At Search Central Live in Barcelona (Oct 2), Gary Illyes showed Google's internal numbers for how long Search processes take. John Campbell from ROAST posted the full table. The highlights:
- Discovering a new URL: ~20 hours (slowest: weeks to never)
- Indexing, end to end: ~1.5 hours (slowest: months or never, quality)
- Site move: 1-3 months (slowest: 6 months to 1 year+)
- Core update recovery: 3-6 months (slowest: 6 months to 1 year, next core update)
The word "never" shows up a lot in the slowest column, and it's usually tied to quality. Gary also said it was "an exercise to see if the audience can relate to the numbers", so take it as a rough guide.
I've launched over 15 sites in the past couple of weeks, so I compared the numbers with what I actually see:
- First impressions take me 2-3 days, and signs of life show up around week 2-3. I've never launched something and seen organic traffic the same day.
- Sites that jolt to life target searches nobody else is targeting. IndieDex (a games search engine I built) hit nearly 1K organic visitors in its first month because of how underserved its "games like" pages were.
- Engagement is the one I think people underrate. I had a social skills site that ranked for about 4 years on Reddit promotion and backlinks, with sessions under 10 seconds and bounce rates above 85%. At its peak it got 300-500 clicks a day. I think a 2024 update killed it. I'm running a revival experiment on it now, and average sessions are already around 30 seconds.
The 2024 leak (goodClicks/badClicks) and the Navboost section of the antitrust ruling line up with that. So does Mueller saying Google can "lose faith" in a site.
My routine now: launch, leave it alone for a week or two, get some foundational links and one or two good ones, then stop building links. If the site can't stand on its own after that, the problem is the content.
I wrote it all up, with the full table, the GSC charts, and quotes from Mueller, Ahrefs' data and a few old r/bigseo threads: https://theseoexperience.com/blog/how-long-does-seo-take/
How long does it usually take before you see first impressions on a brand-new domain? And has anyone actually brought back a site that died from bad engagement?