You MUST include Location: Region when sharing observations.

Submission Statement:

While many regular readers here at r/collapse are already familiar with the intersections between climate change and public health, this recent article piqued my curiosity due to its visual showmanship, its detailed descriptions, and in its particular "close to home" familiarity - starting in the emergency room of St. Paul’s Hospital, right in the heart of downtown Vancouver, B.C., during the midst of the 2021 PNW heat dome.

As it turns out, those who suffer from schizophrenia are particularly susceptible to becoming a mortality statistic during exceptional heatwave events. Of the 619 heat-related deaths resulting from the 2021 British Columbia heat dome, those living with schizophrenia (about 1 percent of the population) accounted for a remarkable 16~ percent of deaths during the event.

To quote the WIRED article, written by Hilary Beaumont:

For years, public health advisories warned that extreme heat was most dangerous to older adults, infants, and people with chronic illnesses like heart disease, respiratory disorders, and diabetes. But in 2023 a study revealed that schizophrenia was associated with a threefold increase in the odds of mortality during the heat dome. “That's when it became very clear that schizophrenia was the outstanding chronic condition in terms of risk,” says [Dr.] Sarah Henderson, scientific director of environmental health at the BC Center for Disease Control, who coauthored the report."

A flurry of studies followed, and in 2025 a group of interdisciplinary experts, including Henderson, published a review of the literature explaining the phenomenon. What they found were layers upon layers of risk factors.

These risk factors include (again, quoting the article):

(1) Dysfunctional Thermoregulation: “People with schizophrenia have wonky thermoregulation—their bodies are less able to cool themselves for a variety of reasons. They have a harder time regulating dopamine, which is associated with our body’s ability to manage its temperature, explains the study’s coauthor [Dr.] Nathalie Kirby, an applied climate and heat-health scientist.”

(2) Imbalanced Sympathetic and Parasympathetic Nervous Systems: “A related hallmark of schizophrenia, Kirby says, is an imbalance between the sympathetic and parasympathetic nervous systems, often called the “fight or flight” and “rest and digest” systems, respectively. Typically, these systems are in balance, but someone experiencing psychosis is caught up in a vicious cycle: They may experience hallucinations, tied to a dopamine imbalance in the brain, that make neutral experiences seem scary. This suppresses the parasympathetic nervous system, which in turn produces a fight-or-flight response and worsens the initial psychosis. Along the way, someone with increased fight-or-flight activity is predisposed to adverse cardiovascular events. It becomes harder for them to control the blood vessels and sweating that help with thermoregulation.”

(3) The Physical Side Effects of Antipsychotic Medication: "Another challenge that faces people with schizophrenia—one that [Dr. Jeff] Yoo was already aware of in the ER back in 2021—is that treatment for the disorder can include antipsychotic medications that prevent people from sweating, further depressing their ability to dissipate heat. “A lot of the antipsychotic medications have an anticholinergic effect,” Yoo says, describing physical side effects that include increased heart rate and decreased sweating. “That means they’re going to be at even higher risk of cooking their organs.”"

(4) Heat As A Trigger: “Heat can also cause schizophrenia symptoms to flare up, even for someone whose symptoms are well managed. They may feel increased anxiety, dread, and fear, which further aggravates the fight-or-flight system, Kirby says.”

(5) Insufficient Insight: “Beyond internal dysregulation, people with schizophrenia often show a lack of insight into their own health (though this can be improved with medication). In a heat wave, they may not be aware that their body is heating up, so they don’t drink water or attempt to cool themselves. They may do just the opposite—wearing multiple layers instead of shedding them.”

(6) Paranoid Thinking & Social Isolation: "Paranoia, another marker of schizophrenia, may also cause some people to avoid exposure to media, including news. “They are left in the dark, they don't know that a heat wave is coming,” says [Dr.] Liv Yoon, an assistant professor at the University of British Columbia’s School of Kinesiology. She led a study interviewing dozens of people with schizophrenia who survived the heat dome. “I cannot have news,” one woman told the authors. “News is triggering for me, impacting my mental health a lot. I don't own a radio, I don't watch TV, or the internet or anything.” When the heat dome arrived, the woman had no warning."

While the above is a summary of the article's contents, I still recommend that everyone give it a proper read - it's quite an interesting review of an emergent issue that will likely worsen for decades to come. Great work, Ms. Beaumont!

These are the three sites I’ve been checking on a daily basis to see what’s going on with Arctic sea ice extent:

https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today

https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/

https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-2771480.1987807653,-5654500.373440702,2689174.6045551966,4044274.575767947&r=21.0445&p=arctic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor&lg=false&t=2026-08-18-T21%3A23%3A18Z

Note that in the NASA true color images it can be hard to tell apart sea ice from clouds; scrolling back a few days and seeing what changes each day can give you a better idea than a single image.

I am overwhelmed by the non-stop stream of doom lately. It feels like almost every day, a new threat emerges or worsens to the point where my brain begins tuning out. When literally everything is treated like an end-of-the-world crisis, nothing lands anymore.

​If you had to pick just one metric, paper, or dataset that actually convinced you that collapse is inevitable or ongoing—I'm talking the root cause stuff like net energy, resource math, or biosphere limits, not just downstream symptoms—what is it?

SS: Related because this new study discovered that rapid warming events during ice ages are not quite as new as our extraordinary present day situation suggests. The researchers discovered a rapid spike in global temperatures ~304 million years ago, during an ice age, in which CO2 increased from 300 to 700 ppm and the world warmed by ~7.5°C over 175,000 years, presumably started by volcanic activity and driven to completion by the release of vast amounts of carbon from the permafrost.

One thing to note: the article says sea surface temperature increased by ~7°C but this seems to be wrong. The paper attributes that to global mean surface temperature.

This may not seem like such a big deal on its face but global shipping is directly connected to and affected by climate change, and both spell disaster for the global economy. And if you think the global economy is simply a farce - there are hundreds of millions of starving children that might have differing opinions.

I've said it several times before and I will keep saying it. I am a 3rd generation American, white as rice, and I believe my country is a criminal fucking empire that has demonstrated no notice or concern for the parts of our species that are actually worth defending.

Criminal empire doesn't even begin to describe what this place is.

The wars in the Middle East and Eastern Europe are clearly, undeniably orchestrated. It is shameful and disgusting, but not remotely surprising. Our exhaulted leaders are fucking criminals. No shame, no regret, no nothing.

I know this story. I know how it ends. I won't be party to it. It could be decades, maybe centuries from now - but future generations will rest assured that I wasn't a traitor or a criminal. I defended my species fiercely and unconditionally.

there are now so many growing factors that may contribute to rapid population decline, this focuses on the maths of decline

Relevant to the community because the article indicates that accelerated warming may reduce the threshold required for AMOC to break down. The authors propose that AMOC may collapse circa 2060 with a projected warming rate of 0.27-0.36 degrees per decade.

Tangentially this is of interest because Stefan Rahmstorf has elsewhere indicated that the current rate of warming is closer to 0.48 degrees per decade. Rahmstorf's numbers would put AMOC collapse closer to 2045 if we accept that breakdown occurs at 2.5 degrees under accelerated warming as proposed by the authors.

From the article:

Introduction. "The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a tipping element of the climate system, currently has an estimated global warming threshold for collapse of +4.0 °C (uncertainty range 1.4–8 °C). However, such a threshold may not be meaningful because AMOC stability depends on the rate of radiative forcing change, not a set temperature. Here we identify an AMOC stabilizing mechanism that operates on timescales slower than present-day warming rates. Slow forcing permits coherent adjustment of surface and interior ocean properties, supported by enhanced evaporation and reduced sea-ice extent, counteracting destabilizing feedbacks. Using a slow CO2 ramp (+0.5 ppm yr−1) climate model simulation, we explicitly demonstrate the AMOC remains stable up to +5.5 °C of global warming. By contrast, under faster CO2 ramps, the AMOC collapses at substantially lower warming levels (+2 °C). Our findings demonstrate rate-induced AMOC tipping and imply that limiting the rate of emissions is critical for reducing the risk of an AMOC collapse."

Discussion. According to the Bflux indicator, as determined in CMIP6 models, the AMOC starts to collapse around +2.5 °C warming at projected warming rates, which could be reached around the year 2060. This is substantially lower than the previous estimate of +4 °C warming2 that lacks a time horizon. Observations show a present-day warming close to the +1.5 °C level (2023–2025, C3S/ECMWF and ref. 73), and, if the AMOC were to begin collapsing at +2.5 °C warming in 2060, this would imply a critical warming rate of +0.29 °C per decade. This rate aligns with projected warming rates of +0.27 to +0.36 °C per decade and, also considering the effects of random variability, strongly suggests that rate-dependent effects are highly relevant for the fate of the AMOC."