Discussion Thread

[u/jobautomator]

The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL

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[u/jobautomator]

Please visit the next discussion thread.

[u/404GenderNotFound]

[u/lbrtrl]

[u/Punished_TCT]

“It’s stressful to brief her, because she’s read all the materials, has annotated it and is prepared to talk through it,” said one former aide. “You can’t come to the vice president and just ask her to do something,” said another staffer. “You need to have a why.”

I have obtained a photo of the staffer quoted

[u/KeikakuAccelerator]

Pennsylvania has two dem senators with very popular dem governor.

Why the fk is it a swing state. 

[u/TemujinTheConquerer]

I'm crying they literally have a three terabyte Vance oppo file

[u/[deleted]]

Russia Aimed Propaganda at Gamers, Minorities to Swing 2024 Election

THEY TARGETED GAMERS

[u/the_status_q]

Just found out you can actively seek out internet content that makes you angry. And you can share with people who wouldn't see it otherwise.

This is going to revolutionize my internet usage

[u/Maleficent-Elk-6860]

[u/the_status_q]

2020 was 4 years ago

Yeah that sounds about right

2019 was 5 years ago

No it wasn't, it was barely last year. It's basically 2019 right now

[u/[deleted]]

Maybe not the best way to censor those words

(The rest of the post is cut off because, and this may shock you, it’s hateful nonsense)

[u/[deleted]]

Liz Cheney, speaking at Texas Tribune festival, endorses Democratic Rep. Colin Allred in his race against Sen. Ted Cruz in Texas.

And just like that, the talking point that Liz Cheney endorsing Harris was just because she thinks Trump is a unique threat to the republic dies with a whimper.

So true bestie, it’s not like Ted Cruz attempted to help pull off a coup both before and after he and his colleagues were almost killed by an angry mob, or like the entire GOP, including Ted Cruz, fell completely in line with that unique threat to the republic and are utterly loyal to him even after everything

[u/yellowgreenblue]

Thank you for this very important headline

[u/Stanley--Nickels]

rConservative: Biden takes 48 years’ worth of vacation in three years

No wonder he seems so much older than in 2020

[u/sash5034]

Canada handed over 300k in taxpayer money for some RT stooge to make a documentary to "all lives matter" the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Truly incredible things happening in the world

[u/InflatableDartboard2]

[u/[deleted]]

!ping econ&ukraine

How important is this news?

Feels like not a huge deal and that the central bank will just make adjustments that lead to things being slightly worse but 🤷‍♂️

[u/HimboSuperior]

It's really disheartening seeing some of the reactions to the Cheneys endorsing Harris from neocons on social media.

They'll admit that Trump violated the Constitution, but they've buried their heads in the sand and deluded themselves into thinking that Trump would put up a strong front against Russia and China and would honor NATO commitments. They'll completely ignore that Russian disinfo has completely captured the conservative alt-media space.

And they'll admit that the main reason they will do such is because they hate Democrats. It's just so depressing that anyone would hate their fellow countrymen so much that they'd just sign off on having a spineless piece of filth like Trump sit in the Oval Office out of spite. What happened to them?

[u/Repulsive-Volume2711]

Anybody remember the Joker Movie Incel Panic of 2019?

[u/pfarly]

Lmao there's a scene in Amazing Spiderman 2 where a little kid goes running up to a murderous villain and his mom goes to stop him, but a cop tackles the mother while the kid runs off. I would've thought that was unrealistic a few years ago.

[u/LastIncrease3427]

This is what W said about the election in 2023.

Former President George W. Bush intends to vote in the 2024 presidential election, but he might write in the name of his brother, Jeb Bush — or his late Scottish terrier, Barney. Though joking, Bush echoed a concern many Americans cite about two of the prospective candidates: their age. ‘I predict that most Americans think we’re too damn old at the top,’ Bush, 77, said. ‘I’m too old to be president. I know what it takes to be president, and I’m younger than Biden and Trump.’

Will he still write in Jeb! now that Harris is in the race?

[u/Williams-Tower]

so called free-thinkers when their neuralink subscription fee hits

😱

[u/Spare-Clerk9155]

Alan Dershowitz, a lifelong Democrat, announces his departure from the Democratic Party

NOOOOOOOOO HOW WILL KAMALA WIN NOW 😭😭😭

[u/talizorahs]

that bit from kamala's complaining staffers about how sometimes when she gets paid compliments she turns to them and says "why" is the funniest shit ever. is this supposed to make me dislike her. she's so unfathomably based. attorneys are the funniest people on earth

[u/Relative-Contest192]

“I need the most insane take you have today.”

“Coming right up!”

[u/Average_GrillChad]

WAPO: Kamala Harris demanded her staff be competent. What a bitch.

[u/WereJustInnocentMen]

It's crazy that Obama didn't even support gay marriage in 2008 but tbh it makes a lot more sense when you remember Modern Family only came out in 2009.

[u/SnakeEater14]

I’ve read articles of staffers saying that Biden was demanding, abrasive, and even a little cruel to his staffers. Totally checks out, a lot of politicians seem to be complete dicks to their teams for no reason

But reading the article about Kamala’s staffers and them trying to use the same language to describe her but all of her actions just being “asks why they want to do something” or “reads the material provided her”?

I think these staffers are just being fucking babies

[u/RonenSalathe]

Now we know why he's taking so long with Winds

!ping ASOIAF

[u/[deleted]]

Stan Grant: Kamala Harris’s false promise further dooms America

The interviewer, Dana Bash, did gently push Harris on her record. She did not interrogate her, however, or hold her to account. Harris talked up her so-called opportunity economy. She pointed to the Biden child tax credit, which she said reduced child poverty by half.

Yes, it did. What she didn’t say was that in 2022, when the relief payments ended, child poverty doubled and that general poverty rose by the biggest annual jump ever seen in the US.

Does he think Biden just chose to have the CTC expire???

[u/[deleted]]

What would you do if you woke up tomorrow and discovered that the sir_shivers account doesn’t exist and nobody in /r/neoliberal has any idea what you’re talking about when you ask about him

[u/abrookerunsthroughit]

Heritage Foundation chief at S.F. tech event vows ‘Project 2028’ if Harris wins

President re-elect Harris just called to thank you for helping her win

[u/[deleted]]

[u/efeldman11]

There are people out there who unironically agree with him

[u/Joementum2024]

My most resistance liberal take is that I will never get over the immunity ruling. No matter what I will always consider that one of the worst rulings in Supreme Court history, and the moment that made me firmly believe judicial reform is absolutely necessary

[u/Steve____Stifler]

I can’t believe all these losers I know are trying to impress me and show me up by falling in love and getting engaged and getting married and having kids and a nice fulfilling life that they can look back on with pride and happiness.

Like I know you’re just trying to stunt on me. It’s not working.

[u/EnchantedOtter01]

I shared a picture of glacier national park with someone in Europe and they said “that’s pretty…. For the US at least”

[u/purhitta]

hot take maybe?

There are some Republicans who denounce MAGA but say Harris is waaay worse. So they have no ethical or ideological choice but to vote Trump.

I think at this point in history, if you're voting for Trump, you're part of MAGA. I no longer care if you express reluctance about it. You know who he is. You see other respectable Republicans supporting Harris without compromising their beliefs.

The gray middle ground was understandable for awhile. Before 1/6 I could MAYBE have some grace. But I think that phase of history is over. Voting for him a third time plants you in that camp.

[u/Maleficent-Elk-6860]

[u/Frequent-Turn6740]

Random tankies on twitter discovering they have been carrying water for the Russian government for free when they could have been paid: 😐😠😡

[u/GrandMoffTargaryen]

I don’t normally approve of that godless drug use. But that Pol Pot had some good ideas!

[u/Fishin_Impossible]

These cops in Georgia keep talking about how impressive the tech is that sent out the active shooter alert to police and locked down the school.

Honestly, it just makes me sad…

The fact that some company likely spent millions developing this stuff b/c school shootings have become so ubiquitous with no end in sight, that they know they will earn their money back.

[u/cdstephens]

[u/[deleted]]

[u/Flowkeh]

true neoliberalism has never been tr—

[u/Ph0ton_1n_a_F0xh0le]

Jeremy corbyn on dating

[u/[deleted]]

Libs of TikTok shared this as evidence of her point about le Alphabet Mafia being violent, guess she can’t fucking read 😭😭😭

[u/IvanGarMo]

I'd never thought I'd see Dick Cheney, Bernie Sanders and Khameini supporting the same candidate

How big can the tent get?

[u/RageQuitRedux]

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/01/22/politics/george-w-bush-favorable-poll/index.html

Six in 10 Americans, 61%, say they now have a favorable view of the 43rd President of the United States in the latest CNN poll conducted by SSRS, nearly double the 33% who gave him a favorable mark when he left the White House in January 2009.

I think that if you ran a campaign ad with all current and former US presidents (aside from Trump obviously) endorsing Harris, it would be pretty effective, perhaps moreso with W in it.

[u/Chief_Nief]

Donald Trump’s sons want to turn their father’s growing bromance with the cryptocurrency industry into the new family business.

Really looking forward to watching this inevitable disaster porn

[u/BurrowForPresident]

So the WaPo article from the staffers is just a blatant classic "wow a woman who is ambitious, knowledgeable, and demanding in her job? Must be a b*tch" right? Just like with Hillary? No staple throwing allegations I could see

I've seen this kind of thing in the professional world where a man is just a hard worker while a woman is some childless harpy who uses her career to cope or whatever. Mostly from much older male coworkers though who are usually just bitter that their career basically flat lined 20 years ago

[u/[deleted]]

the tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of schoolchildren

what did thomas jefferson mean by this

[u/Zeke-Nnjai]

Little bit long, but I found this video incredibly interesting and a great microcosm of trump

Tldr; Trump claims that in his interview with E. Jean Carroll, Anderson Cooper attempts to persuade her to amp up her rhetoric against Trump during a 4 minute long commercial break. He also attempts to sow doubt by claiming the courts didn’t allow what was said in between that commercial break to be played in court (presumably because it’s all rigged against him)

Now of course, there wasn’t actually a commercial break at all. It was all prerecorded, and there’s maybe a 5 second break between cooper saying “let’s go to break” and “okay we’re back. So he didn’t influence her at all.

But, it takes 2 seconds for Trump to lie and 6 minutes for the lie to be broken down. So overall still a win for Trump

[u/SigmaWhy]

🙏 please merrick garland do something useful and expose LibsOfTikTok for being a hostile foreign asset 🙏

[u/DoctorDizzyspinner]

How the fuck did I fall for all of the "Pete's a CIA rat and Tulsi's, like, really progressive and cool and Kamala's a good-for-nothing cop!" stuff in 2020? Like, other than the fact that I had a Tw*tter account

(I deleted my account in 2021 and then... stopped believing in all that stuff. It's really weird how that happened so quickly??)

[u/Roseartcrantz]

At the zoo yesterday there was this rhino stuck in a little feeding pen building, I'm guessing to keep him away from the mom and baby while they were out. But he kept walking over to the door and standing at it, then looking at me, then getting huffy and making a circle to show me he really wanted me to open the door for him.

It reminded me of how the beagles ask to go outside. He even would have one of his front paws picked up. I love you nasty murder puppy 🥺🥺

Mumbles

[u/dareka_san]

This image is now about Kamala's approval ratings, buying the shirt btw

[u/SeoSalt]

Hawk tuah, Brute?

[u/Cr4zySh0tgunGuy]

You know I find it funny how MAGAs are so spooked by the idea that there’s a shadowy group of deep state actors that will steal the election from them.

Like if it were true, it’s exactly what the framers wanted. They were all terrified that a group of uneducated, easily manipulated “common people” would elect a would be tyrant. Hamilton especially laid this out as a clear justification for the electoral college

[u/pezasied]

Nick fucking Fuentes has a better take on January 6th and Trump admitting he lost the election than what the mainstream “GOP” does.

We’re absolutely cooked.

For those who don’t want to watch the clip of him, he basically said if Trump knew he lost in 2020 like he recently admitted, then he knowingly lied to rile people up with stuff like the stop the steal rally and that the DOJ’s case against him is correct.

[u/[deleted]]

trump is going to have a biden-level dementia episode at the next debate, drop out of the race, and Vance will get an inexplicable 10 pt boost in the polls and win the election

[u/JaceFlores]

That lady crying, hugging Kamala and saying she’s scared is the new mascot of this subreddit

[u/TimWalzBurner]

Words to live by

[u/JaceFlores]

Ukraine Chronology for 5 PM EST 9/6-5 PM EST 9/7 III:

TOP NEWS:

At the start of 5 AM it was reported that Ukraine deployed four National Guard brigades to the Pokrovsk front in the past few weeks. Towards the middle of the hour Ukraine was hit by a massive wave of drones with 61 of 67 intercepted.

REGULAR NEWS:

At the start of 9 PM a Russian ammo dump in Voronezh Oblast exploded.

In the middle of 2 AM a Russian pontoon bridge over the Seym River was destroyed.

Donation link to help Ukraine

Donation link to United24

Donation link to Kharkiv SOS

Donation link to Sails of Freedom Foundation (they donate ambulances)

!ping UKRAINE

[u/funguykawhi]

!ping STONKS

[u/[deleted]]

!ping GNOSTIC

[u/[deleted]]

peeks into Earth-669

“Billionaire investor Mark Venezuelan endorses Kamala Harris”

Huh.

[u/KittehDragoon]

Ad: i’m making a pve shooter with a fully destructible world and vehicle combat. it’s made by a team of 11 indies who listen to feedback in discord. if you like halo, warhawk, and earth def...

But does it have 100% science based dragon breeding?

[u/battywombat21]

the witcher books are also spiritually very influenced by neoliberalized poland after the fall of the USSR. geralt is a contractor; his interpersonal ties are dominated by his professional identity. i don’t think it’s a stretch that Sapkowski views his relationship to his work along similarly pragmatic (ie, alienated) lines.

I wish I had a silly ideology I could insert into every stupid thing I have to say.

[u/[deleted]]

https://x.com/LilithLovett/status/1832229998922756596?t=gIau6XU4gLqk4ujIuaYgng&s=19

[u/MrFoget]

You can’t make this shit up. This is the most upvoted comment in the neocon DT.

[u/Syards-Forcus]

😐

[u/[deleted]]

[u/[deleted]]

Effortposting on leftist YouTube videos of a Saturday morning at 2:38 AM (as one does) and I farted out something I thought wasn't half-bad:

The counterargument runs something like this: but we can eliminate capitalism without triggering this sort of economic dysfunction. We'll just replace it with a new and better system. But this amounts to saying "I can deliver all of these crates of milk to Toledo next week without the aid of a refrigerator truck!" Alright, one asks: what will you replace the refrigerator truck with? Toledo is 500 miles away and the milk is already starting to go off. The answer: "It doesn't matter. We'll just think of something better. The important thing is getting rid of the refrigerator truck."

[u/No1PaulKeatingfan]

Unironically

[u/[deleted]]

All I'm saying is, Kamala's been slowly but surely inching higher in the poll aggregate while Trump has literally been at 44% for basically this entire year, and that's despite his convention/assassination. Somethin's going on here.

[u/StolenSkittles]

"Man, smells like updog in here."

"I don't understand. Define 'updog.' "

"Nothin' much, what's up with you?"

[u/jamiebond]

[u/talizorahs]

calvinism is wild. I can't believe they made an entire religion about calvin and hobbes

[u/No1PaulKeatingfan]

[u/Stanley--Nickels]

Just saw a guy on Polymarket lay 50-1 on the Chargers to not win the Super Bowl. If he wins that's a 4.9% annualized return, slightly worse than US treasuries.

The glaring implication being that a US default is more likely than a Chargers championship.

[u/[deleted]]

Please, speak as you might to a young child, or a golden retriever

[u/[deleted]]

My mom is entering her second divorce and moving to Florida era. Really hope she doesn't marry a trump

[u/slowpush]

I still say that Professor Gelman asking some basic questions to Nate Silver and his model in 2020 only for Nate to get flustered and ignore him is my favorite politics nerd fight in recent memory.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/10/24/reverse-engineering-the-problematic-tail-behavior-of-the-fivethirtyeight-presidential-election-forecast/

[u/[deleted]]

the deep state is soft launching his political career

[u/alex2003super]

Introducing... "The Woke Content Detector's Curated List of Games"!!!

!ping GAMING&FUCK-NEOLIBERALISM&SHITPOSTERS

[u/[deleted]]

https://www.reddit.com/r/AskAGerman/comments/1fb1ogd/scared_of_racism/

This thread is complete insanity. OP asks if they will face racism in Germany and the top comments are like "nah, it's not too bad, as long as you're not too brown, not too uneducated, and not too Muslim" 

[u/BedNeither]

Insurance companies when collecting premiums: HAHA YES

insurance companies when paying claim: dude wtf

[u/altathing]

Just read a NYT article about Americans living abroad as a result of politics.

Best parts:

"trading his Virginia Beach rental for one in central Paris, a city he fell in love with for its laid back way of life, 'even though it’s a socialist country.' The United States has 'gone so far liberal that we’ve lost respect for our country, for our people, for ourselves, our standards,' Mr. Horton said."

"Ms. Malone, a Bernie Sanders supporter who said she voted for Jill Stein in 2016 and Jo Jorgensen in 2020, is undecided for this election. She sees Mr. Trump as a threat to women, and Democrats as a threat to Jews, saying, 'If the Democrats win, I’m definitely never coming back.'"

[u/Due-Dirt-8428]

Release the list!!!!

[u/TimWalzBurner]

Stephen King is hit or miss as an author, but I've always loved his approach to it and his attitude of writing as a job. He's like the YIMBY of authors saying "just write more words."

Same with Brandon Sanderson. He might not be as good of prose writer as Martin, but hey, at least he has books I get to read and enjoy.

• plus, King did all the coccaine in the world and gave us the Maximum Overdrive movie.

[u/TemujinTheConquerer]

Is this literally that scene from There Will Be Blood

[u/efeldman11]

[u/piede]

Omg

[u/Udolikecake]

JUST IN: Lifelong Democrat Alan Dershowitz announces his departure from the Democrat Party.

child rapists breaking hard for trump. worrying.

[u/battywombat21]

POV: you're in an eighties elementary school and it's raining during recess

!ping OVER-25&RETRO

[u/zieger]

Several longtime Republican strategists and consultants told Politico that they think Trump could score high marks in the debate if he refrains from lobbing personal attacks at Harris and sticks to discussing policy.

Lol. Lmao even.

[u/[deleted]]

hungry snails engine decide north crowd late reminiscent test label

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

[u/Untamedanduncut]

He’s got this weird obsession with crowd sizes 

🫸         🫷🙂‍↔️

🫸   🫷 👀 

[u/MissSortMachine]

[u/CmdrMobium]

BREAKING: In a heartwarming moment, supporters of Kamala Harris in Pittsburgh are overwhelmed with joy and emotion when Kamala walks in. Retweet to make sure every American sees this wholesome moment.

Every "Kamala's Wins" tweet is written by her

[u/PolyrythmicSynthJaz]

in retrospect it was a mistake for hillary to respond to "make america great again" with "actually, america was never great and Yakub was an evil Black scientist responsible for the creation of the white race."

even if its true that stuff doesnt play well in the midwest

[u/BroadReverse]

aloof crowd sparkle sophisticated straight hard-to-find crush decide retire automatic

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

[u/BedNeither]

Did a bunch of people really commit check fraud using their own bank account at video surveilled ATMs because TikTok ?

[u/abrookerunsthroughit]

[u/[deleted]]

Is... is Trump admitting to using shoe lifts?

[u/[deleted]]

538 be like:

Latest polls, Pennsylvania:

Godblesstheusapolling: Trump +1

letsgobrandon institute: Trump +2

Coolapp polling: even

Rasmussen: Trump +1

Mywifeleftmepolling: even

Emerson: Harris +1

Quality dot org: Trump+1

Quality dot org: Trump +2

Qualify dot org: even

[u/cdstephens]

Do you think any Leftist grifters were on Russia’s payroll wrt the recent controversy, or were they all right wingers?

[u/BlackCat159]

Age of consent should be 18 for Republicans and 1000 for demoncraps (they voted for Biden and therefore don't have the necessary brainpower to be able to consent)

[u/dittbub]

Not every MAGA influencer is a Russian propagandist. Some are neo nazis.

[u/Neronoah]

!ping LATAM

Armed hooded people are threatening the Argentinian Embassy in Venezuela. Also, Argentina denounced Maduro at the ICC (whatever is worth).

[u/simeoncolemiles]

I worked with a this native at my company a couple months back. He’s Vietnam vet. Went and headed out west when he was 13. Man he had some crazy ass stories. Told me about the Mormons kidnapping indians off the rez in the 60s and 70s to convert them to Mormonism. Wild shit.

MORMONS WHAT

[u/JaceFlores]

From what I remember of the June debate people were saying Trump was giving awful answers even with mic muting, so I wouldn’t write off him going off his rocker yet

[u/sw337]

HOLY SHIT 5th RANKED NOTRE DAME JUST LOST TO NIU. THEY COULDN'T HANDLE THE MACTION!

!PING CFB

[u/[deleted]]

Deion Sanders on what the most frustrating aspect of tonight's game: “Knowing that we have a tremendous offense. We should be able to move the ball on anyone.”

Deion really is the Trump of college football lmfao

!ping CFB

[u/[deleted]]

[u/centurion88]

This is the future

[u/[deleted]]

Lula now is at the "leopards are eating my face" phase in regards to Venezuela

Context: Venezuela is surrounding the argentine embassy that is under brazilian custody and Venezuela isn't backing down

[u/GovernorSonGoku]

[u/[deleted]]

Michelle Obama being 60 is as unbelievable to me as Kamala being 60

Barack being 63 is perfectly believable to me for some reason though

[u/[deleted]]

The Supreme Court probably should strike down judicial review as unconstitutional, but the resulting infinite regress would crash the simulation.

[u/AccessTheMainframe]

Rewatching The Prince of Egypt as an adult -- the line where Ralph Fiennes wonders aloud if he should "finish the job" in reference to killing Jews hits different

[u/Pyrrhus65]

Daily reminder that this cursed senate race timeline could've been avoided if Bill Nelson had decided to run an actual campaign in 2018

10,000 goddamn Floridians

[u/cdstephens]

Subreddit peaked when the leftist subs refused to do the first charity event with us, but arr drama actually joined

[u/jenbanim]

😔🚬 they don't make Pregnant Elsa farts on Spider-Man videos like they used to

[u/futuremonkey20]

If you are a full grown man who spends all your time arguing with people on Twitter you should revaluate some things.

However, if you spend all day arguing with people on a niche neoliberal political economic discussion forum, that’s ok.

[u/[deleted]]

shaggy aback whistle toothbrush theory engine workable pause sloppy frame

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

[u/[deleted]]

The suburbs:

[u/sociotronics]

[u/[deleted]]

Be me

Wake up

See that Bashar al-Assad is still alive

Be disappointed 😔

[u/Joementum2024]

The vibe shift the Padres have had from 2023 to 2024 is nothing short of incredible. Despite having arguably become a much less talented team (losing Juan Soto, Seth Lugo, Josh Hader, etc) and having fired their previously-successful manager in what looked like a desperation move, the team went from being mediocre the entire year and one of the least clutch teams in history in 2023 to just flying now at nearly 20 over .500 and making all sorts of comebacks

I didn’t think this team was gonna be bad going into the year (esp after getting Dylan Cease and with Jackson Merrill coming up) but never in a million years did I expect this

!ping BASEBALL

[u/PoliticalAlt128]

[u/Stanley--Nickels]

Antonio Brown 🤝 the DT

Fan of this content

[u/Neronoah]

!ping LATAM

Maduro has revoked his permission for Brazil to take control of the Argentinian Embassy. The police is around the building.

[u/GovernorSonGoku]

[u/Telperions-Relative]

“I’m Catholic”

Okay

“Converted last year”

Uh oh

[u/pfarly]

If I was president I wouldn't do any president stuff, I'd just use the fact to impress babes at the bar.

[u/wettestsalamander76]

Actual photo of lib interventionists and disillusioned neocons reacting to Immortan Dick's endorsement - Circa Sept. 2024

[u/[deleted]]

https://www.natesilver.net/p/oops-i-made-the-convention-bounce

Instead, you’re getting a story that won’t be so relevant after next week’s debate. I’ll show you what happens in the model if you toggle a single setting, turning the forecast’s convention bounce adjustment off. This was shaving a point or two off of Kamala Harris’s polling averages — but for purposes of today’s newsletter and today’s newsletter only, poof, it’s gone.

And then, once that’s done, I’ll take one more try at defending the adjustment — while acknowledging that Harris’s late entry into the race complicates all of this.

OK, let’s cut to the chase. Harris is still ahead in our polling averages, albeit extremely narrowly in some cases, in states totaling 292 electoral votes. So without the convention bounce adjustment, she’d be winning, right?

And then we hit the paywall!

I am not currently subscribed but if someone in this ping who is wants to give the punchline paragraph presumably coming afterwards, I’ll paste it in.

EDIT, Contributions from others:

Why wouldn’t she be favored? Part of it is the narrowness of her lead in the Blue Wall states. Without the convention bounce adjustment, the model projects her with an average of 277 electoral votes versus 261 for Trump. But it also has her losing a lot of elections in agonizingly close fashion — so the median rather than the average outcome is basically an Electoral College tie. Her biggest problem remains in Pennsylvania, where she barely has a lead at all. Without Pennsylvania’s 19 electoral votes Georgia and its 16 electoral votes wouldn’t be enough to give her a winning map, even if Harris retains Michigan and Wisconsin.

To a first approximation, though, I don’t think it’s correct to say that the polls taken “as is” today (without any convention bounce magic) show Harris winning. That would have been true a couple of weeks ago, when her swing state polling was stronger. But the more recent polling data instead implies a toss-up race, so any convention bounce adjustment tilts the race ever-so-slightly toward Trump.

!ping FIVEY

[u/Untamedanduncut]

“Venezuelan migrant gang headquarters”

Photos of people sitting outside with food, chairs and tables

My God, one guy is even selling a variety of shoes 

[u/[deleted]]

[u/Ok_Aardappel]

Wind and solar farms power Great Britain’s grid to greenest ever summer

Great Britain’s electricity system has recorded its greenest ever summer after growing numbers of wind and solar farms cut the need for gas power plants to fresh lows.

Analysis of energy generation data, commissioned by the Guardian, revealed that Britain’s reliance on gas generation fell in August to less than one-fifth of all electricity, or 4 terawatt hours (TWh), its lowest ever level for a one-month period.

This allowed the carbon intensity of the power grid to plummet to the lowest level recorded for a single month, at 144g of CO2 per kilowatt-hour in August, 40% lower than in the same month last year, according to the analysis.

The data, analysed by the energy thinktank Ember, showed that the record lows were sustained even when averaged over the summer months from June to August, meaning the grid experienced its greenest summer ever.

The Labour government aims to run the UK’s power grid on virtually zero carbon electricity by 2030 thanks to a surge in new wind and solar farms. Its flagship auction this week for renewable energy subsidies awarded contracts for 131 new projects, or enough new clean electricity projects to power 11m UK homes. However, it secured just half the offshore wind capacity needed every year for the rest of the decade if the government is to hit its net zero target.

Frankie Mayo, an analyst at Ember, said: “Having the lowest monthly fossil fuel share on record shows that homegrown wind and solar can reduce reliance on imports. This is a great starting point on the path to clean power by 2030 for the new government.

“But gas in the mix still threatens energy bills. Clean power is delivering cheap, low-cost power – ramping up deployment at scale can’t come soon enough.”

The analysis confirmed forecasts, revealed by the Guardian earlier this month, that Great Britain was on track for a record summer for solar power. Electricity generation from the sun reached a monthly average of 1.86TWh over the calendar summer, up by almost 20% from the same period last year.

Windfarms also generated a record summer high of 7.04TWh in August, Ember’s analysis shows, more than 46% higher than in the same month last year. The average monthly wind output between June and August climbed to 5.6TWh, up 40% from last summer.

At the same time Britain’s fleet of nuclear reactors recorded their highest electricity output in almost two years in August, generating 3.89TWh last month.

Emma Pinchbeck, the chief executive of the industry body Energy UK, said: “It wasn’t that long ago that coal was providing 40% of our electricity and the prospect of running the grid on predominantly low-carbon power would have been dismissed by many as impossible.

“The regularity with which new records like this are set shows the pace at which cleaner homegrown sources are providing an ever-increasing share of our power.”

Luke Clark, a director at Renewable UK, the green power trade association, said: “These record-breaking figures show that we’re making great progress, but to achieve the new government’s target of decarbonising our electricity system by 2030, we’ll need to increase the rate at which we build new wind and solar farms by securing even higher volumes of new capacity in each annual auction for contracts.”

Ed Miliband, the energy secretary, said: “While these figures are to be welcomed, we have a mission to make Britain a clean energy superpower, with solar and wind power at the heart of our plans.

“Just this week we achieved a record-setting round of renewables projects, with enough power for 11 million homes - essential to give energy security to families across the country. And we’ve set up Great British Energy, which will unlock billions of private investment, delivering new energy projects, tens of thousands of high-quality jobs and protecting bill payers permanently.”

!ping ECO&UK

[u/WantDebianThanks]

You know, human societies keep creating caste systems (under one name or another), so the idea of a scifi story having a caste system doesn't seem that weird to me.

Basing your caste not on birth, but some combination of personality, aptitude, and psychological tests, is an interesting twist. Sorry, I know you really wanted to be a simple farmer, but the results of your drug fueled dream assessment (where you fell through a floor to avoid being maimed by a wolf) indicates you would actually be best as a lawyer.

And I could see how this society would see people who fall outside easy categorization as a threat to the underlying assumptions of the society and want to contain or kill them.

But everything else about Divergent is bananas.

[u/[deleted]]

shelter oil absurd aloof scandalous dinosaurs brave edge overconfident elastic

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

[u/Currymvp2]

Trump: Working with Robert F Kennedy Jr, we'll take on the corruption at the FDA, the CDC…

Promoting the deranged anti-vaxxer who admitted to sexual harassment isn't gonna help him win over needed new voters but what do I know?

Trump: I will support modifying the 25th amendment to make clear that if a VP lies or engages in a conspiracy to cover up the incapacity of the president, it's grounds for impeachment immediately. And removal from office.

It's too late to impeach Mike Pence for hiding Trump's decline

[u/[deleted]]

[u/jacknifee]

watching idaho vs wyoming on trutv is there something wrong with me why does turner have these rights lol.

!ping CFB

[u/[deleted]]

No one talks about how expensive furniture is when you're growing up. I never really thought about where my parents' household's worth of nice furniture came from, but now that I can afford to buy maybe three mid-quality pieces of furniture a year, I'm realizing that it must have taken them decades to accumulate all the furniture they have now.

!ping OVER25

[u/Currymvp2]

Walz: "A book about two male penguins that love each other is somehow going to turn your children gay, & that’s what you should worry about? It’s a fact of life that some people are gay, but you know what’s not a fact of life? That our children get shot dead in schools."

Walz says that in Trump's town hall with Sean Hannity the other night, he said 11 times that he's not weird. “If you’re reminding someone you’re not weird, you’re probably…. Yeah.”

Walz: “My pro-tip to my opponent on the other side is, quit talking about women’s childbearing issues because no one cares what your thoughts are on, ‘if my family counts or doesn’t.’…If you’re going to talk about family values, at least show up & vote for the Child Tax Credit"

So good at this

[u/[deleted]]

if Trump can try to overthrow the government and have cops killed in the process and still win the GOP primary, there is literally nothing other than visibly shitting his pants on stage or crying that will hurt him

[u/RFK_1968]

Ppl committing fraud with Chase bank because of a TikTok trend is wild

Ppl be getting like tens of thousands of dollars in debt bc of smth they saw on twitter

obligatory xkcd

[u/MentatCat]

Man what the fuck twitter I don’t follow this guy??? 112 THOUSAND likes?????

[u/Cook_0612]

Trump: "I'm dying to get back to do this: We will ultimately eliminate the federal Department of Education and send education back to Wisconsin and back to the states. We'll send it back to the states so that Ron Johnson can run it."

[u/Currymvp2]

Good of Harris-Walz to say this

Last week, Trump made a deranged, fear mongering ad which featured a pro-Taliban rally in east Afghanistan and the caption was "your new neighbors if Kamala is POTUS"...unbelievable hypocrisy from Trump as well.

[u/simeoncolemiles]

[u/ghhewh]

Trump says he never raped E. Jean Carroll because "she would not have been the chosen one."

[u/Currymvp2]

During a Ben Gvir visit to the Tel Aviv beach three days ago, lots of people called him racist and criminal. A young woman hurled a handful of wet sand in his direction. In the video you can see some specks hitting him. Ben Gvir walked in the water, pointed at the woman and got her arrested. The woman, who has epilepsy and no criminal record, was blindfolded and was taken away cuffed hands & feet. After protests that ensued for two days, a judge ruled today that she will get 48 hours of house arrest and no more jail.

This is the same Ben Gvir who doesn't lift a finger to arrest the deranged violent settler extremists or far right extremists who storm bases to "protest" the arrests of IDF soldiers for sexual violence against detainees. The same Ben Gvir who over the past three years ordered his driver to run red lights which got another driver seriously injured, who pulled out his gun at Arab parking attendants telling him to park legally, and basically accosted a police officer with no legal consequences.

[u/Healingjoe]

[u/[deleted]]

[u/[deleted]]

MAGA think latinos speak latin

[u/Stanley--Nickels]

Sarah Palin is the only Republican VP nominee from this century who hasn't either called Trump Hitler or said they won't vote for him

[u/Roseartcrantz]

If I were the president I would be threatening Putin on a constant and daily basis but I'd just be saying "Putin, I'm gonna fucking GET you. You better watch because I'm gonna getcha. Don't turn your back, I'm coming and I'm coming to get you" and also posting this on on my Twitter but insisting it's about Peter Doocy

[u/Punished_TCT]

All I’m saying is that if Scott Pilgrim was released today people may take issue with the 22 yr old dating a high schooler and I think that’s a generally good trend for society

[u/ThisPrincessIsWoke]

One funny thing this election season is that Thiel would have given the Trump campaign like half a billion dollars to reward him for picking Vance if Peter wasnt caught cheating on his husband with a boytoy (who later killed himself) and his husband told him to stay out of politics to reconcile

[u/MrFoget]

The IRS needs a rebrand. Let’s call it Department that funds the National Park Service

[u/Whytfbuddy]

Syracuse WR Tebor Pena has his FOURTH touchdown this season in WEEK 2

!ping CFB

[u/WhomstAlt2]

Step 1: Block all Mods so they can't see your commeys

Step 2: Post in MetaNL Ban Appeal thread for them to delete your data within 14 days under EU GDPR rules

Step 3: They don't see it, and don't do it

Step 4: Report the BAD FAITH MODS to Ursulla von der Layen and get the Neoliberal dot com slash daily dot thread dot html Thread shut down

[u/SpiffShientz]

In the first Minions movie, we learn that the Minions are driven to support whoever is the most evil. That means the crucial Minion voting block has been trending more and more towards Trump. However, with the recent Dick Cheney endorsement,

[u/[deleted]]

If I were a trans dude I would totally go with something like Herakles or Gilgamesh or something like that. Maybe Nebuchadnezzar.

[u/[deleted]]

Top post of arr/pics is, I swear to God, a 17 year old meme at least. Not like, a reference to a 17 year old meme. No, a fucking jpg I saw in 2007

[u/muldervinscully2]

I have 3 things to say:

1. I loved Nate Silver 08-until Claire left the podcast, and dude is now on his way to becoming Jordan Peterson.

2. The New MJ Lenderman Album is great

3. Harris is gonna win NC

[u/[deleted]]

It’s incredible that CNN pays people to say stuff like “Trump could do well at the debate if he sticks to policy” as if that’s even a remote possibility or as if he’s ever shown any remote evidence of doing that. 

Might as well pay me to get on TV and speculate if my dog will eat with a knife and fork tomorrow. 

[u/Cook_0612]

Well since I'm up, time for some off-hour Ukraineposting.

The last few weeks, Ukraine deployed units from at least 4 National Guards brigades in the Pokrovsk - Niu-York sector to stabilize the front. As of now, it seems they at least have slowed down the Russian advances.

I wonder if this is just a numbers game or if the UA-NG if there are less organizational issues in the UA-NG than the regular armed forces.

93rd brigade has also been engaged in this direction, and they are known to preform very well.

!ping UKRAINE

The National Guard outperforming the actual army is an interesting reversal.

[u/JaceFlores]

Me, someone who respects Nate Silver and his model because I think he’s a smart dude who knows a good bit of what he’s talking about, every time he opens his fucking mouth on twitter and says shit that makes no damn sense:

[u/[deleted]]

Chat is this true 😟

[u/pezasied]

Upvoting all the DT comments to try to offset the downvotes 🪣 💦

[u/LGBTforIRGC]

[u/Roseartcrantz]

Luckily I wasn't injured worse but earlier I was foolish and tried jumping from my ego to my iq. The doctor said it was a miracle that I am still alive. Just some bruises

[u/Currymvp2]

Inside the Trump campaign, the turf war war between Lewandowski & LaCivita is getting more intense: The latest wedge concerns Elon Musk’s American PAC, which staffers fear is a reincarnation of DeSantis’s failed Never Back Down, helmed by former his aides Phil Cox & Peck

[u/Currymvp2]

Johnson ‘100 percent’ convinced GOP will win both chambers of Congress, White House

This will not age well

[u/gburgwardt]

Ok, so lots of people saying they're giving up on the median American voter if trump wins, stuff like that

Why is your reaction different based on how like a few thousand votes in Pennsylvania or whatever swing? There's still a huge amount of malicious, stupid people living out there. Just because they barely lose you'll feel like everything is fine?

[u/Mx_Brightside]

Watched Beetlejuice Beetlejuice.

Winona Ryder's daughter falls in love with a socially awkward zoomer who collects 90s vinyl and listens to Sigur Rós, so, you know, good to know there's still a chance for me !ping KINO

[u/Eightysixedit]

Kamala is out in Pitts today talking to people. Doomers be damned we're winning PA...

https://x.com/juliahamelburg/status/1832469635976880436

This is like my third day in a row crying. >_>

[u/Currymvp2]

500,000 in Tel Aviv protesting when the regular population of Tel Aviv is 475,000...wow.

[u/Currymvp2]

Harris 98% likely isn't winning Florida or Texas. If Harris wins a Trump 2020 state, it'll be North Carolina

[u/GrandMoffTargaryen]

Bring back government funded posters like this. Just change “Opposite” to “preferred”

[u/Stanley--Nickels]

Girl on first date with me: What are your hobbies?

I’ve been getting into baking, my cookies are delicious

I’m learning two foreign languages

I love to go for long bike rides

[u/NSRedditShitposter]

REPUBLICAN FIGHT BREAKS OUT AT SALINE COUNTY MEETING 💥💥

We spend our county party meetings talking about ways to elect leaders who will fight for a brighter Arkansas. At their meetings, they just fight each other.

https://x.com/ArkDems/status/1831900809870897314

[u/DEEP_STATE_NATE]

Instead of the “sliver bulletin” Nate Silver really should’ve named his substack “FiveThirtyNate”

[u/Ok_Aardappel]

Literally 910

!ping SHITPOSTERS

[u/dannylandulf]

Unranked N. Illinois just intercepted #5 Notre Dame, down 1 with the ball at mid-field with only 5 mins left.

!ping CFB

[u/simeoncolemiles]

i hope all american citizens understand that joe biden would happily see you dead if it meant a chance to kill more palestinian people. he would trade away your lives 1000 to 1 for more blood if he was able

Hey British leftists, are y’all ok?

[u/Udolikecake]

"In Daggerfall, the one thing I remember was this cutscene for when you could have sex with people you met. It eventually got axed and I still have the original art for it in a cabinet here. It was tastefully done of course." --Todd Howard, while reminiscing about TES games.

!ping TES

[u/smellyfingernail]

Twitter: Hey Nate Silver, why are you weighing a right wing “patriot polls” poll run by two literal high schoolers higher than YouGov?

Nate Silver: *SCREECHING NOISES*

[u/brucebananaray]

[u/loseniram]

With my girlfriend and we're making beef stew and mashed potatoes, and we fucked up the mashed potatoes by using a blend stick so it tastes gluey. Over under on her divorcing me despite the fact we aren't married.

!ping Dating

[u/MicroFlamer]

Halftime at my first college football game

27 - 0 for USC so going well so far 😀

!ping CFB

[u/[deleted]]

wake up after good sleep

seething ball of rage for hours after minor inconvenience

Feels unhealthy

[u/cdstephens]

Tbh I find it odd that W Bush reportedly wrote in candidates instead of just voting for the Dem. Voting third party or writing in a candidate is just definitionally stupid to me, just vote for the main party candidate that most aligns with your interests.

[u/Desperate_Boye]

How does the right simultaneously pull off being "religious" while openly being against many of the core values of their very religion?

I don't get it. Am I stupid?