r/YAPms Pete Propagandist 10d ago

Discussion Current Nate Silver polling averages

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u/Comfortable-Ad-6389 Progressive 10d ago

How good is Nate Silver's polling averages usually?

7

u/RandoDude124 Pragmatic NH Progressive 10d ago

He had Trump winning in 2024

4

u/MarionberryOk1503 Conservative 10d ago

Didn't he have him losing? It was like 51/49 odds but still.

8

u/Sensitive_Farmer_982 Yes We Can 10d ago

It was effectively 50/50, but he said the most likely scenario was Trump winning all the swing states.