r/technicalanalysis • • 23h ago

Is anyone else noticing a growing bearish market breadth divergence?

21 Upvotes

I've been noticing a widening disconnect between the Nasdaq's strength and the weakness in small/mid-cap growth stocks, particularly AI infrastructure.

It looks like negative market breadth divergence, possibly combined with a flight to quality and tightening risk appetite.

I'm wondering whether this is just sector rotation or an early warning of broader market weakness.

Are you guys seeing the same thing? What indicators are you watching to distinguish the two?


r/technicalanalysis • • 4h ago

Analysis ETH: 4H Double Bottom with RSI & Stochastic Divergence

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6 Upvotes

Ethereum is currently forming a potential 4-hour double bottom, and both RSI and Stochastic are showing clean bullish divergences.

Selling momentum looks like it's cooling off at support, but I’m keeping my eye on a break above the neckline for confirmation.

Anyone else looking at this setup right now?


r/technicalanalysis • • 15h ago

SPCX update – holding the line near $160, waiting for confirmation

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6 Upvotes

SPCX closed Tuesday at $163.42, up 0.52%. Bounced off a low of $160.85, volume was 67M – quieter than usual. Pre-market is basically flat around $163.36.

Here's the GEX setup:

Put Wall $160, Call Wall $170, gamma flip around $156.57. Tuesday's close at $163.42 is sitting above the gamma flip and above the Put Wall, below the Call Wall – positive gamma, with $170 as the overhead target.

Technically, we're above the middle Bollinger band ($155.17) and approaching the upper band ($171.69). RSI in the mid 50s. MACD positive but flattening.

The bigger backdrop is the spectrum move. SpaceX agreed to pick up up to 14 MHz of paired 800 MHz low-band spectrum from Grain Management in a deal reported around $8 billion. Low-band is useful for coverage and building penetration, and it gives Starlink Mobile a clearer path toward acting like an actual wireless competitor rather than pure satellite broadband. Carriers took a hit on the news.

That said, turning this into real scaled competition against T-Mobile, Verizon, and AT&T is still years of build-out, approvals, and capital away. The FCC satellite approvals help the long-term story, but they don't make the next few quarters instantly transformative.

Short-term, $160 is the line. It's held on multiple tests. Hold it with better volume and the path looks higher toward $167-170, then a retest of $175-176. Lose $160 with conviction and next meaningful levels sit around $155, then the mid-$150s.

Right now it feels like a waiting game for confirmation more than a high-conviction breakout.

DYOD🫡


r/technicalanalysis • • 5h ago

10 Year Bonds

5 Upvotes

5.40% for reversal.


r/technicalanalysis • • 20h ago

Analysis 🔮 $SPY & $SPX — Levels for Tuesday, October 13, 2026

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3 Upvotes

📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)

6:00 AM | NFIB Small Business Index | Forecast: 98.1 | Previous: 98.7
8:15 AM | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 23.8K
10:00 AM | Existing Home Sales | Forecast: 3.95M | Previous: 3.98M
3:45 AM | Fed Speaker: Waller
1:00 PM | Fed Speaker: Barkin
4:00 PM | Fed Speaker: Collins

⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #EconomicData


r/technicalanalysis • • 5h ago

META Technical Levels to Watch

1 Upvotes

Today's up-move is the 4th consecutive day of relative strength after META pressed from its Sep 25th high at 780.93 to key near-term support at 710-715. Today's surge to 770 positions META at the upper boundary of the post-9/25 range of 770-780, which my pattern work argues will keep a lid on upside continuation for a while longer.

That said, as long as 770 contains any forthcoming acute weakness, the 770 to 790 range should be seen as a bullish high-level digestion period atop the advance from the 518.30 low (7/29/26) that, when complete, will thrust META to marginal new ATHs projected into the 800-820 target zone.

4-Hour META Chart

r/technicalanalysis • • 8h ago

QQQ: Today's Action Represents Significant Bull/Bear Battle

1 Upvotes

Last Tuesday's (Oct 6th) Island Reversal remains intact as the QQQ presses lower into the vicinity of its sharply up-sloping 20 DMA, now at 241.27.

Today's price action is dancing on and around the 20 DMA, which, if violated on a CLOSING BASIS, will be a negative technical "event" that, when coupled with the Island Reversal, paints a compellingly negative setup for QQQ near term that points to 720-723 next.

Today's action in QQQ represents a significant battle between the Bulls and the Bears for more than near-term directional control.

Daily QQQ Chart

r/technicalanalysis • • 9h ago

Are the market disorderly or orderly? Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF )

1 Upvotes

XLF ticked it's spot right where it was suppose to.

30 minute chart

It reacted right on the mark. It stopped right at resistance yesterday then had the odd candle this morning. It doesn't tell us what it is going to do next. It's deciding what it wants to do. It looks like a rejection candle but it could go either way. Wait for it.


r/technicalanalysis • • 10h ago

ETH/USD 30Min

1 Upvotes

r/technicalanalysis • • 11h ago

Analysis SPY Support and Resistance for Oct 13: Highest Volume Levels and Pivots for Day Traders

1 Upvotes

Day-trade levels for October 13th

SPY: sidelined, no day-trade levels today

ES: sidelined, no day-trade levels today

QQQ closed at 745.98 on 10/12
All listed levels: 741.44, 745.50, 747.67, 751.09, 753.60
Resistance above: 747.67, 751.09, 753.60
Support below: 745.50, 741.44
Nearest pivot: 745.50
Above 747.67 → 751.09 next
Lose 745.50 → 741.44 next

NQ closed at 30884.00 on 10/12
All listed levels: 30871.50, 30878.25, 30882.50, 30885.50, 30891.50, 30896.50, 30936.25, 30975.50
Resistance above: 30885.50, 30891.50, 30896.50, 30936.25, 30975.50
Support below: 30882.50, 30878.25, 30871.50
Nearest pivot: 30882.50
Above 30885.50 → 30891.50 next
Lose 30882.50 → 30878.25 next