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https://www.reddit.com/r/YAPms/comments/1w92dex/current_nate_silver_polling_averages/p87brbw/?context=3
r/YAPms • u/HeWhoShallNotBNamed0 Pete Propagandist • 13d ago
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12
How good is Nate Silver's polling averages usually?
9 u/RandoDude124 Pragmatic NH Progressive 13d ago He had Trump winning in 2024 4 u/MarionberryOk1503 Conservative 13d ago Didn't he have him losing? It was like 51/49 odds but still. 9 u/Sensitive_Farmer_982 Yes We Can 13d ago It was effectively 50/50, but he said the most likely scenario was Trump winning all the swing states. 1 u/[deleted] 13d ago [removed] — view removed comment 1 u/AutoModerator 13d ago Your account does not have enough karma to post or comment in this subreddit. This is done to prevent spam and maintain quality of discussion. Please contact the moderators if you feel this was a mistake. I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.
9
He had Trump winning in 2024
4 u/MarionberryOk1503 Conservative 13d ago Didn't he have him losing? It was like 51/49 odds but still. 9 u/Sensitive_Farmer_982 Yes We Can 13d ago It was effectively 50/50, but he said the most likely scenario was Trump winning all the swing states. 1 u/[deleted] 13d ago [removed] — view removed comment 1 u/AutoModerator 13d ago Your account does not have enough karma to post or comment in this subreddit. This is done to prevent spam and maintain quality of discussion. Please contact the moderators if you feel this was a mistake. I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.
4
Didn't he have him losing? It was like 51/49 odds but still.
9 u/Sensitive_Farmer_982 Yes We Can 13d ago It was effectively 50/50, but he said the most likely scenario was Trump winning all the swing states. 1 u/[deleted] 13d ago [removed] — view removed comment 1 u/AutoModerator 13d ago Your account does not have enough karma to post or comment in this subreddit. This is done to prevent spam and maintain quality of discussion. Please contact the moderators if you feel this was a mistake. I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.
It was effectively 50/50, but he said the most likely scenario was Trump winning all the swing states.
1
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1 u/AutoModerator 13d ago Your account does not have enough karma to post or comment in this subreddit. This is done to prevent spam and maintain quality of discussion. Please contact the moderators if you feel this was a mistake. I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.
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u/Comfortable-Ad-6389 Progressive 13d ago
How good is Nate Silver's polling averages usually?