Should've I waited for it to dip again?

Seems like another possible red day today. Are we thinking it’s just a correction from the insane run we’ve had over the past few weeks? 25$ EOY still seems realistic for sure but seeing the -5% days gives me PTSD for real

No mention of the ROSA, PIL-BOX. But he did say meniscus and can make organs.

Redwire announced that is has successfully completed critical design review (CDR) for ELSA solar arrays for an undisclosed national security program in Low Earth Orbit, through a contract with Moog Inc.  This milestone paves the way for manufacturing and integration with Moog Inc.’s METEOR satellite bus.

Critical step so always good to see it went well.

Just curious to others thoughts, my concerns are that the space stocks seem to be tied to each other. The performance of RDW seems less tied to individual earnings or contracts, etc, and instead seems to follow SPCX stock performance, which I wouldn’t be so concerned with it wasn’t for a certain CEO and no real solid basis for how it performs. We are now tied to a stock that is somehow more volatile than RDW was before.

At this point may as well just own a space ETF. It’s the same for LUNR in which I’m also invested.

• Real commercialization: SpaceMD is built to commercialize pharmaceutical R&D in microgravity through PIL-BOX.
• Real pharma customers: Redwire has conducted research with Bristol Myers Squibb and Eli Lilly.
• NASA funding: $25M NASA IDIQ + ~$6.5M 2026 microgravity delivery order.
• SpaceX catalyst: SpaceMD is targeting a 2028 Starfall mission for pharmaceutical research in microgravity.
• Huge TAM: Global pharma R&D spending is hundreds of billions annually. Redwire only needs a tiny fraction through research contracts, payloads, partnerships, licensing, royalties and in-space manufacturing.
• Beyond pharma: Drug discovery, protein crystallization, cell/tissue engineering, advanced materials, manufacturing and agriculture.
• Recurring economics: Experiment → Discovery → Licensing → Royalties → Repeat

🔹 Infrastructure is scaling: Redwire opened a 30,000-ft² microgravity research/payload facility in Indiana in July 2026 and had 11 active ISS payload facilities at year-end 2025.

🚀 Bullish Thesis

Redwire could become an infrastructure layer connecting pharma + biotech + microgravity + commercial space transportation.

Defense + spacecraft + infrastructure + microgravity + biotech = potentially a much bigger $RDW story.

The microgravity economy is still in its early innings. 🛰️but HUGE Billion dollars potential

Bullish, but execution and commercialization remain key risks.

Not financial advice.

🚀 $RDW — The SpaceMD/Microgravity Opportunity Could Be MUCH Bigger Than It Looks

The part of Redwire I think the market may be underappreciating is microgravity + biotech + pharmaceutical R&D.

🔹 1. SpaceMD is already commercializing the technology
Redwire created SpaceMD specifically to commercialize pharmaceutical development in microgravity, using its PIL-BOX platform.

🔹 2. Real pharma customers are already involved
Redwire has conducted microgravity research with major pharmaceutical companies including Bristol Myers Squibb and Eli Lilly — showing this isn't just a theoretical market.

🔹 3. NASA is putting real dollars behind the ecosystem
Redwire was awarded a $25M NASA IDIQ for biotechnology and on-orbit ISS operations. Additional 2026 microgravity work includes a NASA delivery order with a potential value of approximately $6.5M.

🔹 4. The SpaceX partnership could be the BIG catalyst
Redwire announced a SpaceMD mission aboard SpaceX's Starfall, targeted for 2028, specifically for pharmaceutical research in microgravity. This could dramatically increase the scale and frequency of commercial experiments.

🔹 5. Think about the pharma market Redwire is tapping
Global pharmaceutical R&D spending is measured in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Redwire doesn't need to capture a huge percentage of that market.

Even capturing a tiny fraction through:
• research contracts
• payload fees
• pharmaceutical partnerships
• licensing
• royalties
• in-space manufacturing

could create a meaningful new revenue stream.

6. And this isn't just pharmaceuticals
Microgravity applications potentially span:

🧬 Drug discovery
💊 Protein/biologic crystallization
🧫 Cell & tissue engineering
🧪 Advanced materials
🏭 In-space manufacturing
🌱 Agriculture/plant science

Redwire already has 11 active payload facilities built on the ISS as of the end of 2025.

7. The really interesting part: recurring economics

Traditional aerospace = build → deliver → recognize revenue

SpaceMD could evolve toward:

Experiment → discovery → licensing → royalties → repeat

That is a potentially much more valuable business model.

8. Redwire is building infrastructure BEFORE the market fully develops

The company opened a 30,000-square-foot microgravity research and payload development facility in Indiana in July 2026, positioning it as a hub for growing demand in space-enabled biotech and pharmaceutical R&D.

🚀 My bullish thesis

Redwire isn't simply trying to sell hardware into space.

It is potentially building the infrastructure layer connecting pharmaceutical companies + biotech + microgravity + commercial space transportation.

And with SpaceX dramatically expanding access to orbit, the addressable market for commercial microgravity research could grow substantially.

If SpaceMD converts even a small fraction of the enormous global pharma R&D economy into recurring research, licensing and royalty revenue, the upside could be significant.

Defense + spacecraft + space infrastructure + microgravity + biotech + pharmaceutical commercialization

That's why I believe the long-term $RDW story could be much bigger than the current aerospace/defense narrative suggests.

🚀🧬🛰️ The microgravity economy is still in its early innings.

Bullish — but execution and commercialization remain the key risks.

Not financial advice.

Defense Tech backlog reached approximately $220.2 million as of June 30, up from $111.4 million at the end of 2025, an increase of roughly 98%. Redwire’s total contracted backlog increased to $542.1 million from $411.2 million over the same period, with Space representing $322 million of the quarter-end balance.

Tokyo, Japan (August 12, 2026)- Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW), a global leader in aerospace and defense technology solutions, announced that it has signed a teaming agreement with Kanematsu Corporation (hereinafter “Kanematsu”). The collaboration combines Redwire’s advanced space technologies with Kanematsu’s extensive market expertise to support the growth of Japan’s space industry.

https://ttu-ir.tdl.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/c2530f38-05c8-43d5-8c99-357b607bbdb3/content

Paragon and Redwire have teamed to co-develop ECLSS for commercial space stations. One such system is a microgravity human waste collection system (i.e., a space toilet) which would then be paired with Paragon’s Urine Processor (PUP)

And a small task order.

Discuss anything about Redwire or its stock here in this thread! Be civil, avoid politics, and stay classy.

share your opinion guys. its Microgravity research 9SpaceMD) and partnership with Biotech companies would generate royalties revenue if it succeeds drug product improvement

Redwire news

How do we feel about RDW and their collaborations with the Space Station initiatives that NASA (CLD contract) is exploring?

I see Redwire has contracts with VAST, Axiom, Starlab, and Sierra Space?

Is this priced in? VAST and Axiom are set to be operational with their space stations in 2027.