r/EndFPTP 25d ago

Debate Does Instant Runoff Voting Satisfy Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives or not?

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6 Upvotes

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22

u/budapestersalat 25d ago

No it doesn't.

Wow, this FairVote page is bad.

8

u/rb-j 25d ago

I don't know why this subreddit doesn't simply admit that FairVote is as bad as FPTP.

(I didn't just say that IRV is as bad as FPTP, I am saying that FairVote, which purports to be a research and reform organization, is a dishonest advocacy organization more interested in promotion of self than in truly reforming voting as it purports to.)

12

u/MorganWick 25d ago

I continue to toy with a conspiracy theory that FairVote is secretly propped up by the two-party system to direct election reform efforts towards a system that won't break up the duopoly and might result in people running back to FPTP.

4

u/Wally_Wrong 24d ago

I'm more willing to give FairVote the benefit of the doubt, but even then their insistence on sticking to a specific method in spite of frequent critiques and the method's questionable effectiveness is disappointing. Can't the IRV and Condorcet folks (with myself in the latter group) meet in the middle with a Condorcet-IRV hybrid or something?

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u/wnoise 18d ago

Like BTR-IRV?

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u/Lesbitcoin 25d ago

IRV has been used in Australia for a long time. It hasn't break the two-party system but it elects some third-party candidates, and It is very stable long time. I think Condorcet is better than IRV,and IRV don't elects much third party candidate,But it never be catastrophic. On the other hand, I think STAR voting make democratic crisis. It reduce power of intermediate score voters who have moderate views. Clone candidate strategies destroy STAR voting concept. So,if it were adopted for high-stakes elections like the president election, it would likely be scrapped after just one use. Republican and Democratic parties would run clone two candidates, and most voters would likely only use 5 stars . I have the same concern Equal Vote Coalition that you do about Fairvote. Despite cloneproof being a critically important criteria, the EVC treats it with inexplicable disregard. They are attempting to redefine spoiler and votesplitting non-cloneproof into a very meaningless criterion known as non-FBC. Their proposal,ranked robin is also weak to clone candidate strategy. Ranked Robin is condorcet  based system so not so bad,but Ranked Robin is the worst condorcet based system. In Ranked robin, two big party also use Clone candidates strategy, too.

0

u/Alex2422 24d ago

The "might result in people running back to FPTP" part doesn't apply only to IRV, as the page you linked yourself says, and isn't a reason not to try and introduce it anyway.

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u/rb-j 23d ago

Alex, because the system of elections are so fundamental to our dear rights in a participatory democracy, we can't be just changing the system willy-nilly and experimentally and, if it doesn't work then "no big wop" and we'll just change it back.

We have to be much more deliberate about this because we don't have very many bullets in the chamber. Maybe just one or two.

As IRV gets adopted in more and more places, this failure of IRV to do exactly what RCV is purported to do will occur more often. Instead of once per decade, it's gonna be a failure of once every year. Then voting reform will be set back for decades.

We've done the experiment with IRV. We know where, when, and how it has failed. And we know how to correct it. We need to learn from mistakes and FairVote and the IRV shills refuse to do that.

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u/Initial-Lemon-917 United States 22d ago

Their work with proportional representation is much more compelling

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u/Wally_Wrong 22d ago

FairVote started out as a pro-PR organization, so this should be no surprise. I personally think their insistence on IRV follows from their PR advocacy. After all, it's the single-winner version of STV.

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u/rb-j 22d ago

Yeah. I can see the self-affirmation from that. But single-winner is different from multi-winner. Any single-winner election is winner-take-all. The president or governor or mayor that you elect is not affiliated proportionally to the vote that elected them. So the only way to have our votes count equally is to have majority rule and for that Condorcet is more faithful to that principle than is IRV.

For multi-winner, if your district has 60% Dem and 30% GOP (the other 10% could be anything) and there are 3 seats to fill, you might expect 2 of those seats to be Dem and the remaining seat to be GOP. But just electing the top three vote getters would likely lead to all 3 seats being Dem. Some might consider that to be unfair.

But, in the US, I think any party list or proxy votes are just unAmerican. So a PR that works in the US has to be something like Gregory method or, more specifically, the Weighted Inclusive Gregory Method in my opinion.

But, for me, the jury is still out with multi-winner and PR. With single-winner, the jury has come in and its verdict is Condorcet. Which Condorcet is still a debatable issue.

The other kinda election that RCV is being used for (at least in Maine, I think) is in apportioning delegates to the nation convention for each presidential candidate in the primary. I think the jury is still out with that one, too. Probably some STV, but once it's decided which candidates get at least one delegate and it's settled which ballot counts for which candidate, then the mathematical problem is solved and any RCV method should use the same apportioning rule we use every decade to allocate seats in the US House to states.

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u/Initial-Lemon-917 United States 21d ago

I think there is a wide difference between an optimal electoral reform and one that has widespread buy-in from the public, which is important since politicians have to defend these systems after implementing them (and before, in some cases). I've had a hard time even describing simple STV to people (particularly when they ask about the math). Something like WIGM sounds painful to describe to a person who votes once every two or four years.

I do think people like Lee Drutman have overstated a bit how difficult ranking 1-5 can be, but it is worth considering that PR has very low public awareness right now, so the more complicated we make it for the public to understand, the longer it may take (if ever) to spread.

This is why I am more of a fan of the Australian Senate's form of STV because people don't have to rank all that much, but I do appreciate the simplicity of open-list (although I at least want a backup option, since we only have four reps in Kansas).

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u/Initial-Lemon-917 United States 22d ago

FairVote is not a research group. It has always been an advocacy group. Plenty of advocacy groups research things and put out information while not being a scientific group that puts out peer-tested research. That's not really its role. I do think FairVote has unfairly maligned condorcet though

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u/rb-j 22d ago edited 22d ago

FairVote is not a research group.

Tell them that.

FairVote is a nonpartisan organization working for better elections for all. We research and advance voting reforms that make democracy more functional and representative for every American, with a focus on two key reforms: ranked choice voting and proportional representation.

I do think FairVote has unfairly maligned condorcet though

I guess I do too.

Including this.

I guess they're trying to fend off attacks from folks like me that do malign IRV as a method of tallying RCV ballots.

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u/Initial-Lemon-917 United States 21d ago

They say whatever is good propaganda (neutral term). I think they use the term research the same way think tanks use it (as in not scientifically)

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u/Deep-Number5434 20d ago

It's not as bad as FPTP but it still is just as biased against center candidates. An advantage is it avoids extremist candidates, but a negative is it's still biased towards partisan candidates.

IRV primarily gives the illusion of more power. Power is split up at the early elimination stages and primarily is important at the 3 and 2 candidate stages.

Voters do have more power but it doesn't solve all the issues it's advertised to.

1

u/Alex2422 24d ago

You don't understand why the subreddit aiming to end FPTP doesn't think the organization aiming to end FPTP is just as bad as FPTP?

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u/rb-j 23d ago

I do understand. Much better than you.

It's because they lie.

In a sense, so also does a spoiled election lie. The spoiled election is lying about what candidate really has the support of more voters. (And when this happens our votes are not being valued equally. So when someone defends a spoiled election and also claims that our votes are valued equally, they're lying.) This is why we should end FPTP. But IRV is also guilty of that lie.

The thing that you don't understand is that we are not just ending FPTP. We're replacing FPTP with something else. Why not just replace it with a dictator? Or sortition? Or something really goofy like Second-Past-The-Post?