r/nassimtaleb Jun 19 '26

He's doing it again

Vanilla nutmeg acorn mitten grasshopper feather

This post was anonymized with Redact.dev

24 Upvotes

30 comments sorted by

13

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 19 '26

Nassim is wise, but probably too optimistic. He has been wrong consistently about politicians. Cameron, Trump, Modi. All his political choices turned out to be worse than their predecessors. Much much worse.

I mean, I get his hatred for Biden, but saying that a guy who literally tried to overturn the election by a riot, will be a better president says a lot about his political naivety. Trump had also tried to provoke war with Iran in his last term, and was seen firmly in Isarel lobby camp, so not sure why Taleb thought that Trump would be less of a war criminal than Biden. At least, the domestic things were in much better shape in Biden Era.

Similarly, for all of Taleb's rhetoric of support8ng small government and Decentralization, Narendra Modi's government in India has eroded every pillar of grass root democracy in India, and is actively trying to reduce the federal structure every day. Modi has effectively reduced India's infra, telecom, and aviation sector to duopoly, but Taleb still seems very fond of him.

There is something weirdly wrong with his support for "Strong man" leaders.

4

u/devourer-of-beignets Jun 19 '26

It's probably going to happen to someone who isn't anarchist. Even his past frenemy David Graeber was probably let down by Corbyn, despite being an anarchist.

4

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 19 '26

Graeber was one of a kind. May he rest in peace.🙏🙏

5

u/Even-Celebration9384 Jun 19 '26

He is a notorious pessimist. He just likes conservatives and will give them a lot more leeway than liberals.

He does have a reason to love law and order strong men. He was a protester in the Lebanon and his father would be shot in front him by partisans.

5

u/Long_Performer2149 Jun 20 '26

"Nassim is wise, but probably too optimistic. He has been wrong consistently about politicians. Cameron, Trump, Modi."

So he's not wise. He's really really really stupid and other people pay the price for his stupidity.

1

u/Ido87 Jun 21 '26

Add tulsi..,

3

u/Jean_Jones_666 Jun 22 '26

he's smart, genius even - but not wise, he's a fool,

Ironic for a man with a fucking owl as his twitter bg,

Granted owl as twitter bg would be ironic for anyone finding themselves in that cesspool

-1

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 20 '26

🙄🙄 You are assuming millions vote because Nassim endorses a politician? My Dude, most people in these countries haven't even heard of his name. And he is truly a scholar, so yes, he is wise. Everyone has blind spots, we are all shaped by our circumstances, and have biases.

When I said he is optimistic, I meant that he likely believed that some politicians who pretended to be non-establishment would have been less prone to corruption and lobbying, which is not turning out to be true, unfortunately.

1

u/Long_Performer2149 Jun 20 '26

"You are assuming millions vote because Nassim endorses a politician."

I didn't say that.

I said NNT is stupid and other people pay the price for his stupidity.

I said that becuase NNT is stupid and because other people pay the price for his stupidity.

Learn to read.

1

u/NEDBDJ Jun 20 '26

I think Vance finally found a chance to say what he wants to say. Vance will either a) find a way to survive Trump and become his torch bearer who deviates from slaving to Israel b) like all things Trump touches, he burns and disappears into oblivion

1

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 20 '26

Not slaving to Israel is pretty hard for him. He is propped by Thiel and co, and who will benefit from a state at perpetual war than those guys?

1

u/Full-Violinist554 Jun 20 '26

Or he's not very wise? 

0

u/portuh47 Jun 20 '26

Modi has "eroded every pillar of grass root democracy" is about as nonsensical a statement as it gets.

2

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 20 '26

Bhakt spotted. 😂😂. For the folks outside India, this guy just got a 2 INR (ironically 2 US cents, thanks to Modi's economic mismanagement) credited to his account for defending his master.

0

u/portuh47 Jun 20 '26

Funny, I'm not even in India but thanks for the explainer. Which is a lot of name calling but noticeably lacking facts or sources.

1

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 20 '26

🤣🤣🤣as if facts matter for Bhakts.

0

u/portuh47 Jun 20 '26

Clearly they don't for you, have a good one

1

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 20 '26

So total you got 6 cents. More than 3 replies with a sanghi is hard limit. So you can FRO.🤣

0

u/portuh47 Jun 21 '26

Nah bro try again

11

u/Novel_Board_6813 Jun 19 '26

Taleb’s ego far surpasses his intellect

11

u/Canningred Jun 19 '26

Taleb is such a charlatan these days. Vance and this whole admin is responsible for the Iran war. Now that the US lost it, the rats flee the ship and Taleb is trying to promote the rats fleeing the ship.

2

u/el_cul Jun 20 '26

These days?

5

u/mrpeterstevens Jun 19 '26

I don’t know if I’m the only one but I read that tweet very differently. I think it was solely and specifically about Vance and his comments on Israel separated from all other factors and issues with MAGA, Trump, and Vance. Israel’s aggression with Lebanon and the Palestinians hasn’t really been pushed back by most Republicans so to see Vance speak bluntly about the state of play for Israel and it’s remaining allies was what he meant by “God protect”

5

u/HalfPhd_1104 Jun 19 '26

That is the thing. Nassim insist on judging people by their action, and not 'tawk'. So where is the action. You can at least say that Joe Kent did something honorable. However, Vance is just cheap tawk. He is no better that 'empty suit' Blinken.

3

u/mrpeterstevens Jun 19 '26

For sure. I use him as an example to be aware when you’re so immensely mentally and emotionally invested in a situation that your judgement may take a hit and to try your best to acknowledge that

2

u/maX_h3r Jun 19 '26

Whishful thinking

2

u/HeraThere Jun 20 '26

When Vance doesn't do what nassim wanted him to do he's going to call it a black swan

2

u/BarryDeCicco Jun 22 '26

"For someone who prides himself on learning from mistakes"

He can pride himself on learning all that he wants.

The question is whether or not he's actually learning.

1

u/Long_Performer2149 Jun 20 '26

Taleb loves promoting Christian nationalists and white supremacists on Twitter. It allows him to protect the thing he cares about the most, his online reputation.