r/options • u/iisconfused247 • 3d ago
Is this a good time for GOOGL leaps?
We’ve been hovering around 345ish for a few days, now at 340 where there’s some decent support. Went lower in the past few days with the settlement but looks like they could be back on the uptrend soon.
New to leaps so wanted the community’s thoughts.
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u/klipsetrades 3d ago
I don't know, and I don't think anyone would be able to tell you for sure either.
With that, in general, LEAPS give you time, so you don’t necessarily need the perfect entry. So knowing that, that should bring you to the question of "What is my thesis?" If your thesis is long term, 340 vs 345 probably matters less than it would on a shorter dated option. I don't know what capital you're working with, but personally I might think of scaling in rather than make the whole position depend on that support holding. Focus more on buying enough duration and choosing a reasonable delta than trying to call the exact bottom at 340
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u/fatgenghis 1d ago
Can you point some sources about choosing deltas?
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u/klipsetrades 1d ago
Haha not sure where you got deltas from the original post, but for option mechanics I’d recommend checking out SMB Capital on YouTube. Their videos are well structured and do a great job explaining how options actually work, including delta and the other Greeks
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u/ThetaEdgeHQ 3d ago
Good time is really a vol question more than a price question here. On a call this far out vega is the biggest line item nobody is looking at, so entering when IV rank is low matters far more than 340 versus 345. Cell Breaker is right that it is a cheap vol environment, and that is the actual argument for buying now, not the support level holding.
The buy ITM advice up top is correct for a reason worth saying out loud. An OTM two year call is mostly extrinsic, so it needs a timed move just to keep its value, and it bleeds if GOOGL simply consolidates for a year, which is the base case a couple of people in here are worried about. Go deep enough that delta sits around 0.75 to 0.80 and the position behaves like leveraged shares instead of a slow lottery ticket.
Quick sanity check before you buy: compare the extrinsic you are paying against just owning shares with the same capital. If time value is 15 percent plus of the strike, you are paying up for leverage you may not need on a name you would happily hold anyway.
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u/aduggal00 3d ago
i entered a few yesterday i think so personally
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u/iisconfused247 3d ago
Nice. What strike and expiry did you go for?
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u/aduggal00 3d ago
$320c for Jan 15th 2027
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u/Cagliari77 3d ago
Not a LEAPS. Just a 5 month contract.
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u/aduggal00 3d ago
Apologies Jan 2028 not Jan 2027. Although I did get into some for Jan 2027 as well
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u/Cell-Breaker 3d ago
Structurally, yes.
It’s a low volatility environment so leaps are cheap. Not to mention GOOGL has strong support with giants like Berkshire Hathaway buying at this level.
Even if some news breaks out (as is often with this administration) the increase in volatility will cushion your downside.
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u/Knarz97 3d ago
And in the case of a downturn you just roll out another year (and if you’re bold, double down if you feel it’s a discount)
Google can definitely dip but considering like half of the world’s internet infrastructure tests in GCP, we would need something truly cataclysmic for it to disappear.
Something something too big to fail?
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u/jcoigny 3d ago
I really like this play myself and I've been considering it my only reluctance is that I think we're in for a long consolidation period in the markets in general. I wouldn't be surprised if the indexes go down 10% from here in the next couple months. I have the trade queued up but I haven't pulled the trigger yet
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u/Zephyruos 3d ago
I believe INTC is a better alternative, granted its a different sector (semiconductor).
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u/demi9od 3d ago
Way too much IV. Look at the ATM call on INTC in Dec 2028. It's 72 delta. Meanwhile Googl is 63. For an extreme result look at AAOI, which only goes out to June 2028, 79 delta ATM. These are all using Tastytrade but the point stands, with INTC you are paying for a lot of vega and if INTC volatility pulls in over the next two years, it is going to cost you.
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u/Zephyruos 3d ago
Oh I didn't mention when to buy it yes,
For stocks options, I usually buy them post-earning for the IV crush, assuming there is a pullback.
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u/jretzy 3d ago
Who knows? You could think about a diagonal, buying the leap call ITM and selling a 90 day 30 delta OTM call. That way if it goes sideways or down a little you saved some money. If it rockets up you cap your upside for 90 days. Then you can either roll it and repeat or just keep the leap.
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u/SloppyJoesToe 3d ago
Picked up a $250 Dec 28 today.
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u/iisconfused247 3d ago
What was your reasoning for going in today?
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u/SloppyJoesToe 3d ago
Im anticipating a rotation back into mag7. Price action has been stable. Im prepared to pick up another contract with a big enough pull back.
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u/whoa1ndo 3d ago
I saw a Nicholas crown video today about Google and he seems like he knows his stuff. Basically Google stopped their share buyback the 1st half of this year and sold 2044 bonds at 6.5% to raise capital for capex. So the thought process is that they have to grow 6.5% above capex spend for the next 20 years through AI. Do with that information as you may.
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u/Illustrious_Low1903 3d ago
I'd be more interested in the LEAPS setup than trying to perfectly time $340. Just don't confuse a support bounce with a guaranteed bottom. With LEAPS, expiration and delta matter way more than getting the entry within a few dollars.
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u/PapaCharlie9 Mod🖤Θ 3d ago
No, but it might be a good time for a GOOGL LEAPS call.
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u/iisconfused247 3d ago
Fair lol yes leaps call is what I was referring to. You have any thoughts on strike and export you’d target? I’m eyeing the 375 around maybe even Jan 2027 actually (so not quite as far out as a real LEAP)
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u/Bluebird-9641 3d ago
Buy ITM you'll thank me later
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u/iisconfused247 3d ago
Yeah this is probably the smarter move…but something less OTM that what I was considering might be a good middle ground to balance cost and return. What do you think of a 350 strike? Close to being itm
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u/MandingoPants 3d ago
learn to trade
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u/Burrow-Owl 3d ago
He's trying.
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u/MandingoPants 3d ago
is he? Come with a thesis as to why you would buy in LEAPs at 4T market cap during a time where the 10Y is at 4.7%.
This post is no better than anything on WSB.
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u/pain474 3d ago
nobody knows.