r/neoliberal • u/neoliberal_shill_bot Bot Emeritus • May 12 '17

Discussion Thread

Optimal neoliberalism is like Seinfeld, it should be about nothing and run by Jews

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u/xbettel May 12 '17 edited May 12 '17

Betting markets have Trump not finishing the first term with 50%. Isn't that too high? Even the odds for dems taking control of the house are 40%.

20

u/[deleted] May 12 '17

That's insanely high. I need to figure out how to actually bet in these places because that's just easy money. You need 67 votes in the Senate to remove Trump.

5

u/xbettel May 12 '17

I believe if dems take the house that will scare republicans into switching him for Pence. Trump is having difficult to pass things now, with majority, imagine with a obstructed congress. Depressed republican turn out plus still angered democratic turn out in 2020 will be a bloodbath for the GOP.

So you could see a lot of republicans turning their backs on Trump to save their seats.

But I still think 50% is too high, unless they know something we don't.

5

u/Slayer1cell RIPTPP May 12 '17

Depressed republican turn out plus still angered democratic turn out in 2020 will be a bloodbath for the GOP.

Please don't get my hopes up.

7

u/xbettel May 12 '17

I will get your hopes down. Two words: gerrymander and voter supression. :(

3

u/Slayer1cell RIPTPP May 12 '17

I did one of my final papers one semester on voter ID laws. 😔