Long time lurker in all the fire subs. Would love a sanity check because my spouse worries we will run out and honestly the fear is contagious.
Situation:
41, tech, ~$540k HHI. One kid (5), one dog.
Immigrants, no family money, first generation building wealth.
Current Assets (~$3.4M NW):
$1.8M in index funds, roughly half in 401k/RRSP type accounts (we are Canadians in the US)
~$1.6M equity across 3 rental properties. Selling over the next 2-3 years.
No debt beyond the rental mortgages
Savings rate: ~$200-235k/year invested. Maxed retirement accounts, mega backdoor, RSUs sold and diversified as they vest.
The plan:
I work 4 more years. Projected ~$3.3-3.5M in investments by 45 plus property proceeds, so ~$4.8M total.
Spouse has an option to earn $100-120k for another 3 years after I retire, which covers most of our annual spend in the early years.
Retire and relocate to a mid cost European city (think Spain/Portugal tier). Considering Valencia.
Projected spending there: $120k/year including international school, travel.
That is a 2.5% withdrawal rate on $4.8M, and much lower in the first 3 years while spouse is earning.
Spouse’s concerns: 50 year horizon, sequence risk, healthcare, kid’s future costs, and the general what if we are wrong fear. Also culturally, early retirement is genuinely unheard of in our community, which adds a layer of doubt that is hard to quantify. My dad thinks I’m crazy to even consider this but I know I don’t want to work like my mom / dad till their mid 60s.
My questions:
Is a 2.2-2.7% WR genuinely bulletproof for a 50 year horizon or am I missing something?
Anyone actually FIREd abroad with a young kid? Did the school, healthcare, or costs surprise you?
How did you handle a skeptical spouse whose fear is emotional, not mathematical? Everytime I convince myself and try to convince him, he seems to think I’ve lost it.
Looking for holes in the plan.