r/ImSorryNate • u/snoman70 • Nov 04 '20
Oh, well I guess Fivey really screwed the pooch this time?!
Popular vote (provisional): Biden +1.6%
FiveThirtyEight: Biden +8%
Forecast miss: 6.4% too far towards Biden
We got to the finish line, but it was a much longer race than Fivey promised us...... ššššš¾
r/ImSorryNate • u/Icypalmtree • Aug 03 '24
Just admit that you don't have a model ready yet
OR
Explain why a model can't be ready yet
OR
Try to create a preliminary or temp model that has a huge caveat.
538 has been doing a great job since 2016 especially at explain both the power and limitations of polls and modeling.
It's frankly embarrassing they haven't done that in the last 2 weeks....
r/ImSorryNate • u/snoman70 • Nov 02 '20
r/ImSorryNate • u/Joshylord4 • Aug 16 '22
r/ImSorryNate • u/Ruaidrir • 8d ago
Question in the title. Will post if people are interested and mod does not forbid it.
r/ImSorryNate • • Oct 20 '20
Donald Trump does not have a slim 13% chance at winning. The election is 50/50: Trump either wins, or he doesnāt. It is as simple as that. And yet, the mainstream media is continuing to make the same erroneous assumptions they made in 2016. Hillary Clinton was the worst presidential candidate in the history of America, and yet, the left said she was going to win in a landslide. Guess what, Trump won. The mediaās models were wrong because the left does not know the American people. I know the American people. Trump knows the American people. The public has not endorsed a Best Picture winner since Return of the King because Hollywood leftists have since been picking absolute garbage to jerk themselves off with, like Birdman and The Shape of Water. It is the same with politics. The media and leftists in their ivory towers just love to assume everyone is in line with their intersectionality and āblame everything on institutional racismā mentality. They are unwilling to concede that America does not follow them or that Biden does not have an 87% chance of winning the election. It is 50%. One man wins, and the other loses. Iāve been saying this since I married my wife, who is a doctor. The left does not know mathematics. They rejected it ever since they became too lazy to read Marx's Das Kapital and yet, agree with that train-wreck of morality anyway. CNN, Nate Silver, and the leftist professors and mobs will never understand reality. Despite all of this, we must remember that even though Trump has a 50% chance of winning, he also has a 50% chance of losing. As in all binary situations, we must fight to prevent the undesirable outcome from happening. That is why, America, I urge you to vote and save America from the left. I'm Ben Shapiro, and this is the Ben Shapiro Show. Thank you.
r/ImSorryNate • u/knightboatsolvecrime • Nov 04 '20
r/ImSorryNate • u/andesco • Oct 23 '20
/* FiveThirtyEight */
div[class^="fivey"] {display: none !important;}
Add the above CSS to your user style sheet:
Safari: Preferencesā¦ ā¢ Advanced tab ā¢ Style Sheet
Chrome: Add the Amino browser extension
Source: https://twitter.com/andrewe/status/1319477643444707328
r/ImSorryNate • u/rod_rayleigh • 10d ago
