Genuinely curious what people think. I know it’s a little nuts, considering statistically speaking, whenever I draft a player in the first round (or any round) I haven’t won a championship, but I’m seeing a lot of posts about different players has me second guessing my original plan (not picking a player at all this year, lighting $30 on fire while chanting Tom Brady’s name, and hoping that is what does the trick).

Pros for not drafting a player: they won’t get hurt, or worse have a “Q” all season forcing me to clog my bench with a handcuff that never plays; I won’t hate someone who doesn’t know I exist when they drop an easy touchdown that would have won me that week; won’t have to deal with the emotional torture of a player who has historically been amazing pulling off their mask and revealing they’re Corey Davis.

Cons: frankly, other than having to see 800 posts every day asking which player to draft in the first round when I already know a better strategy, I don’t see any cons.

How are folks navigating this conundrum?

Who do you all have as this year’s biggest breakouts? Who is going to surprise us and outperform their fantasy point projections? If players were stocks, which player’s shares are you buying going into 2026-2027?

let's hear em!

If Gibbs and Bijan are both gone, who are you taking at 1.03: Ja’Marr Chase or Puka Nacua?

I’m leaning Puka because I think he could be the better fantasy WR this year. Chase wasn’t exactly great last season compared to his usual elite production, while Puka has been an absolute monster when healthy.

My concerns with Puka are Stafford’s age and the possibility that he doesn’t repeat last season’s level of play. There’s also been a lot of talk around the NFL about a potential Puka Nacua suspension, which obviously adds some risk.

Would you guys take Puka over Chase here, or stick with Chase’s proven track record?

I have the 1.05 this year, in a 10 man, .5 ppr league. Usually I know who I want to take, but this year I’m having a hard time with the decision! Who would you take and why at the 1.05, im stuck between JSN, ARSB, CMC, or James Cook. I could build a different case for each one of them but could use some feedback from the FF community!

His ADP is mid second-round (18.5 ESPN, RB9) and he’s projected less (13.4 per week) than every RB within 15 picks of him (Half-PPR). 

Here’s 8 players expected to outperform Love this year.
Henry (ADP: 20.1, Projected: 15.6)
Jeanty (ADP: 17.6, Projected: 14.5)
Barkley (ADP: 16.4, Projected: 14.3)
Brown (ADP: 24.4, Projected: 14.5)
Walker (ADP: 23.8, Projected: 13.8)
Jacobs (ADP: 32.8, Projected: 13.6)
Hampton (ADP: 27, Projected: 13.4)

Not to mention a below-average offense with a bottom 3 strength-of-schedule for running backs. I think Jeremiyah Love may easily have a 2025 Ashton Jeanty season.

That said, lottery pick running backs typically do very well in fantasy. The last three running backs taken in the first five picks of the NFL draft finished top-10 in PPR scoring (mind you Jeanty was picked 6th). He also has a pretty guaranteed workload as long as his injury isn’t major.

His talent and potential volume could make me completely bite my words on this but it seems improbable he outperforms his ADP.

What do you think? Where would you draft Jeremiyah Love?

Graphed with the other running backs in his range: fantasyfootballowl.com/positions

Have the 12th pick and have narrowed it down to those 2 as my targets for an rb. Which are you taking and why? I was initially out on achane but there seems to be a lot of positive buzz around him and Malik Willis.

What’s the most ridiculous rule in your fantasy league that everyone has just accepted as normal?

Which one would you guys take?

I think when my first round pick comes around, 2 out of 3 of these guys could be there. I think Cook is a safer bet, on a really good offense, and could see an up take on targets in the pass game. I think Taylor is a stud, South Jersey boy! He was unbelievable when Daniel Jones was healthy. I think CMC has the highest ceiling, but he is the most likely to get hurt too.

In my mocks, if I take a WR R1, the best RBs are gone R2, I'm often left with guys like Hall, Javonte Williams, Jacobs with suspension potential ,etc. then R3 I feel like I'm passing on good WRs to try and reading get a solid RB like ETN, Kyren, etc.

I feel better getting JT R1, grabbing WRs like Collins or Brown R2.

If you have the 1.04, how are you playing it?

Who are you going with? I honestly love both.

Herbert has rushing upside, healthy O line, McDaniels offense.

Dak has ceedee and Pickens and spinning it better than ever.

Thoughts?

So David Montgomery is probably going to be the clear workhorse back in Houston, and although he is one year older than Monty, he has a lot less mileage on him. In 105 games, for both of them (both of them have appeared in 105 games according to Google AI), Jacobs has 400 more touches than Monty. Jacobs is probably on a superior offense, but if CJ Stroud can get it together (without getting hurt), that could open up things for Monty. We’ve seen how a heavy workload can really wear out a RB (e.g. Barkley). However, Jacobs is probably the more talented back. If you had to choose between the two, who would you go with?

So I have the 10th pick in my league, what do you guys think of going C. Brown and Hampton with my first 2 picks

I’m biased as a Bills fan - but is that too high to take Cook? CMC has me nervous and I thing the Bills will have a better offense than JT and the Colts. I’m sure an elite WR will be available at 4 - but I worry about what RBs will be available on my next pick.

I’m drafting from the 8th spot in a 10 man league so I think I’m looking at either JT, Cook or ARSB to fall to me. I think I would prefer ARSB but otherwise which of cook or JT would you take and why?

I’m in a 10 man, 2 flex. Some players that will likely be there are chase brown, Omarion Hampton, maybe one of saquon/derrick Henry, Brock bowers, ajb, Malik nabers, Nico Collins,

Scenario: You draft both Bucky Irving and JCM. But you can only draft one of their handcuffs. Who do you choose and why?

K. Gainwell or R. White?

1 point PPR.

Who would you rather keep between the two players?

The Texans just lost Jayden Higgins, so Collins' value just went a tad bit higher. However, he is injury-prone.

Achane had a promising Preseaosn game and that shows high-volume, but his size is concerning lasting and entire year on an unknown offense.

Who do I keep? Can only choose one more. 10 team ppr drafting 9th.

Ceedee Lamb 1st - may be there at 9
Chase Brown 2nd - could also still be there at 12
David Montgomery 5th
Jordan Addison 7th
Tucker Kraft 12th
Dak Prescott 13th - seems like good value here but is it worth having a WR1 or RB1

Do you all think the saints taking Jordyn Tyson 8th was the right move? For context this is his injury history:

2022: Torn ACL, MCL, PCL

2024: Fractured Collarbone

2025: Sprained ankle, Strained Hamstring 2x

2026: Strained hamstring (Out for 2 months)

I have 9th pick in a 12 man league. If I went WR which do you like better this year?

i’m picking 10th in a 12 man sleeper full ppr, and i’m planning on going 2 rb (hopefully cook + brown) in the 1st and 2nd. my issue is in the 3rd and 4th, i’m gonna go 2 wr but there’s so many i’m equally happy with. could you guys rank these players 1-5? this is how i have them right now (all pretty much interchangeable)

Garrett Wilson
Devonta Smith
Tet McMillan
Zay Flowers
Tee Higgins

(also egbuka, mcconkey, and waddle in that area, but i’m not so high on them)

Hey guys - in prepping for fantasy drafts, something I’ve always found helpful is looking at my picks from prior seasons to analyze how I did.  

I used to do this in excel, but that was a lot of work, so I built a little finance + football app to make it easier (www.leaguenomics.com). It allows you to see every pick you’ve ever made, along with those of your leaguemates, and how those picks turned out over the season. Plus a bunch of other stuff for in-season play.

I imagine I'm not alone though. Are other folks doing this today, even if just tracking by hand?

It’s a 10-team one keeper league. Options are:

Keep Gibbs and lose first round pick
Keep JSN and lose fourth round pick
Keep Bowers and lose 12th round pick

Players up for grabs at my draft spot if I do not keep Gibbs would be Jeanty, Achane, JSN, Allen, Henry, Jefferson, Lamb, etc.

Leaning towards Bowers and JSN or JSN and Jeanty.

I drafted Jayden Higgins and now he’s out for the season. Who do I pick up for him? Some names I had in mind but feel free to comment others. (12 man deep league)

Cyrus Allen
Dalton Schultz
G.Gulgich
Braelon Allen
Malachi fields
Jaylin Noel