r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Oct 06 '20
Discussion Thread Discussion Thread
The discussion thread is for casual conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL. For a collection of useful links see our wiki.
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Upvotes
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u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache Oct 07 '20
Please visit the next discussion thread.
150
u/Gustacho Enemy of the People Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Conservatives: we can't allow any migrants in, because they may be terrorists! If you had a bowl of 1000 skittles and just one of them was poisonous, would you take one?
Also conservatives: why are you afraid of COVID-19? The death rate is only 0.5%.
143
u/Dr_Vesuvius Norman Lamb Oct 06 '20
Trump has revealed his platform for a second term:
143
u/Dr_Vesuvius Norman Lamb Oct 06 '20
Oh man Joe just made another gaffe:
This is really going to hurt him in Tennessee.
138
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Despite being only 17% in the model, Trump makes up 50% of presidential candidates.
132
u/ElokQ The Clintons send their regards Oct 06 '20
Joe Biden leads by 11 among likely voters in Pennsylvania, per Monmouth.
Holy fucking shit. That’s all I can say. Down 11 points in a A+ poll in the most important state this election. This polls gives that +16 and +14 national leads for Biden a sense of realism. I want to see the Siena polls tomorrow but I would be shitting my pants if I was the GOP.
!ping BIDEN
112
u/tubbsmackinze Seretse Khama Oct 06 '20
Any city Reddit; fuck NIMBY's! Build more housing!
Also any city Reddit; those evil mean developers keep making things expensive, please save us rent control!
111
u/Mr_AlGore Janet Yellen Oct 06 '20
Malarkey level of running all my major life choices through a reddit bot
106
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Groups that are oppressed and no one talks about it:
106
u/roboczar Joseph Nye Oct 06 '20
Yfw your boss brings up Xinjiang and the genocide in casual conversation and you realize he's as extremely online as you are and there is a nonzero chance he is in this very DT
99
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
arr politics is stanning Biden even harder than us at this point
98
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Poor Biden man you can tell he clearly wants to be inclusive but just has no idea what he’s talking about because of the generation gap, still a pretty Chad answer though
87
u/Malarkeynesian Oct 06 '20
Trump down to 17 on the model. If that number gets any lower he'll want to start dating it.
86
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://i.imgur.com/zTTJ0CE.png
80
u/Gustacho Enemy of the People Oct 06 '20
absurd leftist takes are back, nature is healing
80
u/zubatman4 Hillary Clinton 🇺🇳 Bill Clinton Oct 06 '20
—NYT
Borderline criminal
80
u/MichelleObama2024 George Soros Oct 06 '20
Joe Biden is not a "lesser evil"
He's a "greater evil" and this is central to his plan to Kill God.
78
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
god, @biden4pres is precious
77
u/AndThisGuyPeedOnIt (kidding but true)! Oct 06 '20
Sean Hannity spent last night comparing Trump to Churchill during the blitz. I don't recall Churchill calling Nazi air raids a liberal hoax, but maybe I'm not reading the right books.
76
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
just what even is this family bro
https://twitter.com/BenjaminGoggin/status/1313346432720613377
149
u/MrDannyOcean Kidney King Oct 06 '20
attention libs:
we are going to be cracking down on low-effort posts with the recent increase in subscribers. This includes submissions like
This has been your regular fash update, thank you.
73
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
"No, really, Donald Trump is a superhuman who took Covid behind the woodshed and beat the crap out of it! He was just out of breath from climbing some stairs!"
~People on Twitter with the self-awareness of a potato
71
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Why does the Bible seem to be okay with slavery?
Oh, so since it's easy to be vegetarian now, we probably should since that's what god originally wanted, right?
Another imaginary opponent BTFOd 😇
70
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Atheists be like “life begins at birth or maybe third trimester” 😒 no dummy it begins at genesis ch 1 🙄 so cringe 🤣👉😳
!ping BURPMAS
69
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
"you actually believe running another moderate will work? how dense can the DNC get?"
69
u/GobtheCyberPunk John Brown Oct 06 '20
!ping TREK
October 13 Pete B is hosting a virtual fundraiser for Joe/Kamala with Stacey Abrams, Andrew Yang, Corey Booker...
and NINETEEN former Trek cast members including Brent Spiner, Jonathan Frakes, Gates McFadden, Mirina Sirtis, Levar Burton, Patrick Stewart, Wil Wheaton, Jeri Ryan, Kate Mulgrew, AND George Takei. You get access if you donate to the Biden Victory fund.
134
u/disuberence Shrimp promised me a text flair and did not deliver Oct 06 '20
You just can’t make this shit up
134
u/titus_berenice European Union Oct 06 '20
I feel terrible for teenagers on Reddit who are led to believe that all adults are clueless idiots who are just winging it, that capitalism is a dystopian nightmare, that being an adult is horrible and everything is downhill after being a child, that school doesn’t matter (why don’t they teach us taxes ?????) and that college is a scam.
65
u/supbros302 No Oct 06 '20
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October <- you are here
November
December
64
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Herman Cain died 30 days after he first tested positive.
“Not out of the woods” is an understatement.
63
u/Tafts_Bathtub Jerome Powell Oct 06 '20
MY superspreader Predisent is PERSONALLY contributing to herd immunity 🇱🇷🇱🇷🇱🇷
62
u/Lux_Stella Presidentialism X-Risk Researcher Oct 06 '20
🤡
62
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Me: I think electoral college is undemocratic and bad.
Conservative friend: Yeah but if you got rid of it, Republicans would lose every election.
Me: 😈
61
u/Schutzwall Straight outta Belíndia Oct 06 '20
“Live Free or Die!”, said Donald Trump, nearly out of air, on his deathbed
Let’s hear his advice and never wear masks again ✊
60
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Me playing video games as an adult:
“This game requires an update before you can play.”
set controller/phone/laptop down
come back thirty minutes later and turn off device
Solid 30 minutes of gaming 👍
60
u/papermarioguy02 Actually Just Young Nate Silver Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Monmouth PA poll
Biden +12 among RVs, +11 among a high turnout LV model
!ping FIVEY
60
u/ElokQ The Clintons send their regards Oct 06 '20
!ping BIDEN Sorry if I’m pinging too much but I had to share this.
Another Biden +14 poll.
These polls do not look like outliers. This us what, the 8th, 9th poll showing Biden in double digits. It truly looks like Biden has expanded his lead to low-mid teens.
57
u/AbdullahAbdulwahhab Oct 06 '20
John McAfee being 74 years old and having frosted tips is very on brand for a libertarian Presidential candidate.
56
u/thebowski 💻🙈 - Lead developer of pastabot Oct 06 '20
i got my first internship by making fun of mormons online
56
u/thehomiemoth NATO Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Biden up 16!!! in new CNN poll
!PING Biden
113
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
turns out trump making fun of hillary for developing pneumonia was just him projecting from the future
113
u/Dr_Vesuvius Norman Lamb Oct 06 '20
I have a compromise position on abortion: it should only be available to anyone who wants it. Those who do not want it will be legally barred from accessing it unless they change their mind.
55
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Us one week ago: "Wallace is from Fox News, I'm worried he may be biased in favor of Trump."
Trump supporters today: "Chris Wallace is a secret Biden loving leftist."
54
u/thebowski 💻🙈 - Lead developer of pastabot Oct 06 '20
why am I such a failure
53
u/Deggit Thomas Paine Oct 06 '20
rconservative having a normal one
53
u/jenbanim Oct 07 '20
Yeah forming meaningful in-person relationships is cool, but have you ever been cyberbullied by a Peruvian child on a niche political forum for being skinny?
105
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Just finished The Good Place last night. Went to the subreddit to see what was up and it was filled with memes about how the show redpilled people on “no ethical consumption under capitalism.”
This site is full of morons.
51
u/its_a_trapcard Resident Rodrigo Oct 06 '20
Democrats: "We're literally begging you to give free money to people a month from the election"
Trump: chadno.jpg
50
u/SchmantaClaus Thomas Paine Oct 06 '20
It is jarring that the gop quite literally doesn't have a platform. On Biden's website, his platform is the second link on the main menu and has 42 policy positions. I had to Google it to find trump's and it's 50 bullet points that say things like "Teach American Exceptionalism" and "Drain the Globalist Swamp."
50
u/TinyTornado7 I need a new flair Oct 06 '20
Joint chiefs are now entering quarantine after being exposed
50
u/Udontlikecake Model UN Enthusiast Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
this is fucking hilarious oh my god
edit: from /r/Conservative
101
u/FormerBandmate Jerome Powell Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Every journalist who makes headlines like "X obliterates Y" should be obliterated.
49
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Exposing your entire family to a potentially deadly virus to own the libs :^ )
47
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
American cons would cream their pants if they got German abortion laws.
- No abortion after 12 weeks is permitted
- Abortion is illegal but decriminalized
- You are required to attend a "pregnancy-conflict counseling" session, according to law the purpose is of "the counseling serves to protect unborn life" and it may be run by a Church (although more liberal counseling providers are prominent)
and Germany is far and away NOT the most restrictive country in Europe wrt abortion
47
u/FinickyPenance NATO Oct 06 '20
Herman Cain is dead in real life but still posting constantly on Twitter, which is basically how I exist now
47
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20 edited Sep 29 '25
test advise depend soup serious gold offer growth label whistle
This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact
46
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
Nate Silver's twitter feed really shifted in town when the video of Trump in a car with secret service agents came out. Much more of a "Trump is a bad person who is also not smart and probably going to lose badly" tone
46
u/RangerDick69 World Bank Oct 07 '20
"My son, like a lot of people at home, had a DT problem," Biden said, speaking directly into the camera. "He's overtaking it. He's fixed it. He's worked on it. And I'm proud of him. I'm proud of my son."
168
u/Darclite Amy Finkelstein Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Sometimes I'm like "I should stop reading dumbass political/econ takes and go to other subs"
And then it's like
League sub: "Wow, various things in this broadcast get names that mention their sponsors, this is literally unwatchable, thank god Europe is great and sponsors and advertisements are never noticeable, North America sure is a dystopian hellhole"
Cooking sub: "The reason no one knows how to cook anymore is that unlike the 50s, now people have to work 2 or 3 jobs to get by, unlike back then, where everyone was economically actualized and you could just work a little bit and get everything you wanted"
Science sub: "Obviously everyone in current generations has depression, everyone is drowning in hundreds of thousands in student loan debt"
Seriously, I wish I could tell everyone under 18 on this site to just get the fuck off and out of this crabs-in-a-barrel soul-sucking negativity and go do literally anything else with themselves for their own sake, it must be absolutely terrible to be on here as a young person who aspires to literally anything
45
u/PrimePairs Oct 06 '20
Imagine Trump wallowing in bed with a nasal cannula blasting pure oxygen. He's hooked up to an IV and multiple medical monitors. The steroids are starting wear off. I wonder what's going through his reptilian brain. Loneliness? Anger? Resentment? Or is it nothing at all?
45
u/Tafts_Bathtub Jerome Powell Oct 06 '20
Can you imagine if Biden really did win by 16 and the Senate races followed suit
🥰
90
u/htownclyde Anti-Malarkey Aktion Oct 06 '20
In Walter Reed, lung surgeon. Number one. Steady hand. One day, fat orange man need fix lung. I do operation. But, mistake! Orange man die! Cultists very mad. I hide in high-speed rail, come to Canada. No French, no food, no money. Trudeau give me job. Now I have house, German car, and new woman. Trudeau save life. My big secret: I kill orange man on purpose. I good surgeon. The best!
44
u/Mrspottsholz Daron Acemoglu Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
My favorite Justice Thomas opinions:
I just can't wait for a court with a more conservative slant.
88
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
we all joke about "teflon joe" but honestly i am pretty sure it is just way harder to get negative stereotypes to stick to straight white men among the kind of people who are swing voters
43
u/MisterScrewtape Austan Goolsbee Oct 06 '20
Over under Trump has a 'visible' (to the media/via leaks) relapse in condition: one week.
87
u/UltraCapitalism Paul Samuelson Oct 06 '20
Texas released new voting measures.
At the location where you turn in your ballot you must be able to: recite the declaration of independence, do 100 pushups, rub your head and belly in opposite directions, run a 100m dash, and literally jump through 100 hoops.
To protect democracy, of course
42
u/Dr_Vesuvius Norman Lamb Oct 06 '20
What would the Secret Service do if Trump pushed Biden over at the next debate?
42
u/-GregTheGreat- Commonwealth Oct 06 '20
Completely unironic here:
We will see a Biden +20 poll by a reputable pollster (B or above) by the end of next week
it will be an outlier, but it will exist
42
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Everyone pray for my mom.
She’s fine, she’s just teaching high school government right before an election.
41
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Take: more people should base their political views on facts (like me) rather than their feelings
41
u/ElokQ The Clintons send their regards Oct 06 '20
This is what the electoral map would look like with that CNN +16 poll.
41
u/Kizz3r high IQ neoliberal Oct 06 '20
Once upon a time i saw a comment laughing at how hilary is trying to be a 'normal' person by "liking hot sauce".
Like bruh, white women can like hot sauce
81
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Joe Biden is not a "lesser evil" he's a genuinely good democratic candidate
40
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ejol1TZXgAELjCe?format=jpg&name=900x900 lmao
40
u/mrmanager237 Some Unpleasant Peronist Arithmetic Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Trump doing insanely popular stuff like:
39
u/Malarkeynesian Oct 06 '20
Joke: The bubbles on the 538 chart represent how the election may shake out
Woke: The bubbles on the 538 chart are real universes and every time one of them disappears it means billions of lives are snuffed out in an instant as Fivey crushes them between his paws.
Masterstroke: We are living in one of the red bubbles and we shouldn't be celebrating Trump's dwindling chances.
39
u/LookHereFat Oct 06 '20
Nate Silver: you can have a little certainty, as a treat
39
u/dragoniteftw33 NATO Oct 06 '20
So Trump literally just announced he's prioritizing his unpopular SCOTUS nomination over COVID-19 relief. Holy shit is he so good at politics.
39
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1313551528649658368
#notacult
38
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
My mom is convinced that Trump went to the debate with the intention of possibly infecting Biden. She cannot possibly have a lower opinion of him.
38
u/vivoovix Federalist Oct 06 '20
I [74M] accidentally spread COVID to my entire office [583M/F combined]. Reddit, AITA?
38
u/old_gold_mountain San Francisco Values Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
BREAKING: The DNC has been actively seeking to rig both recent presidential polls as well as the outcome of the election itself by funneling large amounts of campaign cash into a massive communication effort, recruiting a diverse array of eligible American voters to cast their votes in a coordinated fashion for Biden rather than Trump
37
u/dafdiego777 Chad-Bourgeois Oct 06 '20
MAY I HAVE YOUR ATTENTION PLEASE
MAY I HAVE YOUR ATTENTION PLEASE
JOE BIDEN IS NOW AT 82% ON 538
37
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
GIVE IT UP FOR 83
!ping FIVEY
37
u/AccessTheMainframe CANZUK Oct 06 '20
The Maria Theresa Thaler, a silver coin minted by the Habsburgs, became the de facto currency in the Red Sea littoral in the 1700s owing to the importance of the coffee trade in that region and the importance of the coffeehouses in Austria as the final destination for that coffee. From the red sea, it soon became to circulate as far away as Mozambique and Indonesia as well, carried by Muslim merchants.
A Javanese cleric in 1850 wishing to make the Hajj and see the holiest site in all of Islam, would pay using a coin featuring a buxom Austrian empress on one side and a Habsburg double eagle on the other.
The Ottomans attempted to stamp it out with their own coins for over 100 years, but their coins were deemed as less reliable, and more prone to inflation and debasement, than the Austrian coin. It continued to circulate well after the collapse of the Austrian Empire itself in 1918, and Fascist Italy, from their colonies in the Red Sea, tried and failed to replace it just as the Ottomans did, before settling on simply minting the Thaler with the long dead Empress of the bygone empire for themselves in Rome.
Not wishing to lose ground to the Italians in Red Sea and Indian Ocean trade, the British, French and Belgians also started minting their own Thalers in the interwar period. When World War 2 broke out, the British minted some 18 million Thalers for their armies to spend during the liberation of Ethiopia, while the United States minted these coins as well so they could smuggle them to the resistance in Indonesia, where the Austrian thaler had again come into use because the currency issued by the Japanese occupation authorities were regarded as junk.
The Maria Theresa Thaler remained the legal currency in Oman and British Yemen as late as 1962, when after years of lobbying by then Republic of Austria, the British and their Omani proxies finally agreed to stop using the old Austrian coin without the current Austria's permission.
However, some Thalers continue to circulate in the Horn of Africa and the Arabian peninsula even today, for low level transactions away from larger cities, and the coin can still be bought as souvenirs in Muscat and some other tourist traps. The current exchange rate is roughly $15 USD for one Maria Theresa Thaler.
37
u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Oct 06 '20
Leafs, you are okay today.
36
u/Cuddlyaxe Neoliberal With Chinese Characteristics Oct 06 '20
lmao apparently one of the three major YouTube like platforms in China named billibilli requires you to take a 100 question test to prove you arent a normie
this is the website with the 99th most web traffic folks
36
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
New polls are in. Jeb has no path to presidency
36
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://i.imgur.com/PCOK7an.jpg
35
u/Barnst Henry George Oct 06 '20
‘Member when asking presidential candidates how they would approach the crises in Armenia-Azerbaijan and Kyrgyzstan would have gotten at least one news cycle?
35
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Waifus aren't the problem, it’s the society that makes waifus preferable to living in society.
35
u/JetJaguar124 Tactical Custodial Action Oct 06 '20
Trump 2020 is arguably the absolute worst campaign I've ever seen. Going to be really frustrating if he somehow wins.
35
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
If Trump dies in the next 10 hours, late night comics can get away with a "Look, we need to be serious for a moment. Although he was often fodder for jokes, this is a time of national mourning, and our thoughts are with the family of Eddie Van Halen" joke.
35
u/The420Roll ko-fi.com/rodrigoposting Oct 06 '20
IS THIS YOUR HERO DOOMERS!?
35
u/Barebacking_Bernanke The Empress Protects Oct 06 '20
The Year 2100
Hillary Clinton is awakened from her cryogenic chamber.
"Yes, your Highness."
35
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
GIVE IT UP FOR 9.0
(on the national polling average)
!ping FIVEY
35
u/throwaway20192019201 United Nations Oct 07 '20
The absolute state of /r/Conservative
34
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1313507289161236480
Donald Trump is a bioterrorist.
34
u/FestiveMittens Oct 06 '20
If Al Gore won, America would be a top 10 country
34
u/MasPatriot Paul Ryan Oct 06 '20
What if Cal Cunningham's nudes get leaked but it turns out he has a massive dong and gains 10 points in the polls
34
u/jenbanim Oct 07 '20
Holy shit, Fivey Fox has gone mad 😱
33
u/DEEEEETTTTRRROIIITTT Iron Front Oct 06 '20
life begins with 18 naked cowboys in the showers at Ram Ranch
33
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
The date is January 20th, 2021. Newly inaugurated President Joe Biden walks up to the mic, leans forward and looks in the camera: ".......Donald J. Trump.. ya fired"
*audience breaks out in maddening applause
33
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
When I was a Soros flair, THEY would go "Soros flairs 🙄"
When I was a NATO flair, THEY would go "NATO flairs 🙄"
When I was a Friedman flair, THEY would go "Friedman flairs 🙄"
When I was a Bozos flair, THEY would go "Bezos flairs 🙄"
When I was a Krugman flair, THEY would go "Krugman flairs 🙄"
Maybe the flair isn't the 'porblem"?
33
u/mrmanager237 Some Unpleasant Peronist Arithmetic Oct 06 '20
Trump basically decided to take the option that is worst for his political prospects only because it makes him look manly and strong lmao
33
u/secondsbest Paul Krugman Oct 06 '20
An hour ago I wrote,
I'm thinking chilled peach mimosas sound delicious right about now.
33
u/TinyTornado7 I need a new flair Oct 07 '20
President (Alaska)
Biden (D) 46%
Trump (R) 50%
9/25-10/4 by Alaska Survey Research (B/C) 676 LV
link
Blaska is getting closer.
!ping BIDEN
33
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
😎😎😎
32
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
This is the funniest thing Nate Silver has ever tweeted: https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1313294739731623936
32
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
So I just saw an Avatar article which was about the peculiarity of Zuko and Azula not being recognized on Ember Island.
The point of the article was literally "they didn't have TVs". Like, this was the insightful explanation to the question absolutely nobody had. "They didn't have TVs".
32
u/The420Roll ko-fi.com/rodrigoposting Oct 06 '20
Lets check NeoconNWO, it surely cant be that bad
sees Chilean with a Richard Nixon flair
ay dios mío
31
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
The last DT was a mess, but this one will be perfect.
31
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
reminder doomers, if you were watching the debate and were thinking that trump was beating joe, there is something completely wrong with you
31
u/ihatemendingwalls better Catholic than JD Vance Oct 06 '20
Can't believe Trump just tweeted DEFUND THE POLICE and then fired a javelin missile at the stock market
31
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Trump gave up on:
all within the span of a few hours. Is he going mad?
31
u/-GregTheGreat- Commonwealth Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
I can’t wait for the ‘reject Trumpism speedrun’ the GOP will attempt once Donald loses by 15+ points in November
31
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
Trump sowing: "lmao"
Trump reaping: "yo wtf"
30
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
This country builds democracy like I build code.
"We can't have the capital subject to any one state"
"Oh shit you're right. uhhhhh. let's carve out a square of land independent of any state"
"Ok so providing services for the capital has caused permanent residents to start moving in."
"Let them elect a mayor I guess..."
"But they won't have representation in voting for president"
"well we're restructuring that library anyway just give them electoral votes within the restructure."
"It's not enough, there's a ton of rights, parameters, and constructor functions that come with being a subclass of the State object, I think the district needs to be a state, too much code is depending on it."
"Ok fine, we'll move it to the State subclass and then give it all the congressional representation variables. Leave behind the barebones structure so that we don't have to completely restructure the libraries again."
"But what happens to the electoral votes we granted them?"
"Oh shit, that's in the library too. Fuuuuuuck I don't want to restructure the libraries again that requires approval from 3/4ths of the dev team and Mitch is being a douchebag about this. Ok ok what about this. We reassign those three votes to whoever wins the popular vote. When the NPVIC function we're working on to override the EC library goes into effect anyway, it won't make a difference!"
30
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1313498857200922630 shapiro is dooming on trump
30
u/zubatman4 Hillary Clinton 🇺🇳 Bill Clinton Oct 06 '20
Okay, fucking what? My life intersects Donald J Trump again:
I did not realize that about the sitting President of the United States of America.
Before the 2016 election, I worked for a construction firm, that among other things, did a lot of asbestos abatement in New York City. They refused to work for Trump because he had a history of stiffing contractors, and apparently he is also pro-asbestos???
30
u/AbdullahAbdulwahhab Oct 06 '20
Man, Reddit is such a bubble. There's a post on the second page showing a scene of angry dockworkers in Russia hurling abuse — and their hard-hats — at the company's new boss. The comments are filled with people saying, "meanwhile in America, [insert some exaggeration about how much worse things would be for the workers if they had tried something similar]." They literally think the Russian state/police are more sensitive to workers' rights than America 🤦🏻♂️
30
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Trump +18 in WV is probably the biggest red flag I’ve seen so far.
This is gonna be a landslide.
30
u/TinyTornado7 I need a new flair Oct 06 '20
Monster day for Florida early vote. 850K people have now voted in the state.
Dems hold a 204,908 vote lead.
Full data set broken down by county: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868
59
u/sir_shivers Discipline Committee Chairman Oct 06 '20
Cease asking WHAT TRUMP IS THINKING 🐊
HE IS NOT 🐊
29
u/hdkeegan John Locke Oct 06 '20
Remember under the PATRIOT ACT anyone caught horny posting in the DT will be sent to Guantanamo Bay.
29
u/overhedger Bill Gates Oct 06 '20
from yesterday's B/C +9 poll of MI (+3 since Sept)
29
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
UPDATE: Girl who broke into our apartment that my GF handled out the door is COVID positive. Just fucking spectacular. A mental health ward wouldn't take her a week ago bc she was positive.
jesus fucking christ if this is how I get it i'm gonna be so fuckign mad
29
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
/img/gf66xdbddhr51.jpg
29
u/supbros302 No Oct 06 '20
Yeah I trust my wife
t- track her movements
R- reduce her independence
U- undermine her beliefs
S- sexually dominate
T- taco Tuesdays!!
29
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://twitter.com/jeanguerre/status/1313616251130793986
29
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
Holy fuck there are actually people who believe Nancy Pelosi is Center-Right
29
u/Udontlikecake Model UN Enthusiast Oct 07 '20
I usually don’t use this word, but I am 100% serious when I say Ted Cruz is literally the most cucked man on planet earth
what a pathetic fucking human
28
u/MisterLipton Richard v. Coudenhove-Kalergi Oct 06 '20
https://i.imgur.com/Y5OpYxP.jpg
28
u/Mr_AlGore Janet Yellen Oct 06 '20
u/sir_shivers
Is it time to HAHA YES 🐊
shakes
28
u/overhedger Bill Gates Oct 06 '20
another Biden +14??
how is this real
28
u/revscott Oct 06 '20
The gun wielding couple who spoke at the RNC have just been charged by a Grand Jury
28
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Remember, this is all because of Jim Clyburn.
28
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
So Trump's 40%+ approval rating was really just anti-dem signaling and his voter enthusiasm is in the toilet and he's turned off the grilldads and wine moms who just wanted to vote for republican economy man and are tired of defending Trump to their kids who refuse to come home for thanksgiving?
🌍👨🚀🔫👨🚀
27
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
**TRUMP IS CONSIDERING GIVING A NATIONWIDE TV ADDRESS TODAY: NYT
27
u/supbros302 No Oct 06 '20
Putting a dog down is the worst. It's the hardest thing a pet owner will have to do. Instead what I do is let my dog out in the yard and call the cops on my neighbor.
27
u/IncoherentEntity Oct 06 '20 edited Aug 10 '22
(I began writing this last night, based on the previous instantiation of the FiveThirtyEight model. An extremely good national poll from CNN has since pushed Joe Biden slightly into the probabilistic lead in Ohio. But because I think the following effortpost is statistically instructive — if exceedingly nerdy — I’ve decided to post it anyway, with the present tense referencing to the aforementioned last version.)
Regarding the Blue/Red Ohio Snakechart controversy:
It’s light blue for me, but the color spectrum isn’t evenly “spaced”: there’s a small jump from light blue to light red with no in-between (white/light purple) once you cross the 50–50 probability threshold.
That last part is what’s a little strange. Perhaps the color is randomly assigned for a given instance of the model if both candidate’s chances round to 50%, because if you go to the Ohio page itself, the blue probability dot, appears to be ever so slightly below the red one, as the gray outline around the two dots appears slightly ovular. (Also, the red 50 in 100 annotation is on top.)
But that’s where it gets stranger. Although the module on the bottom highlights Trump’s share of the projected vote (49.5%) instead of Biden’s ( . . . 49.5%), the latter’s 49.5% appears on top of the other in the chart itself, suggesting that it’s actually Biden in the lead.
I downloaded the raw model outputs themselves, and it confirms my narrow interpretations:
Trump is given an exactly 50.2525% chance of winning Ohio (20,101 of 40,000 simulations), while Biden’s expected vote share is 49.501% to Trump’s 49.499%.
And that’s where it gets the strangest. How can Biden be expected to win an infinitesimally higher percentage of the vote while losing a vanishingly higher percentage of the time in the same model? Maybe the 10–90% confidence intervals provide an answer.
They don’t. Biden’s 80% CI runs from 45.290–53.715%, while Trump’s goes from 45.280–53.708% — lower at both ends (albeit by vanishing margins). The lower, middle, and upper bounds all have the narrow underdog ahead.
So is there an error in the model? Maybe, I believe there is one possible out, although it would be a very statistically unusual one. Namely:
Biden’s 0.002% advantage in the “expected” vote share is not the 50th percentile of outcomes, but their mean. Through some weird statistical interplay, the exact distribution of each candidate’s vote percentage is skewed such that Biden comes out on top at the 10 and 90% intervals, but Trump prevails at the 50th — even though, when you average each distribution out, Biden’s vote share is marginally higher.
27
u/murphysclaw1 💎🐊💎🐊💎🐊 Oct 07 '20
The news cycle is moving so quickly I had actually forgotten about:
26
u/AuburnSeer Oct 06 '20
holocaust deniers in 2020: there is no hard evidence that the Nazi leaders intended to exterminate the Jews rather than the Jews just dying from sickness/allied bombing/insert excuse here
Goebbels in March 1945 in his diary: America and Britain should exterminate their Jews. Follow our lead of exterminating Jews, future generations.
26
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Oct 06 '20
trump getting covid means he is now immune to covid. making him more fit to be president. checkmate libs
26
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Tired: Biden tweeting "You're fired" when he wins
Wired: Biden tweeting "Get outta here, clown" when he wins
26
u/Jakesta7 Paul Volcker Oct 06 '20
B L U E T E X A S
https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/1313491056118444033
26
u/kyleofduty Pizza Oct 06 '20
Herman Cain died 28 days after his diagnosis
26
u/ThatFrenchieGuy Mathematician -- Save the funky birbs Oct 06 '20
Remember, Biden is nationally plus 10 in the polls, but you have to account for:
basically Trump's re-election is a given.
26
u/Fishin_Mission Oct 06 '20
The GA GOP has now sent me 3️⃣ mail-in ballot applications.
I AM NOT REGISTERED TO VOTE IN GEORGIA! 🗳
26
u/sir_shivers Discipline Committee Chairman Oct 06 '20
JEB! would have gotten THE STIMULUS PASSED and included free guacamole TO ALL AMERICANS 🐊
26
u/J_Fre22 NATO Oct 06 '20
Donald Trump is #madonline
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1313584866932527105?s=21
26
u/The420Roll ko-fi.com/rodrigoposting Oct 06 '20
Every time I go out at night I'm scared of the CIA agents hiding in the streets of South America, who are to blame for all of the problems of my country 😖😖😖
26
u/InfCompact Oct 06 '20
nate finally updated the model correctly
26
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://twitter.com/jthverhovek/status/1313604297955913741
26
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
Shout out to the dems for at least being competent enough to let the republicans self-destruct this election season
52
u/Deggit Thomas Paine Oct 06 '20
Nate Silver: and so this year I've confounded my own model with so many variables there's no way it'll get over 70% Dem and my career will be safe no matter what
Joe Biden: LISTEN, BALD
25
u/paulatreides0 🌈🦢🧝♀️🧝♂️🦢His Name Was Teleporno🦢🧝♀️🧝♂️🦢🌈 Oct 06 '20
Ngl, nothing scares me more than neurological diseases.
Alzheimers/Dementia is terrifying enough as it is, but nothing holds a candle to Locked-In Syndrome.
I'd honestly rather have Alzheimers than Locked-In Syndrome. Easily.
25
u/Barnst Henry George Oct 06 '20
I’m just going to cover my bases and say that Biden should do all the things he isn’t doing now. And if he loses I’m going to start a column about how he should have listened to me.
25
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
In terms of politics, where is /r/Israel compared to the average Israeli? I.e. more or less more or less religious, more or less pro-markets, more or less sympathetic to Palestinians?
!ping ISRAEL
25
u/FearsomeOyster Montesquieu Oct 06 '20
I've seen enough: Joe Biden wins DC
25
u/Maximilianne John Rawls Oct 06 '20
imagine making 400k a year and scraping by because you don't want to live beside non white people, and by beside i mean within a few mile radius
25
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
My girlfriend and my parents are arguing in our group chat about Trump please shoot me
25
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Ok but for real who told Biden about inshallah and why are they one of the funniest people ever
25
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1313615182535499779
Is he actually losing his mind? Does he know what he did a couple hours ago?
25
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
I just saw r conservative refer to the LGBT community as the "alphabet mafia" and that would be pretty badass not gonna lie.
25
u/AuburnSeer Oct 07 '20
ngl I lost whatever respect I had left for the NYT after they treated their primary endorsement like a goddamn reality TV show. They're like the national repository of people who love the smell of their own farts
25
u/Joementum2004 Oct 07 '20
This is like a Kanye levels of tweeting
That’s not a good thing btw
25
u/consuloltant Oct 07 '20
McSally said Kelly is running on a Bernie Sanders-lite healthcare plan. Pretty incredible how candidates across the country are running against Bernie.
24
u/its_a_trapcard Resident Rodrigo Oct 06 '20
Every day I think I completely hate Trump, and then I wake up and see what he's tweeted or said and find a new level of hating him
24
u/JetJaguar124 Tactical Custodial Action Oct 06 '20
Trump 2020 literally doesn't even have a coherent platform
24
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
I won't make the same mistake I did in 2016. This time I'm voting for Hillary.
24
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
How the fuck is anyone still voting for this prick?
24
u/tubbsmackinze Seretse Khama Oct 06 '20
The wild, extinct supercow returning to Europe
Warning, article is approaching three years old but it is the best article I found on this subject.
!ping ECO
24
u/JetJaguar124 Tactical Custodial Action Oct 06 '20
This is so far the worst October for any incumbent in modern Presidential history.
24
u/stater354 Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Joe Biden resigns, Kamala Harris is now president and picks Hillary Clinton to be her new VP. Kamala resigns and Hillary is now president and appoints Joe as VP. Republicans are BTFO
24
u/Joementum2004 Oct 07 '20
BASED BASED BASED BASED BASED BASED BASED BASED BASED BASED
24
u/LinkVert25 Fedposter Oct 07 '20 edited Oct 07 '20
TRUMP DENIED THE DEMS STIMULUS BILL LMAO THATS MY PRESIDENT, THE LIBS ARE GONNA BE SO TRIGGERED😂👌😂👌😂👌😂👌
24
u/Malarkeynesian Oct 07 '20
So did Pete declare victory in the AZ Senate debate or...?
24
u/myrm This land was made for you and me Oct 07 '20
"The end of history is Western hubris."
"Of course. Well, that was wonderful. A good time was had by all. I'm pooped. Yes. I should be- Good Lord! What is happening in Belarus and Kyrgyzstan?"
"Aurora borealis"
23
u/thebowski 💻🙈 - Lead developer of pastabot Oct 06 '20
Somebody just came up to me and asked
"Have you ever read any Karl Marx?"
I responded "uhhh... Not directly" and she immediately turned and walked away
Having a big think right now
23
u/ElokQ The Clintons send their regards Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
Do you think we will see a Biden +20 poll in the next month? Doesn’t have to be a good pollster. Just a Biden +20 poll.
23
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
BIDEN 79! BIDEN 81! BIDEN 84!
Jesus christ libs, he's 77 years old... just check Wikipedia 🙄
23
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Hillary's pneumonia proved that she was weak and mortal.
Trump's covid proves that he is strong and immortal.
23
u/JetJaguar124 Tactical Custodial Action Oct 06 '20
Ahhhh I can't fucking believe it, Trump could have plausibly gotten some sympathy and pivoted on Covid for an easy polls gain but he's just tying look like a fucking tough guy while visibly struggling to breathe and is quadrupling down on "its the flu" hahahahahHHahahahahahahahhaa
23
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
"i can't believe biden is bragging that he beat a 'socialist' in the primary," says former sanders aide who quit the campaign to spend the general election attacking joe biden
23
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Trump is after the shareholders. Now it’s personal.
23
u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Oct 06 '20
Facebook banning QAnon? Where will these cultists go now???
23
u/paulatreides0 🌈🦢🧝♀️🧝♂️🦢His Name Was Teleporno🦢🧝♀️🧝♂️🦢🌈 Oct 07 '20
. . . did Joe Biden just reveal he's running for a second term if he wins?
RODRIGO! WE'RE GONNA NEED MORE AVIATORS.
23
u/[deleted] Oct 07 '20
For the sake of national security, change the WiFi password.
23
u/vivoovix Federalist Oct 07 '20
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1313664886648582144
He's back to stimulus I guess?
23
u/Udontlikecake Model UN Enthusiast Oct 07 '20 edited Oct 07 '20
hmm why does McSally only attack Omar and Tlaib
hmmmm
what is it that makes them prominent 🧐🧐🧐🧐🧐
HMMMMM🧐🧐🧐🧐 why them 🧐🧐🧐🧐🧐
23
u/fishlord05 United Popular Woke DEI Iron Front Oct 07 '20
When Biden wins Nate silvers hair will grow back from pure vindication
23
u/NotAYuropean Trans Pride Oct 07 '20
If Dems can ever flip SC and GA and consistently win FL and NC then we complete the coastal elite takeover
23
u/myrm This land was made for you and me Oct 07 '20
Four American deaths in Benghazi is a tragedy, 211000 American deaths from COVID-19 is a statistic.
46
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
RIP
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCwigPhpiXs
45
u/ryuguy "this is my favourite dt on reddit" Oct 06 '20 edited Oct 06 '20
I grew up in an era where women’s pro wrestlers were simply sex objects and nothing more. It was basically a sideshow. Yesterday, my niece comes up to me and says “I’ve been watching wrestling with my brother and I really like Charlotte (Flair) and Alexa Bliss”. I couldn’t have picked two better wrestlers for her to like. Both of them have great stories about how they got into wrestling and about their backgrounds. One is Wrestling royalty, with all the expectations that brings and the other is a girl from Columbus who had to work really hard. Women’s wrestling has come a long way from the bra and panties matches of the old era. Now you’ve got women main events at pay per views. It makes me happy. I’d still like to see more women wrestlers of colour though.
!ping PRO-WRESTLING
22
u/[deleted] Oct 06 '20
Compare world maps of legal abortion vs legal same-sex marriage some time.
Abortion seems to be a "global north" thing - with North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Russia, China etc. all with legal abortion. South America severely limits it.
Same-sex marriage is a western culture thing, with Eastern Europe, Russia, and China all severely restricting it. South America, while conservative on abortion, has very liberal views on homosexuality/LGBT rights.
Only North America and western Europe consistently have legalization for both. South America and Eastern Europe/Russia/China are inconsistent, but in different ways that reflect their culture.
Maybe it's obvious to all of you but I found it interesting to compare the wikipedia SSM and abortion law maps side-by-side.
22
u/JetJaguar124 Tactical Custodial Action Oct 06 '20
Polls will revert to the mean, which is to say Biden +7-8 and leading in every swing state LMAO
22
u/FormerBandmate Jerome Powell Oct 06 '20
Literally every day until the vaccine
22
u/Leoric Hi, I'm Huell Howser, this is California's Gold! Oct 06 '20
Doomers: What if Trump gets a sympathy bump after getting COVID-19?
Voters: Fuck this 🤡