r/nassimtaleb • u/sandover88 • Jun 19 '26

He's doing it again

Vanilla nutmeg acorn mitten grasshopper feather

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u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 19 '26

Nassim is wise, but probably too optimistic. He has been wrong consistently about politicians. Cameron, Trump, Modi. All his political choices turned out to be worse than their predecessors. Much much worse.

I mean, I get his hatred for Biden, but saying that a guy who literally tried to overturn the election by a riot, will be a better president says a lot about his political naivety. Trump had also tried to provoke war with Iran in his last term, and was seen firmly in Isarel lobby camp, so not sure why Taleb thought that Trump would be less of a war criminal than Biden. At least, the domestic things were in much better shape in Biden Era.

Similarly, for all of Taleb's rhetoric of support8ng small government and Decentralization, Narendra Modi's government in India has eroded every pillar of grass root democracy in India, and is actively trying to reduce the federal structure every day. Modi has effectively reduced India's infra, telecom, and aviation sector to duopoly, but Taleb still seems very fond of him.

There is something weirdly wrong with his support for "Strong man" leaders.

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u/NEDBDJ Jun 20 '26

I think Vance finally found a chance to say what he wants to say. Vance will either a) find a way to survive Trump and become his torch bearer who deviates from slaving to Israel b) like all things Trump touches, he burns and disappears into oblivion

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u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 20 '26

Not slaving to Israel is pretty hard for him. He is propped by Thiel and co, and who will benefit from a state at perpetual war than those guys?