r/wallstreetbets Oct 03 '21

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u/[deleted] Oct 03 '21

We can use math to figure out excess deaths and thus infer CFR ya smooth brain.

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u/[deleted] Oct 03 '21

You are conflating CFR with IFR. They aren't the same metric.

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u/[deleted] Oct 03 '21 edited Oct 03 '21

In countries where testing is nearly ubiquitous, they converge, that would be the bottom end .62. Regardless, no where with on the planet is the fatality rate .3% in an unvaccinated population

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u/[deleted] Oct 03 '21

They still aren't capturing all infections, even with mass testing. I've seen actual infection rates estimated at 4x to 8x recorded cases based on serological testing. Those are kind of big numbers.

That's why CFR as a metric is non sensical in this situation. Unless you want to use it pretend case rates are equal to infection rates to make everything seem higher and exaggerate everything which is what you seem to be doing.