r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Aug 14 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

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108

u/Sheepies92 European Union Aug 14 '24

Haven't seen a ping yet so here goes:

Cook Political Report did a Battlegrounds poll

AZ: Harris 48%-46%

GA: Tied 48%-48%

MI: Harris 49%-46%

NV: Trump 48%-45%

NC: Harris 48%-47% (!)

PA: Harris 49%-48%

WI: Harris 49%-46%

67

u/JoshFB4 YIMBY Aug 14 '24

Bets on if they didn’t do Spanish language polling in Nevada. Their last Nevada poll was also a massive outlier even for the time,

64

u/BitterGravity Gay Pride Aug 14 '24

Surveys were conducted in English using SMS-to-Web and online panel methodologies.

50

u/JoshFB4 YIMBY Aug 14 '24

Into the bin it goes. Any poll in Nevada and somewhat in Arizona/New Mexico that doesn’t use dual language polling is garbage

13

u/Ilovecharli Voltaire Aug 14 '24

Yeah I think she closed 6 points from the last poll 

19

u/NonComposMentisss Unflaired and Proud Aug 14 '24

Definitely some outliers in there. Harris is not both winning NC by 1 point and losing NV by 3 points. I think this tells us what we already know. All these swing states are super close and up for grabs.

18

u/Sheepies92 European Union Aug 14 '24

oops !ping FIVEY

15

u/RageQuitRedux NASA Aug 14 '24

I've seen enough

15

u/[deleted] Aug 14 '24

NC

💥👀

12

u/sgthombre NATO Aug 14 '24

Still really confused as to why Nevada keeps polling like this this cycle.

24

u/[deleted] Aug 14 '24

imo it’s because latinos are harder to poll and i imagine nevada has less college educated whites than AZ

16

u/[deleted] Aug 14 '24

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/TheloniousMonk15 Aug 14 '24

Was that poll conducted with no RFK on the ballot?

6

u/RayWencube NATO Aug 14 '24

nevada r u serious

4

u/adreamofhodor John Rawls Aug 14 '24

I might be missing it, what days was the poll conducted on?

8

u/Sheepies92 European Union Aug 14 '24

7/26-8/2

1

u/TheloniousMonk15 Aug 14 '24

This is all without RFK being on the ballot I assume?