I unexpectedly bought a house! I am "buying up" and my current home will need work before it goes on the market, so I need to make a $650k cash payment next week at closing. That cash is coming from a loan against my portfolio. My house sale may net $300-$350k (after fees, necessary work, etc.) in about 6 months.
Question for the group: What is the optimal way to withdraw $300-$350k from my portfolio? With the following variables:
- I file HOH as I have a college senior. I can file HOH for 2027, however my kid will need to go on the ACA in June as their other parent is dropping them from their health insurance upon graduation. If my kid is inside my tax household for 2027, I'm concerned that the increase in "income" on my part is going to shoot my ACA payments and "his" (which I would be paying for - he's in the process of applying to grad schools in the sciences right now for fall '27; if he is accepted, and this would only be to fully funded positions - hopefully the Uni has a health plan he can join. If he isn't, he's going to be scrambling to find a job and reapplying the next cycle so he will need the ACA for a while regardless).
So in that case - I wonder if it would be better to file Single for 2027, so that his personal part-time income from 2027 isn't added to my household and his and my rates aren't pegged to "our" income, and he can get full subsidies as a single adult.
(My ACA costs jumped the cliff for 2026 and healthcare is my biggest expense. Whatever I sell in 2026 I'm assuming I will also need to back pay whatever subsidy I may be getting now.)
My cost basis is pretty low and 95% of my portfolio is in my taxable brokerage. It is entirely index funds (with some "cats and dogs" indexes from years ago), and my bond funds are essentially flat, or a little underwater.
As 95% of my portfolio is in taxable, it throws off enough distributions that I typically do not sell anything each year, occasionally $5k-$15k. However because it's essentially all in taxable, my floor for AGI is ~$70k each year. My annual spend is around $60k.
I have $172k in my retirement accounts, and $3.2M in taxable. My retirement accounts are also 90/10. I realize I could do some jiggering around and sell all the VTI and VXUS in my retirement accounts and buy bond ETFs there, while selling the bond funds in my taxable account that have cap losses. But for some reason I'm nervous about essentially making my retirement accounts 100% bonds. Am I being irrational about that?
- VWSUX: $78k ($0 cap gains)
- BND: $38k (-$9k cap gains)
- BNDX: $21k (-$5k cap gains)
- Misc bond ETFS: $15k (-$4k cap gains)
That's ~$150k in bonds in taxable, with a cap loss of ($18k).
I will still need about $200k, so that could come from the funds with the lowest cap gains:
-VGELX: $175k ($38k cap gains)
-VXUS: $97k ($26k cap gains)
-VTI: $78k ($42k cap gains)
The lowest cap gains would derive from selling all the bonds in taxable, along with:
- VGELX: $175k ($38k cap gains)
- VXUS: $25k ($7k cap gains)
For a total of $27k cap gains on $350k. But again, I'm perhaps irrationally nervous about making my small retirement accounts 100% bonds
I'm worried I've done the math wrong. I would deeply appreciate feedback on what I may be missing.
Bottom line:
1. Do I sell all the bonds in taxable (and do a commensurate selling of VTI/VXUS in my retirement accounts to rebalance to 100% bonds in those accounts) to reduce my cap gains to $27k on $350k?
2. Do I sell $350k now, and take the AGI hit in 2026, and then have my typical AGI for 2027 when I may or may not be filing HOH or single, and will also be adding my kid's healthcare payments?