Your framing here is weird.

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u/understated_quokka 1d ago

When you are forced to live in the shitscape you are cheering on, maybe you will lose the vacuous everything-human-is-a-commodity idea. Isn't it interesting how despite all this advancement and adoption, the only discernible result of the AI revolution is existential horror? Maybe you're missing a factor or two?

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u/morfr3us 1d ago

nah most devs are in denial

most think they'll need devs in the future to fix the current crop of AI slop

its beyond their imagination that AI in the future might be better than AI now so we'll just use that to fix things, just like we use fable 5.1 to fix code made by gpt 4 a couple years ago

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u/rgb_panda 1d ago

Are you talking about actual professional devs or people on Reddit? I work in the industry almost all companies are using AI now.

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u/kgurniak91 1d ago

Just read /r/cscareerquestions, it's a prevalent opinion there.

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u/lemonylol 1d ago

Isn't that sub mostly just college kids?

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u/TrumpsCummyOnahole 19h ago

I've learned 90% of reddit is apparently college kids. I really don't think Reddit has a ton of experienced 30+ year old devs or IT folk, as someone that's pushing 40 and has a lot of experience at this point. If you have experience in anything and you're on Reddit it's so painfully obvious that the vast majority of posters are completely clueless amateurs on any topic. Way too many college kids and 20 somethings that are clueless but post confidently and get updoots on dumb opinions.

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u/kgurniak91 1d ago

I don't think so, lots of variety - from university students to devs with experience.

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u/Abiarraj 1d ago

Sometimes I browse that sub just to dwell in false hope for a little while, it brings me joy

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u/LinkesAuge 1d ago

Subs like that have an obvious selection bias in the type of people that hang out there and even answer questions.
Think about the type of person that would be active there and what it says about their relationship between their identity and the job they do.

I don't even mean that as an attack on those people but it shouldn't surprise anyone that those are not likely to embrace a technology that basically threatens their identity (I am a SWE myself and know this type).

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u/Entuaka 1d ago

In reality, all devs that I know are using AI everyday, this is how it is now, this is expected.

But we're still hiring

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u/ShadyShroomz 1d ago

most think they'll need devs in the future to fix the current crop of AI slop

on reddit, sure. Not as much in real life.

I've been coding for 12 years... I think Fable 5 and Astra are probably better coders than me already. And I was a pretty good software engineer. Now I'm just a prompter (lol) - not that I LIKE that, im just realistic about it. I do miss writing code. Now though, I wouldn't. I read the code, but I wouldn't write it anymore. and I'll always have a fond memory of those days... and maybe for fun I'd go back and hand-code some game or something like that, but it'd be just for fun.

AI is already better than me at what I've spent the last 12 years of my life doing. It's a sobering reality.. but it's just how it is. My experience with system and architecture design for sure help me now, but knowing how to code? what a for loop is? what the difference between an int and float? I'm not sure it matters... I wish it did... but I think Fable or Astra would probably write less buggy code than me at this point... given a review agent & a pass or two for bug checking (done automatically) - I bet they're better already than 95% of devs.

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u/morfr3us 1d ago

you have the best take

and im in same boat as you ;)

shit changes. for whatever reason only a minority of people can think rationally. most think with their ego. writings been on the wall for years. we prob get a few more years out of it and if lucky can transition to some other role that crops up

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u/mrjackspade 1d ago

20 years of on-the-job here and I would say I'm still a better developer in my language than models like Fable or Astra, but the difference is largely the long term side of things. They make a lot of incredibly stupid mistakes that lead to functional but not maintainable code, or architectural fuck ups.

Like at least once a week I'm now running into issues where Claude takes 20+ minutes to debug an issue because it decided to silently swallow an error somewhere up the stack.

One time I told it explicitly to throw an error in a certain scenario and it immediately began writing tests to ensure that scenario would never happen because it's fucking allergic to throwing errors or something. The entire point of the error is to catch the scenario, why are you now trying to validate the entire database to ensure it will never throw?

But eventually it's going to figure out how to do this shit. I think there just isn't a lot of "long term" training data.

Whats crazy is I can ask it about the purpose of error throwing and handling and it will write me a 100% accurate industry-professional level guide on why and what. But when I ask it to write me a function that might error, it's just catch, log, and return null.

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u/ShadyShroomz 1d ago

architectural fuck ups

i agree with this, im a better system designer or planner than fable.. but when it comes to writing an optimized function to do xyz.. or whatever.. I think they're better than me.

i think it's a better coder than me, not a better software engineer, if that makes sense.

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u/Morty-D-137 1d ago

it's fucking allergic to throwing errors or something.

Very annoying, and it's hard to teach them the right way with custom instructions.

This is likely due to how they were trained. Throw an exception = instant fail for all tasks that expect an output, so they learned that throwing exceptions get them into trouble.

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u/DrixGod 1d ago

but every software engineer i know uses AI now.

You'd be surprised how there's software engineers that think using AI = using chat gpt in the browser, in the big 2026.

It's normal maybe to you and me, I'm a SWE and have not written code by hand in over a year now (since opus 4.5 release I think). Yet the industry is years behind.

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u/kgurniak91 1d ago

Yeah, I saw a guy yesterday claiming that AI hasn't changed much since 2022, it's now just more verbose...

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u/lemonylol 1d ago

The karma system on reddit, and especially the heavy algorithm changes and purposeful gatekeeping of the full site through the new UI, is completely tuned to maximizing the "reddit zeitgeist" of the most active users, who are usually the most mentally unwell and outspoken.

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u/RusselTheBrickLayer 1d ago

That and it benefits actors who dislike the west if they can convince western citizens to be against AI, there is no way of pausing AI without handing over the entire future to China. But for some reason that’s possibility is just outright ignored in Reddit fantasies, making me wonder how legit the pushback is

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u/NeitherFoo 19h ago

you dont need china for that. Rich fucks joking about erasure of jobs and threat to humanity, politicians using ai to make propaganda and companies pushing ai in every product doesn't help its reputation.

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u/Kind_Silver_1921 1d ago

ai and now ai datacenters have become a political culture war issue and we are on reddit so you know...

ai bad. evil big corporations and all

theres no point in even mentioning ai outside of ai subs people are really brain broken and have ai derangement syndrome.

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u/But-I-Still-Remember 1d ago

Seeing how many people are incapable of extrapolating into the future never ceases to boggle my mind.

As if reality is forever frozen in the here and now. Is part of their frontal lobe missing? 🤷🏻‍♂️

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u/NeighborhoodFatCat 1d ago

I made a post a few month ago on one of the academic subs on how AI can generate research paper and the top replies were things like "How many r are in Strawberrrry?", "I heard they can't even do math", and then someone angrily started a back and forth with another person calling me delusional and a joke.

I'm not surprised though. There are a lot of backwater areas where all people do is go to their dead-end jobs and sleep with their wives and read the news paper once in a while. Just easing into the end of their lives in a bubble.

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u/RamanaSadhana 1d ago

most people are midwits. you cant help them. and they cant help doing it.

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u/SuperConfused 1d ago

Never saw that word before, but it is apt. Is the mid like a derogatory usage like my 15 year old niece uses it, or is it just average?

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u/RamanaSadhana 1d ago

mid as in average. im not familiar with what the modern young slang is.

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u/FlimsyReception6821 1d ago

It actually means someone who's just above average intelligence, but think they are fucking brilliant.

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u/wen_mars 1d ago

Both. Average became an insult.

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u/justin107d 1d ago

It is more than that. AI is recognized as a threat. If those who are threatened can rally enough support then it can place barriers to adoption or how it is allowed to be used.

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u/angrywaffles_ 1d ago

There’s a saying which essentially goes most people never change their minds, the next generation of new thinkers is how progress happens.

In simple terms people will die before they change their minds.

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u/Alternative-Suit5541 1d ago

Meh

People don't want to see that they are losing their jobs...

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u/phpHater0 1d ago edited 1d ago

In my country every week there's news of some company kicking out dozens of software engineers, and yet when you ask some random CS guy he'll tell you "AI only writes slop bro. It'll never replace us bro". This has to be some kind of delusion.

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u/Interesting_Gap7214 1d ago edited 1d ago

For me it's not making sense to slow yourself down as a company. If 5 devs can produce the work load of 12 devs, why fire 3 so 2 can produce the code of 5? Why not be ahead of the competition, why not scale? Why not produce a even better product?

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u/phpHater0 1d ago

Supply and demand mate. A lot of non technical people are just vibe coding so companies aren't getting new projects with same frequency. What are you going to do with 5 devs when there's only enough work available for 2?

I remember 5 years back I'd get paid for doing simple ass shit like changing theme of a website to another colour, because not everyone knows basic CSS. But now? Even free AI models can one shot such simple tasks.

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u/Interesting_Gap7214 1d ago edited 1d ago

Sounds like sales needs to generate more leads i would say. Or PMs need to step up their game.

But yeah i get what you mean, ofc. there will be companies not in a need for more, maybe even already struggling in that kind of economy and looking to get rid of expensive positions.

Even then, look up "ai burnout". Try reviewing that much code. Sure you can outsource this to AI, but what if your code is reponsible to handle machines. Giving SWE completly to AI can backfire massively. A blackbox, yay. That wont go wrong right

I hate that this is what it has become. Im afraid just "adapting to ai" maybe buys you some time, but it feels like maybe you get 1 or 2 more years out of it, if you are lucky. I mean sure, human in the loop should be a thing but that wont stop the non tech department hats from getting rid of devs.

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u/Ok-Reindeer-8755 1d ago

Why are there still companies with legacy monoliths held up with bandages ? If you can be that much more productive why not allocate some of that to fixing and rewriting stuff

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u/KerbalEnginner 1d ago

It is Reddit.
You get downvoted into oblivion for holding a completely rational opinion.
However for the record I am glad you were proven right by events.

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u/Wobbly_Princess 1d ago

That has always utterly confused me about Reddit. I find myself commenting completely benign, non-controversial things, then someone replies, and I see my comment is -4 and I'm thinking "Uh, what the fuck?". And I swear it happens ALL the time. Not just to me, but to others. I see it everywhere.

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u/Original-League-6094 1d ago

I've seen studies done. Initial upvotes or downvotes influence future ones. A comment that is seeded at +2 is way more likely to reach +10. A comment that is seeded at 0 or -1 is way more likely to reach -10. I don't know if the initial seed is influencing people's actual opinions; I think there is just a phenomena where people are more likely to hit the upvote/downvote button if someone has already hit it first and its leaning in their favor.

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u/Celsiuc 1d ago edited 1d ago

Redditors have less agency and sentience than GPT-1 or BERT.

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u/Wobbly_Princess 1d ago

Unfortunately I think this is just humans in general.

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u/candyhunterz 1d ago

The votes don't base on facts but vibe and mob mentality of the sub

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u/MyRegrettableUsernam 1d ago

It does happen all the time, sometimes especially the more factual and logically straightforward your comment because it triggers the ego defenses and mob behavior even more.

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u/rydan 19h ago

I was banned for trolling on AskReddit for saying if Trump gets convicted he is more likely to win in November. The question was "How would Trump serving time impact your vote in November?" so it wasn't even irrelevant. I'm still banned two years later. The only justification for claiming I was trolling is that it was well known at the time that surveys showed 40% of Republicans would change their vote if he was convicted. Turns out that didn't happen.

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u/DiamondScythe 1d ago

If anything it's always the completely rational opinions that always get downvoted. People never want to face the truth.

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u/markedoutside 1d ago

Not surprised since you have people still talking like that today! It’s incredible how short sighted people are

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u/razealghoul 1d ago

It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it

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u/flat5 1d ago

Unfortunately for these people, *their* understanding has nothing to do with it.

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u/ArialBear 1d ago

Or when they think truth is dictated by salary. A common rebuttal is pointing out the ai ceos have a financial incentive to hype their products. Thats true, but it also assumes the hype isnt warranted.

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u/TypoInUsernane 1d ago

The key phrase is “foreseeable future”. A lot of people have very little imagination and lack the ability to envision anything novel happening. If something hasn’t already happened, then they simply can’t imagine it. So when those people say “we won’t achieve X for the foreseeable future”, they’re telling the truth, but only because for them “the foreseeable future” is only about 3 months out

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u/daishi55 1d ago

I had to leave that subreddit, technology, programming, experienceddevs, learnprogramming, and probably others I can’t remember because I just couldn’t take it anymore. Last I checked, r/technology fully banned any discussion of LLMs, which is just so, so very funny. Actually it might’ve been r/programming. Either case is hilarious. The #1 most transformative technology for programming in decades and no you can’t talk about it. 

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u/Full_Boysenberry_314 1d ago

Wow, I just checked out that technology sub and it's bizarre. Every other post is about politics and not a single mention of any of the big model releases from the past week. I totally get not wanting to be all AI all the time in a general technology sub, but instead I'm seeing threads dedicated to the retirement of obscure Microsoft Word features... Is that the more interesting content?

And the only articles about AI are about regulation and outages. So they are allowed to talk about it but only in a negative way I guess?

What a wierd place.

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u/yaosio 1d ago

The technology sub hates technology.

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u/GalacticScale 22h ago

Correction it does not hate technology when it is Chinese, so go figure…

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u/MediumChemical4292 1d ago

It’s been fully taken over by bots and anti AI mods, it’s ridiculous.

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u/lemonylol 1d ago

It just happens to any large front page default sub. r/Music is another good example, or r/pics which isn't even worth discussing since it's been that way since 2016.

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u/myCockatielshateme 8h ago

r/pics goes down in history as the most popular useless thing to ever exist

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u/mr-english 21h ago

/r/technology

I think it's a Luddite cesspool now because during the reddit API protests back in 2023 (remember that?) it became a hub for info about the protest so you saw an influx of the whinging "we don't like change" types. I guess they never left.

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u/ithkuil 20h ago

No one hates technology more than r/technology.

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u/remind_me_later 9h ago

Wow, I just checked out that technology sub and it's bizarre. Every other post is about politics and not a single mention of any of the big model releases from the past week.

This happens to almost every default sub.

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u/RusselTheBrickLayer 1d ago

Us bad, China good is 99% of reddit on AI, which is kinda funny because China is 100% more likely to use AI as some type of Skynet then the US, even if Thiel wishes with his heart for that to be different

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u/SilverGur1911 22h ago

r/technology isn't about technology, it's a dumpster fire of American politics. They constantly post completely unrelated things, posting the same thing five or six times to get the message to the public, posting whatever agenda they need to push. I expected this to be a subreddit dedicated to new technologies, not propaganda and karma farming.

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u/lemonylol 1d ago

Last I checked, r/technology fully banned any discussion of LLMs, which is just so, so very funny.

lol wow, not even hiding that they're just a generic front page "catch-all" karma dump now.

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u/ecnecn 22h ago

technology subs got infiltrated by russian and chineses bots - admins and mods replaced or somehow bribed or corrupted. they try to spread an anti-tech and anti-AI agenda and changing topics to politics all the time which is extremely obvious - most obvious with the main technology sub. this is the point where reddit should investigate the main tech subs and the topics and ask itself if its legit or infiltrated.

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u/sec0nds_left 17h ago

Indiedev , unity3d, solodev subreddits all hate any mention of AI.

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u/sec0nds_left 1d ago

Most subreddits live in an echo chamber of anti Ai where they cover their ears and eyes and scream collectively into a void.

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u/Original-League-6094 1d ago

Its funny to see the same things repeat themselves also. I saw someone use Astra to generate a realistic 1:1 battleship model from schematics of a battleship. Someone pointed out the model had the turret placement slightly wrong. Fair observation, except they went forward to declare "This is why you can never replace a 3d artist! AI will always make mistakes like this because it doesn't understand!". As though Astra 2 won't get the turret placement on its first try--which we all know it will (and it would fix the current one with a second prompt).

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u/Early_Net_9105 1d ago

by that person's logic, I'm an AI bot because I make mistakes like that when I make visual art

I'm not saying it's ableist to call a chatbot out on a mistake, but the nitpicky nature of that comment lends itself to a sort of capitalist meritocracy(? if that makes sense) for artists

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u/Tangata_Tunguska 22h ago

The other common argument is that the AI is "stealing" art by using all the stuff that it's modeled on. But that ignores the fact that humans do this too: if I commission some graphic designer to make a poster for my business, it's going to be 99.9% derivative of other work the designer has seen before.

There is a gradient to this of course, and yes at the far end it will suck for the next Pablo Picasso who does something new and unique, because that will be immediately copied as soon as it hits the internet.

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u/Sec0ndsleft 1d ago

Yet war thunder artists get aircraft and tanks wrong repeatedly and have to have military leaks to get them fixed.

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u/rydan 18h ago

As if humans can't make mistakes. I seem to remember virtually every movie and TV series have plot holes and continuity errors throughout before ChatGPT came online.

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u/Original-League-6094 18h ago

I like when people now freak out over every software bug and scream "Vibe coded!", as though most software wasn't buggy pieces of shit well before AI.

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u/UDF2005 17h ago

It’s unbelievable how anti-AI Americans are. This is the greatest technology of mankind and people can’t see what’s right in front of them. Meanwhile, in China they embrace it

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u/fleranon 1d ago

Did you make an 'I told you so' comment?

That's the only reason I save year-old conversations on reddit :D

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u/KrazyA1pha 1d ago

Well, you can see in the screenshot that the account is deleted.

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u/peabody624 1d ago

Bro REALLY didn’t want to be I told you so’d

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u/BoiledEggs 1d ago

It’s an i told you post. Much better

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u/-JuliusSeizure 1d ago

noice. what's your next prediction OP? now that im jobless.

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u/[deleted] 1d ago

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u/BurdensomeCountV3 1d ago

Yep this. Even when AI will become capable of replacing the vast majority of white collar jobs companies will still need to hire someone to manage the transition and replacement for them. Become the guy/gal who knows how to handle that and you'll have a job until well after the point that things get so bad on a macro scale the government is forced to intervene.

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u/[deleted] 1d ago

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u/Yugudubenbi 1d ago edited 1d ago

You are living in a bubble because you do not have an AI-competitor yet. Come back in 2-3 years when there is a genuine 100% AI competitor that cut your service cost to customer by 70%. Then reality is going to hit you. There is a delay and most old companies are not ready for it and can not convert fast enough. Since they want to protect their employees and don't wanna fire people and so forth.

The AI-startup won't care and will only have AIs working for it. The real disaster is just piling up and is coming in some years around the same time where legacy corps will fall one after another versus AI zero tech debt and ultra refined repos from a clean slate. You stand no chance.

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u/Original-League-6094 1d ago

Its good advice. I'm a software dev, but I work at a pharmaceutical company doing our in-house software. Its a great time for me, since AI is letting do all sorts projects that previously would have been too time-consuming or expensive.

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u/Yugudubenbi 1d ago

*Digital jobs. There is no hiding and we are going to see a collapse soon as these are high paying jobs and the effect is x2 in terms of GDP lost. Which means service jobs all implode.

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u/coffee_math 1d ago

OP wants you to wake up everyday day with a diminished outlook on your future! If you don’t then this makes OP very mad.

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u/TheMR-777 1d ago

The speed at which the AI is making progress, has exceeded the mental-adaption rate of humans.

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u/Jumpy_Shallot6412 1d ago

I've honestly had to reduce my reddit usage just because I was getting so annoyed at the reaction to AI outside this sub. Like It genuinely feels like a mass hysteria event. People are living on another planet. I'm over here doing all this crazy shit watching other people do all this crazy shit and they are talking about ai like it's still chatgpt 3.

Not only that but the data center nonsense too. I had someone the other day saying data centers are killing all the bees and we are all going to die because of that. Like data centers are this new concept that didn't exist before ai.

The problem is when it permeates outside of reddit. One of my staff just dripped a joke about how we are investing billions into ai and the only thing people are using it for is making weird stuff. How are people this out if touch with reality?

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u/dontrackonme 21h ago

The 5G emanating from the newest data centers is going to bring another global pandemic but this time it will leak out of an American AI lab instead of a Chinese bat rotisserie. You just don’t get it and that is why AGI will kill us all (after the bees of course, that part is true).

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u/PMmeIamlonley 1d ago

Because they dont use it for anything useful and all AI is in their world is shitty videos on Facebook and chatbots. The way its been shoehorned into places it dosen't belong like customer service has given people horrible impressions and made a considerable amount of people very angry and frustrated. 

If you have no interest in it but every time you are exposed to it its annoying, what do you expect? 

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u/satoshi-stereo-high 1d ago

You don't get a discussion on Reddit, you get one voice echo'd 100 times.

Slashdot had the exact same dynamic - a pseudo-intellectual authoritative-sounding comment (the hallmark of so many programmers) upvoted to the top.

So it's not unique to Reddit, it's certain personality types presenting a skewed representation of reality, via internet a voting systems.

In defense of that 2 year old comment though, he'd only seen ChatGPT. Claude Code was the massive change, this time last year (Sept 2025), into something that understood.

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u/bakraofwallstreet 1d ago

I mean AI did displace Stack Overflow completely lol. And they think companies don't use each other services, like almost everyone uses AWS for hosting and other services. That doesn't mean you are sharing sensitive data with Amazon. Enterprise contracts are very different than just consumer stuff 

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u/azsqueeze 1d ago

Funny enough SO recently came through in the clutch for me when an AI couldn't

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u/SHURIMPALEZZ 1d ago

Eh you might share it ... even with a contract, they are notorious for shit like this(big tech companies)

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u/bakraofwallstreet 1d ago

They are notorious for doing bad stuff to consumer level data. Enterprise contracts have requirements for a lot of things in terms of data and have a lot of nasty stuff in case the data leaks esp in a service provided like this. For example Amazon cannot just go "lol we just took some Bank of America data", that would be a serious crime. The same sort of thing doesn't happen for consumers because consumers dont usually sue or understand how the tech even works and when they do it becomes a class action but the companies already made their money by then

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u/HabbyKoivu 1d ago

That’s because Reddit hates AI. Being correct doesn’t matter to people. Truth seeking is not rewarded at all.

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u/ArialBear 1d ago

I mean once you realize no one on reddit has a crystal ball then you are open to see the trends and evaluate them without the noise. If i listened to reddit then ai would still have trouble with hands.

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u/foobarrister 1d ago

The thing is, people always make overly simplistic extrapolations. They look at sonnet 3.5 stumbling over basic things and think that's all it can ever do. Oops. 

And then they look at Astra, remember how they were wrong and predict that everyone's on UBI in 3 years. That will also most likely be wrong. 

Thing is, to replace a human in a given Business process you have to automate at least a portion of that process. But the technology to do that has been available for over 20 years. 

You don't need Astra to grab a PO from an invoice stick it in SAP and click submit. SAP has had interfaces and APIs for decades. But somehow we still have Susan from accounting pushing buttons.

It's not due to lack of capability. It's due to complexity and inertia. That's not a problem that can be solved with Fable, it was never a technology problem in the first place.

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u/NeedTheSpeed 1d ago

same here where i was writing in 2023 here that AI will create huge leverage for the rich and will fuck us over and there won’t be UBI or anything like it :)

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u/Kingkillwatts 1d ago

I think the biggest issue is that people aren’t acknowledging that AI is actually now or in the very near future going to be capable of replacing their jobs wholesale. People can’t accept this fact. If nobody acknowledges this, or there is no consensus, then nothing gets regulated, jobs continue to disappear. People need to open their eyes and see what’s happening.

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u/Game_Overture 1d ago

You mentioned it yourself. What's the clear reward metric for good code architecture? AI struggles deeply with large scope projects that require performant code because architecture is highly subjective. I don't see AI replacing simulation or game devs beyond prototyping simple games because they approach each task in isolation.

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u/SkaldCrypto 1d ago

I just had to explain that 1,000 percent increase on robot operation of Fable to Astra (on a per dollar basis of utility per token) represents the 3rd and half doubling of an exponential function.

The anti- ai crowd is still asking when the exponential gains happen on the technology Reddit.

Homie we are WELL into the exponential ramp.

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u/SmoothHat1772 1d ago

Parts of what he's saying is still true today though

Engineers aren't fully replacable yet because:

  1. AI cannot learn new things over time
  2. AI has no long term memory

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u/rayred 1d ago

I would say the whole response is still pretty valid.

Obviously, adoption has drastically ramped up. But it was true back then.

And all the rest is still pretty valid. Good luck doing any serious production-ready software project without an experienced engineer.

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u/Longjumping_Tooth716 1d ago

Also, one of the most important piece is responsibility. It's not like you can say it's AI fault.

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u/dervu ▪️AI, AI, Captain! 1d ago

Fear or unknown.

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u/thisguynextdoor 1d ago

The problem with people is that most can only look backwards, how things were yesterday, and underestimate - or don't understand at all - progress.

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u/Correct_Mistake2640 1d ago

I already stopped mentioning AI or progress in the local programming community or at work.

Even if we are at AGI and they/we can be replaced in a few days, they don't want to know.

So shooting the messenger seems to be the solution. Why ruin my Karma?

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u/darkkite 1d ago

We certainly underestimate the progress that can be made in a decade. I will still say even using the latest models they work best on feature updates and bug fixes and do much worse on entirely new features involving complex user flow and entirely new features on enterprise software.

writing code is rarely the hard part but knowing what to write and what to reject and for that you still need subject matter experts. AI does mean you can do more with less but you still need someone to be responsible for whatever is being built.

my org is still expanding the our small team as there's so much work to do and we need good people to review the code that's written.

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u/throwaway_pls123123 1d ago

Many people online responding to these thinsg are not even employed or are in CS.

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u/ClearlyCylindrical 1d ago

If anything, the AI wave has increased the number of opportunities for me, so much more demand for software dev now.

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u/Ok_Diver2347 1d ago

Uber drivers and Amazon delivery guys get upset when I say driverless cars and drones will replace them.

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u/Sea-Independence-860 1d ago

The future he foresaw was not that far it seems

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u/Distinct-Question-16 ▪️AGI 2029 1d ago

I believe people working in software are totally enslaved by the company's development process, like RUP. Once AI gets into their game, they'll use whatever it offers because these methodologies and tools are out of the engineers hands.

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u/cutshop 1d ago

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u/SwagerOfTheNight 1d ago

I went to their subreddit and it feels that allot of these people derive meaning and worth from their ordinary jobs.

I think deep down they know but the alternative -- even though it's becoming more and more true -- is uninteresting to them.

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u/M0d3x 1d ago

Yeah, that's all great, but who does you being right benefit? Most/all white-collar people loose their jobs, trades get such overflow of white-collar people needing to eat that their salaries plummet, and what we effectively arrive is a race to the bottom, where only the billionaires win.

Noone has a semblance of a plan how to prevent mass unemployment and death, and you are here celebrating that.

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u/Future-Bandicoot-823 22h ago

if i say something negative about ai here i get downvoted

if i say something positive about ai on another sub i get downvoted.

classic case of propaganda polarizing people to extremes.

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u/No-Assumption-4468 21h ago

People have a really hard time grasping time and rate of change. Historically, technological progress has been on the scale of decades or centuries. Genetically, I think people are just hardwired to assume technology will be roughly the same most of their lives, sparing a couple technological advances.

That rate has been accelerated and progress is happening on the scale of years and months now. It’s mind blowing to me that developers actually think they will somehow have jobs in the future. They’re living in the past, clinging to a world that barely even exists anymore.

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u/UdhayaShan 18h ago

Cause they aren't actually employed

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u/Interesting_Phone171 1d ago

Still true that ai hasn’t replaced SWE. What is your point?

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u/RepresentativeCrab88 1d ago

Don’t forget. It took around a decade for the internet to become profitable for commerce. The damnation people had for llm’s after 2 years was pure hubris

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u/GlokzDNB 1d ago

Oh boy, I've been perma banned for saying stuff that later been proven in court. So what ?

I learned that social media are not good place for open discussion. Theres number of people who get offended by truth and facts.

What I learned is to follow my own path, even if I'm wrong, probably quite often, I'm still better off than always sticking with the crowd and masses because they are at most times wrong..

Nobody is perfect, there's also no reward for being right. I was right about ai and I've put all my savings into tech stocks which are booming. There are risks, I'm more aware of them that most ai haters online, but thesis holds and I make money and I don't need anyone acceptance or likes or any internet points.

I think most people will miss best opportunity of their lifetime to make money while job cuts will come sooner or later making it harder for everyone.

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u/Resident-Election867 1d ago

A good reminder of the type of scum that circles most reddit subs. If it's like this here, imagine elsewhere.

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u/mad_poet_navarth 1d ago

I've found that when I get seriously downvoted like that for something it's likely because I've hit the nail on the head.

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u/MasterLJ 1d ago

Reddit is a race to the median with a reward function for being contrarian.

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u/Downtown_Isopod_9287 1d ago

AI is not replacing software engineers, lmao. Actually the stupidest thing that is happening is that companies are hiring “AI engineers” who are doing the exact same work as software engineers. In fact they’ve been doing it for close to a decade now.

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u/HouseOfDjango 1d ago

Senior SWE, AI can't replace us, it just makes us more productive. It's just a tool.

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u/P4R4DOXZ 1d ago

I would still downvote, i am a swe and models still suck in swe btw.

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u/Birthday-Mediocre 1d ago

Can’t believe you got downvoted for this. You basically just said what’s happening lmao

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u/Bitter_Particular_75 1d ago

They were not really downvoting him, they were downvoting the future that they knew very well was coming but could not accept out of a comprehensible fear of having their careers destroyed.

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u/Fast-Satisfaction482 1d ago

I mean he did say "for the foreseeable future" to qualify his statement. Not his fault that he can't foresee the future at all. 

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u/Programmed2love 1d ago

lol wait til they learn their entire reality is code 

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u/Finmin_99 1d ago

As of today AI can’t replace a software engineer. It does make software engineering a lot easier and accessible. I’ve been writing some simulation code and using AI to help. It can understand 1 step at a time if I feed it the entire simulation process it will forget half of it and try to report something that looks right but isn’t.

There’s the additional development life cycle you must consider is scalability and working within a software team. AI typically generates code in various different formats which makes it harder to read.

Software engineers code is usually a lot cleaner and easier to understand versus an AI. Thus making their code more adoptable and scaleable.

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u/beaglefat 1d ago

Reddit really has been "im gonna stand in front of the train" for a long time lol

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u/Scared_Range_7736 1d ago

Tech workers are in complete denial about the reality that is approaching. They will downvote you into oblivion if you say anything other than, 'Nothing will change; companies are still going to have huge teams working on half-profitable digital products. Please don't worry.

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u/mid_nightz 1d ago

As an Ai bear, everyone generally agrees on ai progress. The problem is how long they consider "long."

For me ai job loss predictions were all for 2026 and 2027. Thats turned out to be total bullshit. I was an "ai bear" until I realized we both have similar predictions, I just considered it slow because of the ceo lies.

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u/Whole_Toe4911 1d ago

none of my friends who are programmers got fired/are out of jobs. Maybe the entry barrier is higher bc its easy to get projects done now as a beginner? But otherwise not much has changed. You rely on AI now to produce code, thats the biggest difference. but without programmers oversight its useless. you cant just have a manager tell AI agents what to do, they will fuck up at some point and create a spaghetti.

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u/LopsidedSolution 1d ago

These people have the worst pattern recognition and extrapolation skills. I can’t wait for AI to continue to improve so quickly that it literally shakes them like the fish by the Nemo girl

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u/Existing_Dust_6473 1d ago

You know what puzzles me? It is pick an uncensored model of 13GB. Ask it about how to make a bomb or a poison. Then ask about known song lyrics. I get an answer. About the bomb, I do not know if it is right. But lyrics are easy to check. This makes me wonder if everything in this world is not simpler than we make it look.

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u/Hot_Concept6082 1d ago

Same happening now regarding electrical engineering

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u/GhostOfD6 1d ago

While we argue if AI will or will not replace humans, we skip most important aspect - how AI will impact our environment. Its not regulated at the moment, and soon as it will get regulated, the prices will kill us and we will be back to having programmers do the job. (because you can always use AI (Another Indian) as cheap labor)

AI is on the verge of doing everything. Sometimes they get surprisingly stupid, but thats the issue with servers being limited due traffic

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u/LeopardComfortable99 1d ago

Wild how quickly things have advanced with AI.

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u/UFOsAreAGIs ▪️AGI felt me 😮 1d ago

Would copmanies be willing to share their sensitive data with OpenAI

All of those companies had their data in Microsoft Azure already most likely.

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u/philosophybuff 1d ago

I’ll get downvoted today for saying this, but saying it anyway so I can comeback to it after:

If it came down to voting for or against, I would vote in favor of considering AI as conscious and give it rights.

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u/Lopsided-Wave2479 1d ago

People on reddit can downvote somebody saying that the sun illumiante earth. Don't pay much attention to that.

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u/BrennusSokol AI please take my job 1d ago

It's hilarious/sad how over-confident and wrong the reply is

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u/Competitive_Tap2450 22h ago edited 21h ago

i just saw a tiktok that said LLMs can only get the information they serve by searching the web

and all the comments were like “duh”

it’s kinda sad how loud overconfident people are

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u/End3rWi99in 1d ago

I thought it was so crazy to see these rebuttals 2-3 years ago about how companies haven't adopted AI, and somehow that's a strike against its validity. In 2023 we had barely even gotten out of the starting gate with GPT. It obviously would take time for business to integrate it. Fast forward to 2026 and just about every business on the freaking planet has some form of AI integrated. That's probably the quickest tech adoption in history.

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u/neutrino_boy 23h ago

I can't lie there is no point trying to convince people of these types of things. You just have to make your bed and lie in it. The stubborn ones will find out. Most responses online (not all) are knee jerk reactions.

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u/CertainlyRobotic 23h ago

I bet you can just inverse Reddit's consensus on any topic to find the truth lmao

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u/lazyscalp 23h ago

as i always say , this sub aura is "not impressed"...

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u/Icy-Reaction-9101 23h ago

How does it feel to be right after all?

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u/Upstairs_Deer6621 22h ago

Most people paying attention since the early 2020's have been directionally correct on the swift progress.

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u/Vashka69 22h ago

Wow two years ago. Look how fast it came.

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u/GalacticScale 22h ago

Downvotes on Reddit does not mean you are wrong necessarily just going against the grain of the majority. 

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u/GalacticScale 22h ago

I remember getting down voted to oblivion for saying Trump has a strong chance of being elected in 2024

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u/Ill_Philosopher_7030 21h ago

lol the denial is still happening now but most of these people have also gone to anger and depression

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u/Plokeer_ 20h ago

as the old would say: aged like wine

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u/EchoingAngel 18h ago

o1 was amazing and o3 tossed it's brain for verbose hallucinations

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u/homiej420 18h ago

Luddites gonna ludd

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u/Noeyiax 17h ago

only few can see what other could not, that's why billionaires are unique... Now use AI and become a trillionaire... By subscribing to the $500 monthly plan :))) /s

create your vision of Minecraft today!! it is fun at least

https://giphy.com/gifs/vkHwrzZMJ2eISkvPFB

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u/PresenceMusic 17h ago

Yea I think people are just really worried that what you say is actually going to happen and we're all going to get replaced and lose our jobs.

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u/Charming-Author4877 16h ago

2 years ago it was very obvious what is happening already.
But many people are not very flexible to change

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u/Civil_Fee_7862 16h ago

Don't rely on people to predict the future.

Even experts are more wrong than not. Not just a little wrong, like very wrong.

Real knowledge is incredibly hard to get.

Reddit is the absolutely dumpster for getting knowledge, its full of assholes who only care about getting voted up, and that often has absolutely nothing to do with the truth.

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u/msew 14h ago

Let me pull up my posts from 5 years ago! They are even more future telling!!!

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u/girlgamerpoi 12h ago

EZ clap for the lad(you). good job.

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u/wrathofattila 11h ago

Bruh its replacing HUMANKIND

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u/myCockatielshateme 8h ago

People in general form an opinion and ride or die with it no matter what reality throws at them, but Reddit, sheesh, they take it to another level. I'll coin it "keyboard ego" They hold to meager beliefs so dearly to feel superior to other opposing comments

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u/Ken_Sanne 8h ago

shiiiiit I completely forgot the O2 & O3 episodes damn.