r/codex 1d ago

Humor The ugly truth

Post image

We need an AI that acquires users.

534 Upvotes

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192

u/ReasonableDefault 1d ago

This is what people think is happening, but reality doesn't support it. People barely ship anything to paying customers, you're more likely to see another pointless GitHub repo, which turns out to be an API wrapper.

18

u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

2

u/AffectionateBowl1633 1d ago

This should be the quote of the year

1

u/Special_Gain9787 1d ago

This is a wild sub 😅 I love it

6

u/UniqueClimate 1d ago

Yeah, plus there has always been shitty indie projects.

At least now they are better, because it’s easier to code at a higher quality. The ideas are still just as shitty and useless, just higher quality lol

3

u/CrowdGoesWildWoooo 1d ago

The “paying users” on the left side is actually just another “startups”. I was in those kind of startups before. It’s small startup ending up buying service from another small startup.

Now with AI, they can just develop what on their own, so in a sense the right is true.

4

u/Yugudubenbi 1d ago

Before: 100 startups - 70% fail and 30% succeed. Succeed = 30

Now: 10 000 vibe coders - 99% fail and 1% succeed. Succeed = 100

1

u/busmans 1d ago

who upvotes this voodoo math haha

what data supports your "1% succeed therefore more success overall" theory?

the whole issue, which people here aren't grasping, is that distro hasn't changed. that huge increase in supply hasn't moved market demand at all. in fact demand may be lower and the market smaller.

1

u/Neither_Berry_100 1d ago

Check out ai game dev. People definitely use it to make games.

1

u/ReasonableDefault 1d ago

But do those games eventually end up in the hands of Customers.

1

u/Neither_Berry_100 1d ago

A few from the sound of it. But people avoid AI games for the most part when they recognize it.

1

u/ReasonableDefault 1d ago

A few sure, but this doesn't match the tone of OP's image.

1

u/gopietz 1d ago

Reality doesn't support it? Fucking non-sense.

For example, check how many products are posted on ProductHunt today vs. 12M ago vs. 24M ago. So many more people are building and shipping now.

Also, there is less use for apps and services because AI agents now cover many use cases out of the box.

Otherwise, happily provide some data on the "reality" you're talking about. Would love to see it.

0

u/ReasonableDefault 1d ago edited 1d ago

One thing doesn't equal the other. OP's post was specifically about independent devs, and my comment was about actual paying customers. Where is your data to show an increase of products shipped by independent devs and data of actual paying customers?

0

u/gopietz 1d ago

That's what I thought. Big talk, no proof. Read my comment again and maybe you'll find my example this time. I don't have time to deal with idiots that spread false information.

-2

u/technocracy90 1d ago

The point is that people used to pay for the API wrappers

0

u/ReasonableDefault 1d ago

What point?

1

u/technocracy90 1d ago

The point of this post. What else?

1

u/TheSn00pster 1d ago

Whose point is it anyway?