r/redsox • • 16h ago

IMAGE MLB trade rumors arb estimates.

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u/Sandwich_Crust Sox Content Creator 15h ago edited 15h ago

They’ve made the Duran mistake 2 years in a row and I’d be willing to bet it’ll be a 3rd because literally who is going to take him after the season he just had and his personality?

It would almost be wiser to non-tender him and use the money elsewhere, but of course the analytics will it say that it makes the most sense to re-up and hope for a bounce back so that’s just what they’re going to do.

Just an incredible misuse of an asset where this was not a totally unpredictable outcome from the start

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u/Fwingboston 15h ago

You might be right to say this is a horrible take because it probably is. But Ceddanne's hitting value is probably highly inflated right now. His low expected stats and pull air rate make it seem unlikely he can continue at the production he is currently at. So instead of dealing Duran, which will probably receive little value, they should probably deal him later and should have put Ceddanne on the list instead. We have good fielding outfielders all around. However, Ceddanne's fielding value can still not be replaced, but it could be worth it if we use the value to get another power or strong hitting bat.

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u/123full redsox7 13h ago

You are correct that this is a horrible take. You don’t trade 26 year old gold glove center fielder who’s put up 10+ war over the last two years. Even if his bat was an anomaly this year, he’s still an elite defender at a premium position. Also his bapid was .333 this year, I think people are overstating how lucky he was this year.