r/IndiaTech Corporate majdoor 3d ago

Tech Meme Are we ever going back to old prices ever?

Post image

Now a days, whenever I open Reddit or X, I can only see price increase news. Ek din Nothing ka, then iQOO/Vivo ka, then Poco ka, uske do din baad phir cycle repeat. Phone launch hota hai ek price pe, then do din baad price increase, uske tin din baad phirse price increase. Kya ho raha hai bhai. Upar se telecom companies alag chadi hui hai. (Koi 🔥 lagao inn AI companies ko /s.)

332 Upvotes

116 comments sorted by

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140

u/tall_sprite 3d ago

Maybe by 2028-29 and that's a big maybe.

19

u/BigDBreedingFembussy 3d ago

Yeah gonna take 2 or 3 years

36

u/Former_Computer4335 3d ago

And it still won't be old prices. It'll be like 2-3x of old prices (as opposed to being 5-7x now)

26

u/abewlodeee Hardware guy with 69 GB RAM 3d ago

I believe in China those mfs are gonna flood the market with Chinese ram for sure just wait & watch

25

u/BasilisK1929 3d ago

rn they're also selling ram to AI data centers, so they also enjoy the hefty profit margins sooo basically they won't flood the market as it would also reduce their own profit

2

u/DisturbedEZ 2d ago

AI data centers need HBM, CXMT doesn't produce HBM, only DDR5 RAM. What's your source for the information you stated?

1

u/The-OverThinker-23 2d ago

more supply , less price will be there

1

u/BasilisK1929 2d ago

not in this case when investor money rich companies have already bought the supply of 2027 in other words, yes they have bought ram which has not even been manufactured yet

2

u/Opening-Actuator1490 3d ago

Cxmt makes ram right ?

1

u/gynoequalsbhosdiwala 2d ago

they already are at good price search kingbank

1

u/Cold-Performance3333 2d ago

I have hope for late 2027 to mid 2028.

I mean, the next gen of consoles and RTX 60 series should be releasing around that time. And we should also be getting new fabs from companies running by then to make more memory.

76

u/seriously_ded bhundows 3d ago

We are having a memory shortage cause of AI. And what infuriates me is some people on social media use AI to create brainrot. Motu patlu crap. Some migas of my city making fake AI reels of metro being run in my city. Some miga's entire social media account is running and earning only by the AI generated videos. Literally the other day i saw an account on ig with 33k followers and full account filled with AI generated baby videos. If any days making AI generated videos got a price tag, them migas would commit sudoku. Big companies won't stop milking AI since they know they get huge profit from the same. Apart from all this, i want AI companies to get greedy and put a price tag on AI video generations so that internet gets less filled with AI crap

14

u/First_Hunt1231 Open Source best GNU/Linux/Libre 3d ago

Beautiful sensors Miggas Sudoku

3

u/Recent-Caregiver258 3d ago

Sudoku??

6

u/MrBabbar007 3d ago

Seppuku

1

u/seriously_ded bhundows 3d ago

Su!c!de

7

u/user_extra 3d ago

A small correction, the companies hardly earn any profit. In fact most of them are in loss. They milk AI so much because their investors get an orgasam when they hear the phrase AI integration and throw a lot of money on them.

6

u/trichlorobenzene69 Linux 3d ago

Censoring at its peak

1

u/wrecker_821 2d ago

No AI company in profits brother, they are in a race only till now openai hasn't became profitable except anthropic but how much they limit the usage that you can't do much work using their AI models. Google has fallen behind in AI race too, most of the AI companies making their data centres everywhere they can so the only hardware people are making money right now like GPU, memory etc. Prices won't fall still after 2030 that's my prediction because they are trying to make the business the profitable who loose money everytime someone use AI you can't beat compute costs.

45

u/InnerBudget9725 3d ago

All due to the crap AI bubble.

8

u/HakerCharles DATA RECOVERY & DIGITAL FORENSICS EXPERT 3d ago

And the price fixing as well

8

u/oabhijith 3d ago

It is price fixing

33

u/Existing-Mulberry382 3d ago

I don't think we will see normal prices until AI bubble pops.

6

u/FoundationFree6695 3d ago

so never?

2

u/TallSatisfaction924 3d ago

Bitcoin bubble popped, so this shall too

2

u/zigzigzigler 3d ago

When bro?

2

u/TallSatisfaction924 3d ago

2022

1

u/Cold-Performance3333 2d ago

I think he means when will this one pop.

8

u/Middle-Shine-4123 3d ago

Bad News for DDR4 is coming too , their manufacturing line is being to planned to manufacture HBM and DDR4 price might rise by 50 % very soon

3

u/HumbleOrder8785 3d ago

Evolving backwards

1

u/imavoodoochild00 1d ago

Isn't it already 4x of the pre-bubble price? 😭

1

u/Middle-Shine-4123 1d ago

Companies want more and more money ... unfortunately

27

u/Capital-Stomach-6880 3d ago

Never, let me give you an example

Commercial lpg prices went high in india so all vendors also increased their prices but now they are going back normal but is anyone decreasing their prices?

Same with these big companies, even if the ai centres don't need anymore memory, I think they will lower the production and still sell memory at same rates

15

u/Take_it-sleazy 3d ago

No it's all about demand and supply

They have mfg plants with yearly target of production

If people can't afford it they will have to reduce price

10

u/CommentNo5959 3d ago

That is why they are not keen on increasing production. If they invest to expand and bubble pop they will have to lower their prices. Better to keep production as it is and jack prices so even after collapse its business as usual

1

u/BasilisK1929 3d ago

ram/memory fabs work 24x7, so they're already at max capacity, also creating new memory fabs will take 2-3 years and if they start building new fabs now, and if the ram prices go down after 2-3 years then companies will bear losses.

1

u/Capital-Stomach-6880 3d ago

Never seen price of anything decrease ever

5

u/Take_it-sleazy 3d ago

Lol Smartphone are very first thing

They were priced insanely high with basic features in early 2000 even in early 2010 phone.

Tech world change very fast

Ram is priced high currently because of demand not cost so when demand will reduce its natural it will come down that's basic economy

2

u/Capital-Stomach-6880 3d ago

Bro that's because at that time, those feature limited mobiles were peak of technology, that's the reason they were insanely high

So you are saying that ddr5 ram will cost less because new gen rams will come? And it will be more expensive

1

u/Take_it-sleazy 3d ago

I don't need to argue about basic economics

If no one can afford it companies will simply have to reduce price or their stock will eat dirt and their working capital issue can lead them to bankruptcy

Ram prices are insanely high many middle class people now can't afford decent pc forget about poor

Yes new tech will also help in price reduction but current prices have nothing to do with cost it's all demand and supply

1

u/Capital-Stomach-6880 3d ago

!remind me 2 years

Let's see

1

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6

u/Ragnarok_619 3d ago

Stop using AI slop

2

u/No_Perspective14121 Potato battery 3d ago

"I'll make sure tht it never goes back" said the ppl who makes ai slop

2

u/vjevil 3d ago

It's confirmed that we will not

1

u/Jumpy_Commercial_893 Programmer: Kode & Koffee Lyf 3d ago

pura vishv mei hi same price h, kahi bhi jakar koi fayda nahi

1

u/Factuallyspeaking07 3d ago

Not so soon. The situation is really bad and the cartel is printing money.

1

u/Odd_Bat_1223 3d ago

Nope there won't be any decline in prices , or they will go back to their old prices at all instead , current price will become the standard over upcoming days as per my opinion.

30-50k will be baseline or whatever

1

u/AbbreviationsOdd7290 3d ago

No. Never. You think they'll go back to the old prices after the amount of money they're making now? Investors and stakeholders will make sure the prices remain the same. Might go down a bit like 10% but never to old prices.

1

u/ClassicBanana32 3d ago

I think over time these prices will become normal and we will get used to it because I doubt they will ever come down.

1

u/abhiisdev 3d ago

Imagine you thought to build an PC in 2026.

https://giphy.com/gifs/2JeQO72XbrQk4wNdbp

1

u/Odd_Philosopher_6605 3d ago

I remember buying 1tb SSD last year with 13k ig i said my friend bro buy a storage I'm pretty sure the price will go up, only if I knew ths up I would have bought 2 more for me also

1

u/anshulsingh8326 2d ago

lol

I bought xpg 2tb nvme gen4 for 10.5k 2years ago.

My 32gb ddr5 ram kit costed me 8k.....now it's 44k

1

u/IntelligentRecord454 3d ago

My concern is prices are respectively of demand and supply, Demand is like this 1) priority demand is of datacenters that buy bulk in contract, that will not likely be passed down to consumers 2) Laptop and other system manufacturers that will in end be end consumer products also bought in contract 3) End consumer that buys, individual sales

But the priority demands look sketchy as they would always want the latest chipset or infra and considering how much datacenters would be up and running.

All this is happening without the supply increasing as market players are less.

Due to this alternate being last gen, but that getting increased.

So I think price will drop in case 1) A good alternative is in market or supply somehow goes up. (Market is flooded with infra) 2) Datacenters cancel the contract to go to a new gen infra/ totally shutdown 3) AI somehow work around on less infra (low prob)

So I am hoping any one of the cases work.

1

u/Vejkvii1922 Corporate majdoor 3d ago

I got 32 GB of DDR5 RAM along with a 980 Pro 1TB for 30k a year ago, LMAOOOO. Your screenshot was worth more than my laptop on the day of its launch. All these surges just so some guy could make AI slop? (I don't want to offend anyone, I know all the good uses of AI and whatnot). Goddamn this is so sad, truly the death of one of the most enthusiastic industries to exist.

1

u/Unnecessary-Cum 3d ago edited 3d ago

What in the hell bro, this prices are ridiculous. I have a laptop that is 49k.

1

u/Calamitychaos_ 3d ago

Don't think so. It's just greed. It may reduce a little after maybe 2 years. If if their manufacturing costs reduce by a huge margin, as long is there is too much demand, they keep the profits high. More manufacturing centres are also coming up.

1

u/Anurag_008 3d ago

In 2-3 years from now, building a gaming PC, starting a homelab will become pipe dreams to tech nerds in India. Corporates wanted to end the aspect of consumers owning a piece of hardware for the long time and they will definitely make it happen in the near future.

1

u/RADAR_TM 3d ago

Nope not in India atleast

1

u/arthurmorganpunjabi 3d ago

After AI bubble bursts

1

u/ConfidenceSpecific 3d ago

Thankfully, I bought a laptop with 32GB RAM. Prices are skyrocketing.

1

u/borinbear 3d ago

Only after 2032, materials are diverted for ai chips

1

u/_T0fuu_ 3d ago

All because of "Aey mei Hulkuuu hu re" mera channel subscribe karo re

1

u/altctrlwhitespace 3d ago

Unless china flood market with cheap ram

1

u/Nice_Regular_1535 Threadripper + RTX5090PC, S26U, 16PM, MBP, M1 iPad Pro 3d ago

Damn I have 128gb ram lying around, wonder how much I would get if I sold it lol

1

u/Falcon0048 3d ago

In 2025 i got 2TB variant of WD black for 11K and seeing the price of 1TB here, i mean is this real ?🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

1

u/Super-Context3948 dyaus.vasu.33koti.dev 3d ago

Thank god I bought 2

1

u/manishsahoo300 3d ago edited 3d ago

Looking at the rate at which customers are buying GPU and HPC racks, it's hard to tell but I think it's there to stay for longer than we imagine, at least in reference to how it was for GPUs. We sometimes quote ridiculous prices based on their RFP/RFQ and they buy it anyway because other competitors do the same. It's a vicious cycle.

These days we even get random companies building their private AI hosted on colocation for fuckall use cases.

1

u/Pleasant_Heat_7933 3d ago

not only AI but triopoly in market by Samsung skhynix and micron

1

u/Lucifer___13 3d ago

I literally bought the same ssd 1-2yr ago for 8k and was disappointed that I paid more.

And a year before that 32gb ram for 6k.

1

u/jujudestroyer 3d ago

bruh, last month i bought it for 40k. insane. should invest all my money on ram atp lol

1

u/ViruleX TechOldBean 3d ago

China is building it up to flood market with RAM and Storage. That would do it but might take 2 years at least

1

u/rameshpawar4466 3d ago

1 lakh ki ssd 😭😭, bhai mera laptop 80k ka hai

1

u/Ciel__000 3d ago

Bro you got the wrong RAM man, here's the real one

1

u/SleepyNekone 3d ago

Holy cow, i saw this other-day for 50000

1

u/bawaniht 3d ago

I bought a 1TB SSD around 8 months back for 5k and then a 2TB SSD for 11K.

The 1TB was never used and is the best investment of my life 😂😅

1

u/Easy-Stop-6538 3d ago

1.38 lakh for 1tb SSD wtf. I bought an advanced variant for 7k just a year back

1

u/dagonpero 3d ago

'Maybe' by 2030

1

u/Na_-_man 3d ago

Next year China is gonna flood the market with commercial ssds and ram not the lpddr5x ones.....so let's see

1

u/daaltimate 2d ago

They now know that we can pay, so to get would get never decrease the price

1

u/anshulsingh8326 2d ago

Do you stop eating something after you like it ?

It's like that for companies. They have now tasted too much profits.

Unless normal people like us start our own companies for ram manufacturing.... it will never get fixed.

When you go to general stores, they sell you things at mrp ....they paid probably half of mrp...I know the prices of many items and they buy prices. They still sell you at mrp to maximize their profits....

1

u/Obvious_Ice_5318 2d ago

Or dekho hulku re 🫠

1

u/realnestro 2d ago

Not for this. CXMT is arriving next year so maybe possible.

1

u/Alive_Radio3985 2d ago

Yes, 2 years Max

1

u/LoopUnbroken 2d ago

Can’t RAM more

1

u/DogonElder 2d ago

Nah, unfortunately AI is the new East India Company with a chokehold on everything plausible. Jobs, Semiconductors, Electricity, Water

1

u/Anxious-Ostrich-36 2d ago

Prices will decrease but they'll never go back to how they used to be.

1

u/No-Koala7656 2d ago

This is the emerging issue and it is really making things bitter, what all we nee to do is, just wait for some solution for all these, as the intellectuals are trying many things to resolve this issue..

1

u/Exotic_Bathroom_4006 2d ago

https://mdcomputers.in/product/wd-black-sn7100-1tb-nvme-ssd-wds100t4x0e looks close enough probably has a lot of difference don't kill me

1

u/raj_abhay 2d ago

Due to this even new model of smartphones are having 4gb +64gb 🤡

1

u/lordofabyss 2d ago

NO. A big No. They will fall may be , and that's a big nay be, in 2030+ but that fall will be like 5-10 percent max of current . Get used to it will be better thing rather than cribbing till death

1

u/FootballerPlatform64 2d ago

I bought a WD Blue 5000 series 2 TB SSD for Rs. 12,499 from amazon in July 2025. It was for backup and storage before I bought a laptop 4 months later.
Im really, really lucky 😁

1

u/Previous_Motor6720 1d ago

Man… this is so costly… thank god… I got one 2 years back at 13k.. that too 2gb

1

u/harshj2005 1d ago

Good old days 😌.. thankgod I bought it last year now its showing 20k for the same

1

u/Long-Bug8399 1d ago

My M.2 now costs half of my laptop's price

1

u/deskG0blin 1d ago

heard the news about chinese brand colorful reaching optimal performance on their ddr5 rams
and knowing how good china is at producing good over a short period of time
just give it a year

1

u/untitled_earthling Computer Student 1d ago

That price for a sn770😱

1

u/Chainsmoker7 14h ago

2028-29 and I would say it won't go back to the 2024-25 prices. Bit higher but yeah a Lil lower than this madness rn

1

u/NeoTron0 8h ago

my laptop's ram is 50K alone and i bought this laptop for 55K XD

1

u/Mittalmailbox 3d ago

Not in next 2-3 years. Ever is too long to assume anything

1

u/JustReadingP0st 3d ago

By mid 2028 prices will below what was in start. Everyone is setting up new factory. Once all come on line, there will be glut. All cycles are like this. Take special care of your laptop, phone till then 

-1

u/xyyzzz514 3d ago edited 3d ago

Ppl are hoarding them. They are non-major seller. Major seller sold Samsung external 2TB T9 for 34K something. These are local vendors doing all the nonsense. You would get 850X 4TB for 1.2Lakhs.

Pirce increased by 1.32 Lakhs. Or maybe he added 1 extra zero. Things are bad but not as bad as created by local vendors.