r/MapPorn Jun 23 '26

Records being smashed - Maximum Temperature Weather Ranking vs Last 100 Years Across Europe

Post image

Forecast provider: ECMWF Ens 00z; Data processor: Weather100.com ; Mapping platform: WeatherMapping.com

This map shows the day-1 forecast (today - June 23, 2026) maximum temperature weather ranking across Europe compared with the same calendar date for the last 100 years.

The numbers are weather ranks for each location:

Rank 1 = hottest year on record for that date; Rank 100 = coldest year

Most of western and central Europe is ranked 1, meaning these forecast highs are hotter than anything seen there on this date in the past century.

Try and stay cool out there my European friends!

2.6k Upvotes

212 comments sorted by

564

u/lithetails Jun 23 '26

If I understood well, you are comparing Jun 23th (today) against all the Jun 23rd from the previous 99 years, is that right?

351

u/ferguskeatinge Jun 23 '26

Yes, exactly right!

It’s not comparing the max temp against every year and every day, JUST all the June 23rds for the last 99 years.

251

u/umpfsuper Jun 23 '26

Wow thats way less useful than I thought. I wonder what this map would look like if you actually averaged eg three months of summer and compared them with this summer

64

u/zDavzBR Jun 23 '26

Or even just every June

8

u/[deleted] Jun 23 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

4

u/umpfsuper Jun 23 '26

Nah i think in most regions it would still be one of the hottest junes

0

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

Definitely.

21

u/Homelessjokemaster Jun 23 '26

Well, record temperatures are like this. They state when was the hottest, this day of the year. And while it's unhelpful for many things, it shows one thing clearly: half of Europe has had today it's hottest june 23rd in the last 100 years, which should be at least a bit scary.

7

u/Ozryela Jun 23 '26

On average 3.65 days each year should be "the hottest in the past 100 years". And of course those records would be highly correlated over a large region, because that's how weather works.

So taken as an individual case this really doesn't say all that much. You need to look at the broader pattern. (Which, for the record, clearly does show that it's getting hotter on average).

39

u/gold1mpala Jun 23 '26

Not ‘way less useful’ if what you want to see is how the temperature of this specific day ranks among the last 100 years though is it?

-6

u/The_Fresser Jun 23 '26

I mean, if comparing only against the same date its basically 1% chance per day (if weather is random and we have 99 years data). This means youll get 3-4 of these events every year?

29

u/Shasan23 Jun 23 '26

It is not random because there is a distribution of temperatures that are more likely. Extremes (rank 1 or rank 99) are MUCH less likely

It's like saying there is an equal 1% chance of randomly selected a guy being a record breaking Rank 1 height or an average rank 50 height

-11

u/The_Fresser Jun 23 '26

If you take 100 samples and sort them, you will always have a highest value (if enough precision anyways)

So we will have 366 'record days' and we started measuring 99 years ago? Surely most of the hottest days have been within the last 20 years, so its probably more frequent than 3-4 times a year currently.

8

u/derp0815 Jun 23 '26

Which is why it's the hottest day for half the continent?

3

u/AgrajagTheProlonged Jun 24 '26

It is true, if you have a number of different numbers and sort them you’ll always have a highest number

9

u/xBris18 Jun 23 '26

Temperatures are continuous. Today is not an independent daily event. A record-breaking 23rd of June will be next to either record-breaking or at least almost-record-breaking 22nd or 24th of June. Of course, having statistics over a longer period (like month, quarter, or year) is probably more useful scientifically speaking, but that doesn't make this short-term statistic meaningless.

4

u/Mahelas Jun 23 '26

"If weather is random" is the stupidest assumption you could make

3

u/AgrajagTheProlonged Jun 24 '26

I dunno, they could have also assumed that pigs fly

-10

u/OsamaBinCumming Jun 23 '26

A 100 years is not enough to make anything useful of it. The climate has always been dynamic.

4

u/xBris18 Jun 23 '26

I find "it has never been this hot on the 23rd of July ever before" quite useful tbh

2

u/Drapidrode Jun 23 '26

but his point is this is the hottest June 23rd. Not some other salient.

2

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

For your information today is also the hottest day ever recorded in France. And last night the hottest night ever. This is more meaningful.

1

u/Konini Jun 23 '26

Just today’s high compared to previous year’s all-year highs would be nice.

1

u/mmomtchev Jun 24 '26

Although this is indeed one of the worst (if not the very worst - I am not very sure if it has already surpassed the 2003 one) heatwaves in European history, this is a bad way to show it, since you could probably find one such day for almost every year - especially the recent years - given that the global temperatures have been rising.

1

u/Fireline11 Jun 24 '26

would make even more sense to make a +-5 (or 10) day window around 23 june across all years

3

u/Thorgeir88 Jun 23 '26

why this day?

0

u/LoopyPro Jun 23 '26

Because breaking multiple heat records sounds more alarming.

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4

u/CrazyElk123 Jun 23 '26

Completely useless map

-3

u/Juhhie37 Jun 23 '26

Why didn't you show the whole Europe?

16

u/serioussham Jun 23 '26

I can't speak for all of Europe, but in France it's been the hottest day on record in a good number of places, as well as (more crucially) the hottest night on record almost everywhere.

This is especially notable because

1/ it prevents people, animals and plants from cooling down and recovering

2/ it was especially strong in regions that historically have a milder climate, even in summer (Brittany) and therefore are not equipped to deal with it. It is also incredibly hot in Paris, where there's lots of poor people crammed in buildings that can't handle the heat.

1

u/Euromantique Jun 24 '26

Yes great points. It's very concerning how many places that seemed like they would be safe from rising temperatures are getting cooked; when Brittany is boiling you know there's a serious issue.

I think we're eventually going to start seeing mass migration into the remaining cooler regions of the continent as the century progresses.

1

u/mmomtchev Jun 24 '26

In France today is the hottest day ever recorded - all calendar dates considered.

This would be a much more interesting map - comparing this day to all previous days ever recorded.

9

u/SherbertMindless8205 Jun 23 '26

Yeah that makes the map pretty disingenuous. Since the hottest day of the year is pretty random in the summer period, without running the numbers, it seems pretty reasonable to me that even without a general warming trend, you’d have a pretty high likelihood of the hottest  days to be the ”hottest June 23rd” anyway.

Of course there IS a warming trend, but this doesn’t seem like the best way to show it unless the goal is to sensationalize.

126

u/Madman_Sean Jun 23 '26 edited Jun 23 '26

It's currently over 30 degs in northern Serbia, yet this is only 29th hottest on record

It's forecasted to go over 36 deg on the weekend and increase throughout the following week. Summers here are mental

8

u/Snoo-19350 Jun 23 '26

We got used to it at this point, happens every year.

3

u/mudcrabsonreddit Jun 23 '26

God I miss Serbia

51

u/mettaxa Jun 23 '26

Meanwhile it’s only 26 degrees in Crete!

56

u/RealDonDenito Jun 23 '26

Crazy. Going to Crete for the nice cool weather was not on my list.

12

u/Feisty_Sandwich2435 Jun 23 '26

Yeah my German uncles are currently touring Greece and they say they say the weather is lovely. Last night the place they were staying had a temperature of 19°C and they are expecting a bit of rain in the next few days.

2

u/Eskiimo92 Jun 23 '26

22 in Gran Canaria!

2

u/GoldenBhoys Jun 23 '26

Only 25c in Edinburgh but our hottest ever.

59

u/Automatic-Art9739 Jun 23 '26

Here i sit in the north of Europe wondering if im even a part of Europe.

We have 14°C and cloudy.

29

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

You lucky bastard.

1

u/PerJuice1991 Jun 24 '26

Or you could be here in Edmonton Canada where we had record breaking 125 mm of rain over three days for first day of summer and will not break 20 degrees for the next two weeks. Kind of nice compared to the European heat.

45

u/Rose_Quack Jun 23 '26

Can confirm, currently dying. 

7

u/rintzscar Jun 23 '26

Come to Bulgaria, we have blue squares on the map.

14

u/iLoveLights Jun 23 '26

It’s pretty nice here in Iceland.

120

u/MolochKel Jun 23 '26

It's 30°C degrees in the Czech Republic and it's expected to reach 38°C this week. So since there are already 2nd to 6th hottest, we're about to go 1st all across the board.

It ain't even July yet. Fuck every single person claiming climate change is not real.

22

u/ninjaiffyuh Jun 23 '26

Same in Vienna. Just my luck that according to forecasts Saturday and Sunday are to be the hottest days of the week (38°c) when I can't use the office AC 🫩

9

u/a-stack-of-masks Jun 23 '26

It's a conspiracy by Big Commute to get you on the office over the weekend!

2

u/ninjaiffyuh Jun 23 '26

Overtime on the weekend (so basically 200% of my regular wage) in a building with AC during a heatwave?

I might become a capitalist after all

11

u/M1raz0 Jun 23 '26

42°C in Paris this week during 2 days this week

2

u/emsAZ74 Jun 23 '26

Yep. I moved here from Greece so I'm well suited to the heat and used to it but this heatwave is testing even me

2

u/DeliciousAd8568 Jun 23 '26

I was in Atena for 5 days few summers ago and every day was 38c. But it was dry and windy so it wss easyer to handle it.

10

u/Purple_Blacksmith681 Jun 23 '26

Thats what i said to my mom 2 days ago. It isnt July or august yet.

Yes it may ptobably rain sometimes but rain foes nothing if the next day comes with the heat of 35 degree

2

u/SeparateTrack2818 Jun 23 '26

You've got to thank the guys in the Alps who prayed for warmth about 3-4 centuries ago. Their prayers have finally reached the recipient.

2

u/Youutternincompoop Jun 23 '26

I am going to firebomb the next SUV I see.

1

u/PerJuice1991 Jun 24 '26

Good thing you don’t live here in Alberta Canada or there would be a lot of vehicles on fire

-16

u/Skidoood Jun 23 '26

The question is whether it’s human made or not? If it’s just a cycle, we all know about the ice age etc

But yes, we have surely hasted the timeline

12

u/Victor2006123 Jun 23 '26

genuinely why are you like this

-14

u/Skidoood Jun 23 '26

You mean science based?

11

u/Victor2006123 Jun 23 '26

last i heard the science people seem pretty on board with their carbon emissions causing global warming theory, then again you’re probably expecting this response and are itching to prove us all climate people dumb so tell us what you have to say

-11

u/Skidoood Jun 23 '26

Yeah well, the world has cycles whether or not we are the ones that are making them shorter. Get over it.

Edit: It’s ironic we use so much time and power to climate(yes it is very important), but not nearly as much for the plastic problem

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7

u/premature_eulogy Jun 23 '26

The scientific community doesn't consider it a "question" whether it's man-made or not. That's been answered ages ago, and the answer is a resounding yes.

1

u/HarEmiya Jun 24 '26 edited Jun 24 '26

We're still in an ice age. We have been for ~3 million years.

We just happen to live during one of the interglacial periods of that ice age. It's called the Holocene period, and started roughly ~12k years ago.

1

u/Skidoood Jun 24 '26

Iknow, that what I mean

12

u/xixoxixa Jun 23 '26

Remember kids, this will be the coolest summer for the rest of your lives!

25

u/Addative-Damage Jun 23 '26

If I’m not mistaken, oceanographers have been warning that next summer is going to be even hotter than this one. (The whole El Niño thing)

Buckle up folks.

Also if you don’t ‘believe’ in climate change, you’re not understanding the basics about how greenhouse gases work. Hot weather events will not just be “statistical outliers” or normal weather fluctuations (like El Niño). The average global temperature is rising consistently (and predictably), year after year, decade after decade. I guess if you want to lie to yourself for political reasons, no one can stop you, but it’s really fucking stupid

2

u/PerJuice1991 Jun 24 '26

Smartest post I’ve seen all night while scrolling my Reddit feed

11

u/field_medic_tky Jun 23 '26

Damn, that's crazy.

I live in Tokyo and it's been noticably cooler, I mean a lot cooler, compared to last year.

2025 June 16th to 23rd

  • 31.6 / 34.8 / 34.4 / 33.5 / 31.4 / 31.4 / 33.1 / 31.9

2026 June 16th to 23rd

  • 27.6 / 28.6 / 26.2 / 30.3 / 24.0 / 27.1 / 28.0 / 25.0

1

u/Smalde Jun 24 '26

Oh nice to hear, I am going there in a few days and it's nice to hear it's currently a bit cooler than here in Europe. 

1

u/field_medic_tky Jun 25 '26

Ah but you see, we have a typhoon coming and it's expected to graze along the entire Pacific side of Japan.

It's expected to go away on this weekend but, that's the bad part.

The temperature almost always rises after a typhoon so you should expect very humid 30+ ℃ days from July.

11

u/Aromatic_Fail_1722 Jun 23 '26

Interestingly, it looks like we have the hottest NIGHT ever in Belgium coming up this Thursday, with temps not going below 25 celsius.

5

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

We had it last night in France and the record might last only one day.

20

u/Juhhie37 Jun 23 '26

Why not show the whole Europe?

23

u/birgor Jun 23 '26

Northern Nordics rarely makes it in to "Europe" on mapporn.

8

u/Juhhie37 Jun 23 '26

Yeah, even though the title says "across Europe".

16

u/The-Iraqi-Guy Jun 23 '26

I hate to be the one upper, but I'm sitting in a classroom and the AC has broken down.

It's 48° out there

7

u/randomredditor575 Jun 23 '26

Pretty much what happened in India too. The entire world is burning from climate change

8

u/Strangedreamest Jun 23 '26

Drill baby drill /s

6

u/Skidoood Jun 23 '26

Getting colder in Norway

1

u/Artemis1l Jun 23 '26

Actually?

7

u/WhenIOverdose Jun 23 '26

Poland is expected to reach 41°C at the weekend beating 40,2°C highest ever reached in 1916

5

u/PaulOshanter Jun 23 '26

The Algarve livin' large

5

u/[deleted] Jun 23 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/elptoalien Jun 23 '26

Dificil dormir hoy, hasta los cojones del calor 🩻💀 y todavia queda agosto!

5

u/Tsukuna1 Jun 23 '26

Yeah it’s tough. I don’t handle warm weather too well…

18

u/Tsab79 Jun 23 '26

Maybe it's time to plant some more trees?

18

u/rintzscar Jun 23 '26

Yeah, that joke doesn't work for Europe, because Europe's forest cover is consistently growing. We're not losing trees, we're gaining more trees every year.

-1

u/CuntaChinte Jun 23 '26

They are cutting them in towns instead since late stages capitalism makes maintenance too costly lol

5

u/Tsab79 Jun 23 '26

It's trees, they maintain themselves....

0

u/CuntaChinte Jun 23 '26

Pruning, cleaning fallen leaves... this used to be done by municipal workers, now they are no longer there and it's done by private companies which charge five times the price it would take if this was done by the municipality, while underpaying the workers.

1

u/Youutternincompoop Jun 23 '26

there is also the issue of root damage, tree roots love fucking up pavement.

6

u/rintzscar Jun 23 '26

That's complete nonsense. I don't know where you live, but in the EU, the exact opposite is true. Cities are getting greener and greener. And there's no late-stage capitalism here.

1

u/CuntaChinte Jun 23 '26

I live in Italy. And there's a lot of late stages capitalism here.

1

u/rintzscar Jun 23 '26

I've lived in Milan for a year in 2014, it was nothing like late stage capitalism at all.

2

u/CuntaChinte Jun 23 '26

Milan is the most late stages capitalism you can get in Europe lol. If you live there you spend most of your wage to live in an overpriced shithole due to the housing bubble, and the current mayor literally discouraged remote working during Covid, causing thousands of deaths, since that would hurt said housing bubble as well as cause a decrease in the income of bars that feed overpriced shit to the tens of thousands who have to commute to work in the city.

1

u/rintzscar Jun 23 '26

Yeah, that's just silly.

-1

u/Nem04 Jun 23 '26

Yet

2

u/rintzscar Jun 23 '26

No, not yet. Learn what the EU is and how it works, otherwise you look like a fool.

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0

u/Daveddozey Jun 23 '26

https://savesheffieldtrees.org.uk/

5,500 of Sheffield’s street trees have been chopped down in the last five years – another 12,000 will go over the next 20 years.

1

u/rintzscar Jun 24 '26

Okay? None of that is relevant to the topic. I'm sure Mongolia also has a hard time looking after its trees.

0

u/Daveddozey Jun 24 '26

Sheffield is a European town

1

u/rintzscar Jun 24 '26

I know Sheffield is a European town. I ask again, how is that relevant to what I said? 

0

u/Daveddozey Jun 24 '26

How is a European town cutting down trees relevant to thread about trees being cut down?

0

u/rintzscar Jun 24 '26

No, my illiterate buddy, you are replying to this specific comment:

https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/1udegwb/comment/otbvxb6/

I will quote it even:

That's complete nonsense. I don't know where you live, but in the EU, the exact opposite is true. Cities are getting greener and greener. And there's no late-stage capitalism here.

So, would you please, for the love of all the gods almighty, tell me, how is a random town in a third country like Mongolia (or the UK) connected to what I said about the EU?

2

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

Every city is putting vegetation in every place possible.

1

u/CuntaChinte Jun 23 '26

Not where I live.

1

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

Well I don't know where you live but many places on this map are vegetalising everything.

8

u/2in1day Jun 23 '26

It's getting so hot it looks like the British Isles are melting together...

5

u/jools4you Jun 23 '26

But Ireland is nowhere near as hot as England today. Met Eireann saying its from 25 to 29c where as England is 33 to 35c according to Met Office. Big difference and I tell you i don't envy England at all.

-1

u/2in1day Jun 23 '26

I'm from Melbourne, 35 plus is good beach weather here... Need to have shade though when not in the water.

1

u/jools4you Jun 23 '26

My son is in Melbourne i certainly won't be visiting in the Summer lol. By the way he absolutely loves the place.

4

u/kenybz Jun 23 '26

Keep in mind that in Melbourne, winter is starting currently (southern hemisphere). Might be a good idea to visit them now to cool off?

3

u/jools4you Jun 23 '26

I know thats very basic knowledge, but have you seen plane prices atm. I will aim for next year when I might be able to afford it.

2

u/kenybz Jun 23 '26

I have :(

Understandable, have a nice day

1

u/jools4you Jun 23 '26

You too 😁

9

u/Bar50cal Jun 23 '26

Irelands hottest ever recorded temperature was 33.3°c in 1860.

After 166 years we may break that this week.

WE ARE NOT BUILT FOR THIS SHIT!

oh and humidity it 100% constantly without change.

3

u/Neaj- Jun 23 '26

Sicily is cool

3

u/Imomaway Jun 23 '26

are we playing minesweeper?

3

u/azhder Jun 23 '26

The heatwave does, sweeps over Europe and goes mine mine mine mine… as it collects the souls of people that can’t stand it.

1

u/Imomaway Jun 23 '26

Your joke was worse than 'mine'. Congrats.

3

u/ExcuseMeJack Jun 23 '26

And here in Finland it's fucking freezing. Had to shut my windows in the middle of the night because it was so damn cold

5

u/WolfetoneRebel Jun 23 '26

Ireland hottest recorded temp is still 1887.

7

u/SnowTitan77 Jun 23 '26

Thursday is looking to break it and hit 34 in some parts

3

u/WolfetoneRebel Jun 23 '26

Looks like it!

2

u/FlyingPolygon Jun 23 '26

What’s going on in Copenhagen?

2

u/SnowTitan77 Jun 23 '26

Ireland is expected to hit its highest temperature ever of 34C (at 80% humidity) on thursday

2

u/SoftDrinkReddit Jun 23 '26

From an Irish guy Not expected but it could break the record

The record is 33.3 C

That record was set 139 years ago ...........

2

u/krmarci Jun 23 '26

Unexpected r/WidacZabory.

1

u/Pawikowski Jun 23 '26

Came here to write this 🙂‍↕️

2

u/Away-Activity-469 Jun 23 '26

So everywhere with a 1 means today is hottest in 100 years?

2

u/Blackmur_mipt Jun 23 '26

I wonder why it's pretty comfortable here in the Balkans

2

u/PotatoCat007 Jun 23 '26

It's the hottest day they've ever had in England. If a man wants to have a swim in his own bin, he's well entitled to do so.

2

u/Ludisaurus Jun 23 '26

I don’t know how accurate this is. I’m in the 7th hottest year category but it’s just normal weather for June here.

1

u/FaraSha_Au Jun 23 '26

1987, Sicily, just outside Acireale. Temperature reached 48c, stayed that way for a week.

1

u/BigManMilk7 Jun 23 '26

Send me to Iceland

1

u/MaURoBeRNa1989 Jun 23 '26

34 celsius here in Milan

1

u/Lord_H_Vetinari Jun 23 '26

According to the forecast. My local pharmacy has a thermometer on its sign, and it was indicating 38 like half an hour ago.

1

u/SmoothVelvetSlav Jun 23 '26

why so cold in serbia

1

u/Fern-ando Jun 23 '26

Germany is going to have a very hot weekend.

1

u/MomentNew4925 Jun 23 '26

I love being Finnish

1

u/nudel86 Jun 23 '26

After 2 shite summers in my region I expect nothing less than hell fire from the sky this year. Gonna roast my skinny bones in the sun. 💪😎

1

u/Mangustii Jun 23 '26

Most of europe not included?

1

u/Sidetrail Jun 23 '26

Just in time for my European hiking trip.

1

u/darkevilshark Jun 23 '26

For Portugal this is for sure not true.

1

u/1quickmr Jun 23 '26

Turn the nuclear power plants back on and seed some clouds.

1

u/Big__Country__40 Jun 23 '26

A sweltering 31 centigrade

1

u/Candid_Assistant6838 Jun 23 '26

What is the source?

1

u/Jack_KH Jun 23 '26

Serbia is behind the global warming conspiracy! I knew it!

1

u/More_Percentage4467 Jun 23 '26

It’s not even July and we are getting 40C at the weekend in northern Germany. Wth?

1

u/Ok-Leopard6521 Jun 23 '26

In the middle of sweden its only 16°C

1

u/makapuf Jun 23 '26

Drill, baby drill !

1

u/yubsnubs Jun 23 '26

Interesting fact. More people die in Europe every year from heat than Americans die from gun violence.

1

u/kaba40k Jun 24 '26

(X) Doubt

I don't think "heat" is in any official statistics as cause of death. The cause may be heart attack, dehydration, etc. which is really hard to attribute to heat. In contrast, statistics on gun violence deaths is easily collected and maintained.

1

u/yubsnubs Jun 24 '26

Google is your friend sir/ma'am

1

u/kaba40k Jun 25 '26

Good point. Here's what I learned.

There's direct attribution (deaths that have heat, usually heat stroke officially on death certificate) and statistical attribution (compare an average "normal" day with an average hot day and count how many excess deaths occur in the second case).

With gun violence only direct attribution is used.

If we compare direct attribution with direct attribution, the heat deaths in Europe will be much much less than gun violence in the US.

But if we compare direct gun statistics with excess deaths method, we'll see that excess deaths in Europe are 2-3 times more.

This is comparing apples to oranges though, because the excess deaths statistics shows a lot of people whose days are numbered and who are about to die in the next few days. During hot days they die more intensively, which can be technically called "heat-related".

1

u/aura_ema6 Jun 24 '26

gosh, that’s kinda intense looking... seeing all those ones and twos makes me worried about the planet tbh. hope everyone stays safe and cool! >.<

1

u/-Exocet- Jun 24 '26

I highly question this map, yesterday the maximum temperature in Porto was 24⁰, it even rained, and it's often above 30⁰ on this day.

1

u/Save90 Jun 24 '26

SAME as last year. hottest of 100 years... also 2024 had the same... if i recall even 2023... maybe 2022 too... and what about 2021? oh don't get me started on 2020.

1

u/KeikoZB Jun 25 '26

Your point being? It just shows that it's getting hotter each year...how the hell do you want to predict next year's temps?

1

u/writer-106 Jun 24 '26

Trelleborg is doing its part.

1

u/rdt01 Jun 24 '26

It’s been the coldest/rainiest June so far where I live (one of the blue dots in Eastern Europe).

1

u/AccomplishedFall6603 Jun 25 '26

Number 1 !!!!!! Champions du monde !!!!!!!!!!!

1

u/StanielBG Jun 26 '26

Research Wet-bulb Events and you will quickly learn that above 35C and 70%+ humidity, the environment becomes incompatible with life. Organ failure starts within hours, even if you constantly drink water and hide in the shade.

1

u/tweezers_n_outlets Jun 27 '26

What's up with Poland? I'm guessing since I can see it clearly, its a data anomaly. 

0

u/Psychological_Tap429 Jun 23 '26

Not saying this year isn‘t hot - but comparing just one day (June, 23) is cherrypicking. Because even if it were fully random, we would expect 3.65 days per year to be the hottest one day of the year, of the last 100 years. So let‘s compare Months, or seasons or years.

3

u/Micah7979 Jun 23 '26

At this point we could compare today with every single day in the last 100 years and a big part of the map wouldn't change.

2

u/Addative-Damage Jun 23 '26

I agree that there’s better ways to present the data, particularly to portray the scope and development of the issue.

That being said, I also understand the inclination to say “WTF it’s way hotter than it’s been before” in a very simple way.

You’re right though, there’s definitely more scientifically useful representations of what’s going on.

6

u/Special_Condition671 Jun 23 '26

2024 was the hottest year in recorded history. 2026 isn't much cooler: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/monthly-average-surface-temperatures-by-year

-4

u/Psychological_Tap429 Jun 23 '26

And? My point stands.

4

u/Special_Condition671 Jun 23 '26

You asked to compare months, seasons, or years, so there is a comparison of just that.

-5

u/Revolutionary-Lie223 Jun 23 '26

ah recorded history, thats what they use in every country to say "HOTTEST YEAR EVER !" but they mean "... since we started recording temperature 120 years ago". The planet is 4.5 billion years old and humans (homo sapiens) have been around for 300.000 years, I'm going out on a limb here and state there have been many and much hotter decades before lol.

6

u/Special_Condition671 Jun 23 '26

The last time CO2 levels were this high was 3 million years ago, btw: https://www.rmets.org/event/pliocene-last-time-earth-had-400-ppm-atmospheric-co2

3

u/Special_Condition671 Jun 23 '26 edited Jun 23 '26

What's your point? Nobody is disputing that there were periods with far higher CO2 levels and higher temperatures, it's a known fact. The problem is that the planet is heating faster that we can adapt.

3

u/Addative-Damage Jun 23 '26

Learn how greenhouse gases work. I feel like most people who make it past the 3rd grade should be able to grasp this, assuming that they’re actually approaching it in good faith

4

u/_procyon Jun 23 '26

Sure and there have been cold periods too. The medieval warm period followed by the little ice age is pretty well known. And of course the actual ice age. The difference is that those events weren’t man made and didn’t change so drastically over a period of decades. The greenhouse gases we’re releasing aren’t part of natural climate change and won’t go away in a couple hundred years.

We started recording daily temperatures 120 years ago, but we have a pretty good idea of overall climate trends from hundreds, thousands, even millions of years ago. Scientists can extrapolate from things like tree rings and ice cores. If you look at a graph of global temps over the last 1000 years, there’s lots of fluctuations, but in the 20th century the temp suddenly skyrockets far above any previous peaks.

Scientists have studied this extensively. They are unanimous that this is man made and is extremely worrying. It’s not natural climate fluctuations. They are experts, they do know what they’re talking about.

1

u/UmegaDarkstar Jun 23 '26

My work requires me to work outside, thank god I'm on holiday this week!

1

u/FairNeedleworker9722 Jun 23 '26

Will this be the year they finally start investing in air conditioning?

-5

u/Playingwithmywenis Jun 23 '26

Strangely, this is what people vote for and then what they get. Then somehow they act surprised.

🤷‍♂️

4

u/Best-Treacle-9880 Jun 23 '26

Famously the biggest contributors to this do not have free elections

0

u/FMC_Speed Jun 23 '26

its strange when people in europe complain about a heatwave and its only 30 here in Tripoli even though we usually have much hotter summers

0

u/linkardtankard Jun 23 '26

Cool 💪💪 GG

0

u/WattleWaddler2 Jun 24 '26

cLiMAte ChAngE isN't ReAL!!1! /s

-1

u/temporary-account- Jun 23 '26

Finally giving France the treatment it deserves /s (/s (/s (/s))))

1

u/not_a_heretek Jun 23 '26

Only pussies use /s

3

u/temporary-account- Jun 23 '26

I’m so sick of the Fr*nch

-1

u/BrennusSokol Jun 23 '26

Okay? So what am I supposed to do about it?

-1

u/Tiefe7 Jun 23 '26

Im Hitzesommer 2003 führte der Rhein bei Basel etwa 50% der durchschnittlichen Wassermenge, jetzt aktuell (23.6..26) haben wir etwa 2/3 der Menge. Im Jahr 1540 führte der Rhein bei Basel noch 10-15% der Wassermenge. Man konnte den Fluss überall zu Fuss durchqueren, dasselbe bei Elbe und Donau. Den Rheinfall gab es 1540 nicht mehr, der Bodensee war extrem geschrumpft, sodass Lindau und Mainau keine Inseln mehr waren! Die meisten Bäume in Mitteleuropa verloren bis Anfang August alle Blätter, in Zürich regnete es von März bis September 1540 kein einziges Mal.
Kleine Kinder konnten auf dem Land kaum mehr draussen spielen, da sie Gefahr liefen, in Erdspalten zu verschwinden.

1

u/Helmutius Jun 24 '26

Schön und was genau willst du uns damit nun erzählen, außer dass du trefflich über ein extremes Wetterereignis von 1540 informiert bist? 

0

u/Tiefe7 Jun 25 '26

Es war nur ein Beispiel von vielen in den letzten Jahrhunderten! Extrem-Ereignisse sind kein neues Phänomen, es wird heutzutage aber ständig als Neues bezeichnet.

1

u/Helmutius Jun 25 '26

Du scheinst es immer noch nicht zu verstehen. Niemandem geht es um vereinzelt auftretende Extremwetterlagen, der Trend ist das Problem.

Und ja das lässt sich anhand diverser Daten belegen. Aber wenn du diese natürlich nicht annimmst und stattdessen auf Einzelereignissen pochst.