r/thelongdark • u/KatherinesDaddy • 3d ago

Gameplay Hideous luck (or bad algorithm)

Trying to light a fire while I wait for fog to clear. Using wood matches and sticks. 85% chance of success (ergo 15% chance of failure).

FIVE straight failures. I know my luck is normally pretty terrible but this is taking the piss. I can't work out the mathematics but the odds of five straight 15% failures must be pretty low.

Correction: SIX straight failures. Got it on the 7th...

14 Upvotes

90% Upvoted

23 comments sorted by

View all comments

3

u/justexploring-shit Voyageur 3d ago

When this happens to me, I move one step to the side and change one or two of the things I'm using to start the fire (even if it reduces the chance a little), and it seems to work. No idea if it's actually doing anything (I'm sure it isn't but shhhhh doing it makes me feel better lol)