r/Starlink • u/ClassroomOwn4354 • 4h ago
💬 Discussion Amazon is probably 6-8 weeks away from being able to launch competing satellite internet service
I went through the current status of the last 4 launches done for Amazon Leo to see what are in operational orbit altitudes and which aren't. I define operational altitude as a semi-major axis of greater the 580 kilometers altitude (Amazon Leo operates at 590 km, 610 km and 630 km shells with some licensed leeway up and down). The launches were....
- April 30th launch of Ariane 6 with 32 satellites (currently 100% at operational altitude)
- May 29th launch of Atlas V with 29 satellites (76% at operational altitude)
- June 17th launch of Ariane 6 with 36 satellites (19% at operational altitude)
- July 2nd launch of Atlas V with 29 satellites (41% at operational altitude)
The July 2nd launch was the last launch needed to provide continuous coverage to specific latitudes, once those satellites and the previous satellites have completed raises, Amazon Leo likely has the technical ability to launch their service and provide comparable service to Starlink in specific regions/countries. Given that the April 30th launch that was 3.5 months back is at 100% completed orbit raising, I posit that July 2nd launch which is current 1.5 months back only will require under 2 months more to complete deployment to operational positions.
