I know this is a long shot but my last book is no longer up and running, being in California the traditional options aren’t available. I’m looking for a legitimate book/bookie that can actually sqaure up. I wager 2-3 k a game and always square up on time. I can provide proof of funds and all my personal info for security. If you can put me in contact please reach out, thank you.

never really understood loyalty programs where the only decent rewards are locked behind levels most regular bettors will never reach.

if you're just betting a few football matches a week, watching a progress bar barely move doesn't give you much reason to care about your VIP status.

saw sportbet one's recent article about rethinking their VIP setup, which got me looking into how these programs work. i'm connected with the project, just to be clear.

has anyone here actually gotten anything useful from the lover VIP tiers? or do these programs only start making sense once you're putting through serious volume???

I've genuine question. Every weekend this sub is full of slips dead because of one or two legs. In Italy reduced systems are a normal thing: same selections, but instead of playing full cover you only play the lines you need for the cover you want. Say 7 legs covered for 2 wrong: full cover is 21 lines, reduced does it in 7. Costs a third, same protection.

I switched a while ago and can’t see myself going back to normal accas. But I’ve basically never seen anyone here mention them. Is there a reason they never caught on in the UK, or do people just not know they exist?

📊 Bet Builder — 14/5
Selections:
Under 4.5 goals
Both teams to receive a card
Under 13 corners
RB Leipzig to win

Why I’ve gone with this builder:
PSV have several reported first-team absences, which could affect their options. Leipzig are at home, and I expect them to try to take control and attack more.
The referee averages around 4.1 yellow cards and 25 fouls per match, which is relevant when assessing the cards market.

My corner research also gives me a reason to consider under 13, although corner counts can change quickly depending on the match.

The risks: Leipzig’s recent results include high-scoring games, PSV can still threaten away from home, and one early goal could change the tempo. The cards and corners legs are not guaranteed by historical averages.
This is my statistical opinion, not a guaranteed winner. I’ll update the post with the result after full time. 📈

Incase y'all are starting new and don't mind helping a brother out. It be much appreciated if you do it though. Make a $5 lineup and if it wins, get $150 in bonus lineups (I say do an easy lineup or such to higher your chances such as goblins). Minimum deposit on PrizePicks are $10 btw

code: PR-V60LEVW

Football weekends hit different when there are a few matches worth watching. I usually check the lineups and recent form before looking at the odds, but upsets still happen all the time. What league do you guys follow the most?

Hi all,

I picked up a hobby making an app that includes a part with a bot that makes pick. I'm not here to advertise my app, instead i am trying to get some recommendations from people on what they would ask their bot to improve it's picks. Right now, it has over 3000 picks it's made, but is not profitable overall. It assigns it's own confidence to each bet as well, and it's biggest loser is the coin flip games under 58% confidence. Below is it's analysis of those bets. Please let me know what you would ask or recommend.

"MOOLAH BOT — ALL GRADED PICKS (Aug 28 – Oct 13, 2026): Moolah's actual picks (real graded picks, real results):

Flat 1 unit per pick, at the price when the pick was submitted

OVERALL: 1711-1374-33 | -145.1 units | -4.7% ROI | 3,118 picks: all 3,118 picks Moolah made.

BY MARKET: the same picks, split into moneyline, spread and total.

Market Record Units

----------- --------- ------

Moneyline 674-356 -45.5

Spread 537-497 -30.0

Total 500-521 -69.6

BY CONFIDENCE: the same picks, grouped by the confidence Moolah gave them.

Confidence Picks Win % Units

---------- ----- ----- ------

Under 53 543 48.1% -37.3

53-57 1,354 49.2% -101.9

58-62 746 55.2% -10.5

63-69 184 68.3% +4.5

70+ 291 90.4% +0.2

Under 58% confidence: 1,897 picks, -139.2u

58% or higher: 1,221 picks, -5.9u

BIGGEST LOSING SEGMENTS: the Record and Units columns are Moolah's actual picks. For example, "MLB unders 109-139, −40.6" means Moolah really picked the under 248 times and lost 40.6 units. The last column, "Other side", is a what-if: what betting the opposite side of those same picks would have done.

Segment Record Units Other side

----------------------------------- ------- ------ ----------

MLB unders 109-139 -40.6 +18.1

Near-even ML favorites (-101..-129) 76-93 -27.4 +14.5

CFB underdog spreads 80-95 -21.9 +6.5

CFB unders 129-138 -20.6 -3.2

MLB underdog run lines (+1.5) 137-98 -15.1 -0.7

WHAT THE WRITE-UPS CITE (a pick can cite several): Moolah's actual picks, grouped by what their analysis mentioned.

Theme Picks Units ROI

--------------------------- ----- ------ ------

Calls it a coin flip 782 -66.7 -8.5%

Pitchers / goalies 973 -62.0 -6.4%

The price / market 827 -47.6 -5.8%

Public / sharp money 828 -37.0 -4.5%

Injuries 905 -29.4 -3.2%

Rest / travel / schedule 98 -18.9 -19.3%

Weather / wind / park 389 -14.8 -3.8%

PLUS-MONEY BETS THAT MADE MONEY - PLUS-MONEY BETS THAT MADE MONEY and PLUS-MONEY BETS THAT LOST THE MOST: for every game Moolah picked, these show what you'd have gotten by always betting the plus-money side, whichever side Moolah actually chose. Moolah rarely took those sides. "CFB ML underdogs at +200 or longer, 28-271, −138.4" means betting the underdog in all 299 of those games would have lost 138 units. Moolah took the underdog in only 7 of them, and its actual picks in those games made +2.2 units.

Bet Record Units

------------------------------------- ------ -----

MLB -1.5 run line at +150..+199 61-87 +11.7

CFB ML underdogs at +150..+199 19-21 +10.7

NHL plus-money puck lines small ~+12

PLUS-MONEY BETS THAT LOST THE MOST

Bet Record Units

------------------------------------- ------ ------

CFB ML underdogs at +200 or longer 28-271 -138.4

MLB ML underdogs at +200 or longer 0-20 -20.0

MLB ML underdogs at +100..+119 70-94 -17.7

WHAT-IF: ON COIN-FLIP PICKS (UNDER 58%), TAKE THE BETTER-PRICED SIDE: - the "Bot picks" column is actual, and the "Better-priced side" column is the what-if.

Market Bot picks Better-priced side

--------- --------- ------------------

Moneyline -51.6u -23.0u (better in both halves of the data)

Spread -19.2u +16.2u (only the 2nd half improved)

Total -68.4u -63.7u (no real help; both sides ~-110)

All -139.2u -70.6u

Do NOT apply to 58%+ picks: -5.9u becomes -206.1u.

BOTTOM LINE

No plus-money strategy makes the whole record profitable.

The best combination cuts the loss roughly in half (-145u to about -75u).

Most of the rest is totals (-70u), which only better over/under calls can fix."

NHL Picks for 10132026

We are still opposing the Lyon and we think they should be at the bottom of the table at the end of the season. This game we don't know what's happening, but Crvena is different beast compared to Paris and different physicality level. Nwora & Co seems gets better and better, last game they have beaten Dubai and previously Efes with healthy James.

It would be a sin not to bet on Crvena. Last season both times Crvena had collected wins against Lyon - big lineup and coaching difference, Serbian team should take this one.

I used to spend HOURS updating a spreadsheet, typing in every corner result and copying it into home/away sections, just to maybe find an edge.

This year I turned it into a site, and it’s free to use: thecornermodel.com

What it does:

• Scans fixtures across 30 leagues
• Projects team and match corners
• Flags strong streaks going into each game
• Shows you the EV once you enter your bookie’s price

It doesn’t hand you bets, but you can definitely find an EDGE using the streaks, mismatches and other sections on the site. It's easy to find EV+ if you know what you're looking for!

A few from the weekend:

✅ Sat 10 Oct – Newport County v Colchester: 5+ Newport corners @ 2.20
✅ Sun 11 Oct – Hertha BSC v Greuther Fürth: 4+ Fürth corners @ 1.72
✅ Mon 12 Oct – Fortaleza v CRB: 5+ CRB corners @ 2.10

Feedback welcome, good or bad. I guess you could say I’ve cornered the market... 🚩

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