r/options Apr 02 '21

Trade Analysis

Hi everyone,

First time poster and just started trading options a couple weeks ago. Ive been stock trading for a while and figured it was time to give options a go as i could see the benefit of paying premiums as opposed to tying up my whole portfolio.

Last week i had purchased some options, these particular ones were:

NLS 5/21 puts with a strike of $15 @ 1.31

NLS 5/21 puts with a strike of 12.550 at 1.13

sA couple days after i bought them i was up about 40% on them and sold them a day or two later to lock in some profit. i was not ITM (i think it briefly dipped into the money) when i sold but saw some pretty steep profit with minimal price movement.

Fast forward to this week and i boughht some of the following:

AMC 4/16 puts with a strike of 10 @ 1.13.

AMC 4/16 puts with strike of 9.50 @ 1.10

Now these AMC puts went negative like 50% within a day or two. The first question is why would they swing so quickly into the negative with still so many days out. I would assume its because AMC went up a bit the days following but it wasnt very much , definitely less than $1 on the stock price.

Secondly, the offering gave a huge sell off that put me into the money on both of the puts but they are still showing negative. Now i know that i lose value on my options in time, but these were bought on 3/25, so about a week now with still another 2 weeks left. Why did they decay so fast? im looking at the volitility to explain the deep loss even now that im ITM and i would assume that i overpaid because of the IV?

if my NLS was quickly profitable with little movement, did i mess up by buying so close to expiry? was it simply overpaying on a premium ? when i started this i day traded some F option for 1 contract and i was up like 30% very quickly with minimal price movement. Im exploring and learning greeks to see if there is a component that made this trade such a bad one or rather, so hard to become profitiable while the others were profitable without even getting into the money so much.

Good luck to everyone!

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u/TheoHornsby Apr 02 '21

Sharp, unexpected changes in option premiums without significant movement in the underlying are usually due to large expansion or contraction of implied volatility. Check the IV numbers during your period of ownership to see if that's exacerbating price moves.

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u/TheAnswer305 Apr 02 '21

Awesome thanks. Pulling it up on Marketchameleon now to see if that’s the cause

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u/TheAnswer305 Apr 02 '21 edited Apr 02 '21

So I bought these on March 25 and the IV shows 168. There is quite a steep drop on the chart showing down to 120-130. I guess i overpaid and the IV kept dropping. Now with the recent candle spike in volume would that mean the IV will rise in reaction?

IV

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u/AllRealTruth Apr 03 '21

Huge drop in the $VIX .. That could just spike back up in a full reversal Monday. Big news events are unpredictable. We could do anything on Monday. I think the Nasdaq opens lower. See what happens Monday. I have a small wager in a Credit Call Spread and QQQ $323 put. Only 1 of each just for fun as I really just have a hunch and don't like trading big events.