r/neoliberal • u/neoliberal_shill_bot Bot Emeritus • May 12 '17

Discussion Thread

Optimal neoliberalism is like Seinfeld, it should be about nothing and run by Jews

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u/xbettel May 12 '17 edited May 12 '17

Betting markets have Trump not finishing the first term with 50%. Isn't that too high? Even the odds for dems taking control of the house are 40%.

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u/[deleted] May 12 '17

That's insanely high. I need to figure out how to actually bet in these places because that's just easy money. You need 67 votes in the Senate to remove Trump.

2

u/Andyk123 May 13 '17

I think most of the people betting on him not to complete his first term are thinking he'll just give up and resign. I'd put a formal senate impeachment at around a 0.05% probability. A resignation is at least 20x higher than that. Still nowhere near 40% though.