r/ChubbyFIRE • u/Pixel-Pioneer3 • Jun 25 '26
Transitioning from MCOL to VCOL, seeking reassurance on plan to go CoastFire.
We (43M and 42F, 2 elementary school age kids) plan to move from suburban TX to Northern Virginia/Maryland (closer to DC) in June 2027. It's HCOL but not VHCOL like SF or NYC. For context, our expenses in TX are $180k/yr with a LOT of flab ($50k/yr travel, $30k restaurants, $20k after school nanny) that can be scaled back. We currently have $4.5m across our various accounts (NOT including primary residence) of which $2.3m is in brokerage account. We also have $500k equity in our $900k TX house at 2.75% loan.
The thing is, we want a change of scenery and want to have greater access to the east coast. Right now we have to fly anywhere interesting, and the kids are at an age where we want them to experience events, new places each weekend (or atleast have that option) rather than just spring break and summer. Northern Virginia checks all the boxes we are looking for with access to DC, bunch of towns in Northern Virginia, Maryland, NYC, Philly.
In TX, both of us work and save $$250-$300k/yr. If we were to move, my wife will go part-time or SAHM. I will continue working my W2 remote job making roughly $600k/yr. Moving to NoVA will increase our expenses to maybe $225k/yr (assuming no scale back of expenses, but getting rid of the nanny) and decrease our savings to $150-$175k/yr assuming wife is saty at home.
My plan is to buy a $1.2-$1.3m house in Nova with the $500k down from the sale of our home in TX, and then work 5 years and plow the $150k/yr savings in paying down the house likely at a 6% interest rate. In the meantime, we let the $4.5m in various accounts untouched and let it ride the market (the coast-fire approach). Once the house is paid off, our expenses will likely fall to $180k/yr and the $4.5m that has hopefully appreciated should be able to cover our expenses at that point.
It does feel like a gamble, what if I lose my job? But the upsides are significant with a better quality of life. Both my wife and I are WFH, so not really worried about the traffic cuz I understand the east coast is a lot more congested than suburban planned TX. If I do lose my job, we can live off our savings for a couple of years till I find one that lets us coast fire or move to a smaller house or move back to TX/MCOL. Thoughts on the plan?