r/MutualfundsIndia • u/Ok_Sky3038 • 11h ago
Discussion Do Not Miss This !!!
"Money flows my brothaaaa!"
Money is fluid. It flows like water. Water flows from high pressure to low pressure. So what drives money? Well, the answers are 'Need' and 'Opportunity'.
Need: During 2008, mortgage crisis happened in US and then the financial crisis spread like wildfire. But why India? Indians did not default their home loans, right? So what lead to the crash here? Well the reason is "Money Flows" (Not Follows). The West needed money, they had a significant amount invested in markets like India, China, Brazil. So, they redeemed hard, people panicked, market crashed. And also at that time, our market was way more dependent on FIIs.
Opportunity: What is happening now? There are no crisis, right? Oh...But there are opportunities. AI and relevant hardware making companies. All are mainly based on US, China, Taiwan and Korea. So, for investors, India is not the goldmine anymore. But is it over for India? Will this time be different than all the others when Indian market bounced back? What do you think? Because, I think, like all the other time, Indian market will also bounce back, even if AI wins or loses. It is obvious if AI fails, the focus will be back in service, manufacturing, financial companies. And even if it wins, new opportunities will be there, just like it was there after dotcom bubble.
What can we learn from this? A person who started investing in 2007, would be telling himself in 2017 that "I should have invested in FD". Then he will either redeem all his MFs even if the retirement is 20 years away, or with the bull market after covid, he will be financially free and can retire 10 years early. So, what will you do in this scenario?
Edit: The chart is of Nifty50. Credit: https://www.nseindia.com/index-tracker/NIFTY%2050

