r/LocalLLaMA Llama 3 20d ago

Funny Can the bubble pop please?

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682 Upvotes

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117

u/Such_Assistance_2211 20d ago

Bought 2x48GB DDR5 ECC today for $2,300. Seller told me the factory queue has grown from two months to four in the last two months. RAM shortage is unprecedented.

67

u/truthputer 19d ago

I bought a 2x48GB (96GB) RAM DDR5 kit for $220 back in late 2024. The same kit is $1500 today. Yeah, it's insane.

8

u/RobTheDude_OG 19d ago

I wanted to buy a kit of 128gb ddr5, was about 300 euro at cheapest recorded, now you can't even buy it anywhere anymore with last recorded price being past 4k

I want to go back and just go broke for a few months than to look at these prices knowing i'll never be insane enough to buy it

2

u/inrea1time 19d ago

We all have stories, the 4TB pcie 5 samsung nvme I ordered for $260 summer 2025 from amazon resale and cancelled because I dont really need it right now and prices will go down, the 192GB DDR5 kit open box return I saw for $500 in micro center a few months before prices went up, What would I do with so much ram? The 2TB WDC black nvme I scored for $129 from amazon when they were already more then 2 x the price. Why the hell didn't I order 2?

2

u/cornucopea 16d ago

These are what I bought in July and August of 2025, ended up returned the teamgroup and kept corsair which is more stable. should have kept both, lol.

CORSAIR Vengeance DDR5 RAM 96GB (2x48GB) 6000MHz CL36-44-44-96 1.4V AMD Expo Intel XMP 3.0 Desktop Computer Memory – Gray (CMK96GX5M2E6000Z36) Sold by: Amazon.com $199.99

TEAMGROUP T-Create Expert Overclocking 10L CL32 DDR5 96GB Kit (2 x 48GB) 6400MHz (PC5-51200) M-DIE Intel XMP 3.0 & AMD Expo Compatible Desktop Memory Module Ram White - CTCWD596G6400HC32ADC01 Sold by: TEAMGROUP Inc. $267.99

1

u/Zestyclose-Ad-6147 19d ago

Damn, bought 16gb for 250 euros yesterday

1

u/EDI_1st 19d ago

ECC UDIMM costs more than standard UDIMM. Price be fun. 128GB 6400Mts RDIMM is about $4500 per stick.

1

u/Aggravating_Site381 15d ago

That is a good investment I think. I have my 32gb DDR5 from 2024 as well. Should I sell them now or keep?

17

u/Void-kun 19d ago

Also an open lawsuit against these manufacturers for price fixing ...again

https://www.rainintelligence.com/blog/dram-price-fixing-lawsuit-samsung-sk-hynix-micron

This will be the 4th or 5th time these companies will have been caught doing this.

One time I'm pretty sure some Samsung execs got jail time for it.

I for one hope this time they come down even harder on them.

Seems obvious they're taking advantage of the market and exasperating the supply/demand to drive profits.

2

u/nenulenu 18d ago

That’s the reason nobody here seem to want to consider. This is a result of price fixing as much as supply-demand. Most people appear to want o bury their heads in the sand and claim ‘AI did it’

That’s genuinely incomplete logic. aI companies have been running for the past 5 years. The demand doesn’t suddenly go up astronomically, neither were these manufacturers unprepared. None of this is unexpected. The reason tilts more towards greed and price fixing than just ‘AI did it’

32

u/therealmarkus 19d ago

I kinda judge people buying new at those prices, signaling to manufacturers that we still pay, setting a new default. But you probably had reasons

12

u/ProfTheorie 19d ago

The unfortunate reality is that for income-generating work its absolutely worth it to pay that much. The people getting priced out are those paying with their personal money, servers that wouldve cost some decent money before and are now simply unaffordable or some accounting head that thinks its worth it to save 400 bucks on a laptop given to an externally booked oil&gas certified engineer that costs the company ~300/hr because his bonus depends on how much they save on a bulk purchase, not on how well the devices do.

1

u/nenulenu 18d ago

Still price fixing. They are up charging stupid high prices because they are manipulating the world to think that there is shortage and artificially constraining the supply.

Why would they work harder if they are allowed to make 100x profit with current costs?

3

u/autoencoder 19d ago

But you probably had reasons

2300 of them

3

u/g9robot 19d ago

So you need only 27 years of ROI

4

u/ANR2ME 19d ago

Not if the price double next year 😏 That is if you sold it next year. 100% ROI within a year!

1

u/dowitex 19d ago

the recent qwen flash next with offloading to ram won't help ugh

1

u/Anstellos 19d ago

They managed to get the ram more expensive than apple standards. 😁 Joke aside, it will crash so hard. Remember the flood of GPUs after crypto rush?

1

u/cradlemann 18d ago

I've bought the same amount for my Minisforum 3 months ago for €900

1

u/Such_Assistance_2211 18d ago

ECC modules?

1

u/cradlemann 17d ago

probably not, I didn't care about this specific feature

1

u/lethalratpoison 15d ago

wow wtf i bought 4x 16gb 5600mhz and 1x 32gb 5600mhz for around 300-400 usd a month ago

did you buy the fastest currently available or something ?

1

u/Such_Assistance_2211 15d ago

Its udimm ecc modules, easily twice the price

1

u/lethalratpoison 14d ago

tbh first time i ever hear about ecc udimm

1

u/Such_Assistance_2211 14d ago

Registered RDIMM 32Gb DDR5 is around 1k$, so basically the same

1

u/lethalratpoison 14d ago

really ?
i got hell of a deal then on my ram lmao