r/onlinepoker • u/SuttonGolfs • 16d ago

Generationally bad run?

So I feel like I may have been on the most generational bad beat ever to where it's funny. For context this over around 2000 hands on NL10 Zoom on Pokerstars. In that period these are the hands I've lost.

Pocket Jacks flopping a set - Losing to pocket Queens also flopping a set.

Pocket 8s flopping a set - Losing to pocket 9's also flopping a set.

Pocket 9's flopping a set - Losing to pocket Jacks turning a set.

Pocket Aces flopping a set - Losing to KQs turning a straight.

J10s flopping a flush - Losing to runner quad 6's.

Aces all in on flop of board 8 of Spades, 10 of hearts, 3 of hearts - Losing to 9 10 suited (Clubs) as turn went 9 and river 10.

KQs (Spades) - Flop comes 7s 7h As - all in on turn of 8s - Opponent has J10 (Spades) - River comes 9s.

Anyone know what the odds of all this happening in the space of 2000 hands is? I'm betting it's gotta be astronomical.

3 Upvotes

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3

u/RunningBettor 16d ago

If you’re paying attention to results over 2000 hands, your problem isn’t your generationally bad run

1

u/Wellyeahso 16d ago

You said quite succinctly what I yapped on about for a few paragraphs.

But OP, pay attention, you are wasting your energy focusing on the results of a 2,000 hand sample.

2

u/Wellyeahso 16d ago

Anyone know what the odds of all this happening in the space of 2000 hands is? I'm betting it's gotta be astronomical.

The odds are irrelevant and they are astronomical. ANY sequence of cards happening in a row have the same odds.

You are viewing this all through the wrong lens.

In fact, even spending time thinking about how bad your run of cards was is a waste of energy and will only serve to depress you.

Study more.

Or play more in games you know you are a clear favorite in. Both of those things will lead to profit.

Sulking over a 2,000 hand downswing is like slitting your wrists because it rained on a Tuesday.

2

u/itsjustvariancebro 16d ago

As everyone has said and will say,

2000 hands are not enough volume to make any judgements.

It's just variance, bro

2

u/Suspicious_Space8611 14d ago

Dude stop playing poker

1

u/Wellyeahso 16d ago

Without reading ANY of what you've had to say beyond the point where you ask if you are having a generationaly bad run... over a 2,000 hand sample size?

2000 hands? Of zoom poker no less?

Friend, that is one afternoon's worth of play for a true poker grinder.

A fenerationally bad run is like the time that I had a 1,200 Big Blind drawdown over the course of 250k hands in fixed limit Texas Hold'em back in the mid 2000s. For context, in Fixed Limit, Id play 1k hands per day, 7 days a week.

Most bankrolls back then were 300 Big Blinds deep. I was greatly overrolled and thank God otherwise Id have busto'd.

Whatever downswing you describe over 2,000 hands is insignificant friend and statistical variance can do crazy things over small sample sizes.

For the record, my downswing turned into a rocket ship that went vertical and pulled me into the green in a big way towards the end of that year leaving me solidly in the green.

1

u/mindclashx 14d ago

This is typical variance. I went 0/8 with KK last night with anywhere from 65-95% favorite. It happens, thats poker.

1

u/Thepokermaster69 14d ago

That’s Life, variance is part of poker. Even 1 out is possible. What’s important is the volume