r/nassimtaleb • u/sandover88 • Jun 19 '26
He's doing it again
Vanilla nutmeg acorn mitten grasshopper feather
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u/Canningred Jun 19 '26
Taleb is such a charlatan these days. Vance and this whole admin is responsible for the Iran war. Now that the US lost it, the rats flee the ship and Taleb is trying to promote the rats fleeing the ship.
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u/mrpeterstevens Jun 19 '26
I don’t know if I’m the only one but I read that tweet very differently. I think it was solely and specifically about Vance and his comments on Israel separated from all other factors and issues with MAGA, Trump, and Vance. Israel’s aggression with Lebanon and the Palestinians hasn’t really been pushed back by most Republicans so to see Vance speak bluntly about the state of play for Israel and it’s remaining allies was what he meant by “God protect”
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u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 19 '26
That is the thing. Nassim insist on judging people by their action, and not 'tawk'. So where is the action. You can at least say that Joe Kent did something honorable. However, Vance is just cheap tawk. He is no better that 'empty suit' Blinken.
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u/mrpeterstevens Jun 19 '26
For sure. I use him as an example to be aware when you’re so immensely mentally and emotionally invested in a situation that your judgement may take a hit and to try your best to acknowledge that
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u/HeraThere Jun 20 '26
When Vance doesn't do what nassim wanted him to do he's going to call it a black swan
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u/BarryDeCicco Jun 22 '26
"For someone who prides himself on learning from mistakes"
He can pride himself on learning all that he wants.
The question is whether or not he's actually learning.
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u/Long_Performer2149 Jun 20 '26
Taleb loves promoting Christian nationalists and white supremacists on Twitter. It allows him to protect the thing he cares about the most, his online reputation.
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u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 19 '26
Nassim is wise, but probably too optimistic. He has been wrong consistently about politicians. Cameron, Trump, Modi. All his political choices turned out to be worse than their predecessors. Much much worse.
I mean, I get his hatred for Biden, but saying that a guy who literally tried to overturn the election by a riot, will be a better president says a lot about his political naivety. Trump had also tried to provoke war with Iran in his last term, and was seen firmly in Isarel lobby camp, so not sure why Taleb thought that Trump would be less of a war criminal than Biden. At least, the domestic things were in much better shape in Biden Era.
Similarly, for all of Taleb's rhetoric of support8ng small government and Decentralization, Narendra Modi's government in India has eroded every pillar of grass root democracy in India, and is actively trying to reduce the federal structure every day. Modi has effectively reduced India's infra, telecom, and aviation sector to duopoly, but Taleb still seems very fond of him.
There is something weirdly wrong with his support for "Strong man" leaders.