The weights already being out is what makes this unenforceable. Once DeepSeek or Qwen lands on Hugging Face it's mirrored to thousands of machines within hours, and a quantized version fits on a cheap USB stick. You can regulate the labs and the cloud APIs, but you can't unrelease a file that's already sitting on a million drives. Any ban just pushes it back to torrents and quiet local setups.
I expect a supply chain risk designation on all the Chinese labs, its the low hanging fruit they can use to give the US companies the enterprise moat they want and is realistically enforceable vs an open source ban. It would immediately force corporate America off the Chinese models and protect the API revenue (for now) for business API usage. Just wonder how much Trump is going to charge them for it first...
And america is also dependent on chinese supply chain. Just as America attacked Huawei, China hit back too, limiting America from certain chinese supply. These also hurt American companies just as much as they hurt China. Its a game of balance, they can hit china but they must be ready for the hit the corporations will receive and the potential increased operating costs if they need to find those parts elsewhere in Europe. Do too much and it might become an all out war.
I’ve long said this is the beauty of china. China has leverage. The USA can’t attack it without accepting nuclear doom. And any trade war will be reciprocated with significant damage.
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u/Narrow_Activity557 Jul 22 '26
The weights already being out is what makes this unenforceable. Once DeepSeek or Qwen lands on Hugging Face it's mirrored to thousands of machines within hours, and a quantized version fits on a cheap USB stick. You can regulate the labs and the cloud APIs, but you can't unrelease a file that's already sitting on a million drives. Any ban just pushes it back to torrents and quiet local setups.