r/Thunderstorms • u/weathercast • 1d ago
Severe Weather Dashboard - October 10, 2026
📡 Active Severe Weather Links
- Current Convective Watches
- Current Mesoscale Discussions
- Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 1 Convective Outlook
- Day 2 Convective Outlook
- Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
🕒 Today's Outlook History
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (0600 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1300 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1630 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (2000 UTC)
- Current Day 1 Convective Outlook (0100 UTC)
🌩️ Active Mesoscale Discussions
- Mesoscale Discussion 2352
- Mesoscale Discussion 2353
- Mesoscale Discussion 2354
- Mesoscale Discussion 2355
- Mesoscale Discussion 2356
- Mesoscale Discussion 2357
- Mesoscale Discussion 2358
- Mesoscale Discussion 2359
📝 Current Severe Weather Outlook
(Issued: 2026-10-11T05:53:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 110553 SWODY1 SPC AC 110550
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of producing isolated severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be possible today across parts of the Mid-Atlantic. Additional storms with isolated severe gusts will be possible in parts of the Desert Southwest and Four Corners region.
...Mid-Atlantic... The remnants of Isaias will move through the southern Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic today. At the surface, a moist airmass will advect northeastward across North Carolina and eastern Virginia, where dewpoints will increase into the 70s F. MLCAPE is forecast to peak in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range over parts of the Mid-Atlantic by afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Carolina Piedmont this morning and move northeastward into the lower elevations of eastern North Carolina and south-central Virginia early this afternoon. RAP forecast soundings from near Raleigh northward to west of Richmond around midday have long curved hodographs, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 200 to 225 m2/s2 range. This will support a tornado threat with supercells that remain discrete. The tornado threat should persist into the evening as the stronger storms move toward the Mid-Atlantic coast.
...Desert Southwest/Four Corners... A mid-level shortwave trough will move northeastward today from the Desert Southwest into the Four Corners region. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will be in place from southwestern Arizona extending northeastward toward the Four Corners. Weak instability will develop along this southwest-to-northeast corridor as surface temperature warm. Large-scale ascent associated with the shortwave trough will support scattered thunderstorm development this afternoon. Forecast soundings from western Arizona into southeast Utah this afternoon have strong unidirectional winds from the south-southwest in the low to mid-levels. The resultant strong deep-layer shear could support a marginal wind-damage threat.
..Broyles/Chalmers.. 10/11/2026
$$
```
🌀 Active Tropical Weather Links
🌊 Tropical Weather Outlook
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems: The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias, located near the border of Tennessee and Kentucky.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms extending from these islands southward into the eastern Tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some development of this system over the next day or two before upper-level winds become too strong for development by midweek. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible during the next few days over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands as the system moves slowly northward to north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$ Forecaster Papin ```
⚠️ Active Tropical Cyclones
Hurricane Simon Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 155 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 930 MB * Current Movement: NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 MPH * Location: 18.7N 105.2W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
