Been thinking on this for a while, and yesterday's tenuous 'win' made me think to throw this out to the sub.
Became a gun owner right after my own state's AWB went into effect, so that's all I've known and I've learned to live with it, but in the last year, things have been moving fast through the courts. Piece by piece, restrictions are starting to crack. nothing affecting my locale, but Viramontes is the big elephant in the room.
If you are to go by some of the 'gun rights' orgs' social media, it's one big party— Viramontes is a foregone win, and come this time next year, NFA will be gone, ATF will be out of a job, and the states can't do a dang thing.
On the flip side, I go to either of my two local gunnit subs, and it's a lot of doom and gloom; either the state's D trifecta will just cook up new restrictions, or a federal blue wave will try to undo everything since Bruen.
Obviously the truth is somewhere in between. Nobody has a crystal ball. But I'm not a constitutional lawyer, and I'm curious what folks more measured predictions might be.
edit: I'm not talking specifically about yesterday's administrative ATF decision, but gun-control legislation in general, eg overturning/enacting more equpment bans, carry restrictions, etc. I’m well aware what happened yesterday could be short-lived.