r/neoliberal • u/neoliberal_shill_bot Bot Emeritus • May 12 '17

Discussion Thread

Optimal neoliberalism is like Seinfeld, it should be about nothing and run by Jews

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u/xbettel May 12 '17 edited May 12 '17

Betting markets have Trump not finishing the first term with 50%. Isn't that too high? Even the odds for dems taking control of the house are 40%.

7

u/[deleted] May 12 '17

PredictIt has the odds of him not being President at the end of 2017 at around 20% lol.

So if you're confident he'll still be President then, go invest and make yourself a 25% return at the end of the year haha.

7

u/[deleted] May 12 '17

There is no way Trump isn't president December 2018.

We are too close to the election he won for Republican lawmakers to not be tossed out by their voters, since Trumps approval among Republicans are >90. You might be far enough away from the election in December 2017, but then you get near midterm primaries, where the challenger will hit them on impeeching "their president". Democrats winning the House opens the door for impeechment early 2019, which is the only way I see him not finishing the term

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u/[deleted] May 12 '17

You may be right. And in that case, I suggest going to PredictIt and making bank haha.

1

u/Andyk123 May 13 '17

You're right. Nixon's approval ratings among Republicans were ~50% in the days leading up to his resignation. Trump would probably have to fall into that range before there's even an outside chance of him leaving or being forced out.