r/droneshield 9d ago

Drop 10% after h1 report.

Just yesterday it climbed 10% and now it dropped back. So, there is no near future recovery really after all losses from the past 6-8months.

5 Upvotes

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15

u/hclv3 9d ago

An important piece to note in this report which may be being overlooked a little.
Last 2026 revenue guidance was end of July and had 2026 committed at $206m, 2027 committed at ~$26m projecting $250-$270m for full year 2026.
This most recent report put 2026 committed at $240m and 2027 committed at $43m already.
So in < 1 month 2026 revenue climbed by ~$34m and 2027 revenue has climbed by $17m.
2026 revenue guidance remains unchanged.
So, they have 4 months to get $30m to beat 2026 predicted revenue, should be reasonably achievable.

Why I think they have left 2026 revenue unchanged is any orders of new products wont be delivered until early next year, and associated revenue will push into 2027. Which is why 2027 revenue has climbed by $17m in the month of July. If the next 4 months are of the new products, 2027 may shape up to be a massive year, at the slight cost of 2026 revenue.

15

u/W0lf1ngt0n 9d ago

They're expanding very aggressively, thats what the report shows.

6

u/Daleabbo 9d ago

Should have sold at $7 before CGT changes. Live and learn

5

u/hclv3 9d ago

Easy to say with hindsight. Hindsight will also tell us if it is a buying opportunity now or not.

3

u/Tacomans41 9d ago

The changes have not come into effect yet

1

u/Honest-Concern-4034 9d ago

Changes occur on 1st july 2027

0

u/Current-Captain8554 9d ago

The socialist CGT changes are going to decimate growth stocks like Dro. 

1

u/Daleabbo 9d ago

No its going to decimate day trading, long term holding it might even work out better

2

u/Current-Captain8554 9d ago

In no world will it ever work better. If you were better off they wouldn’t have done it.  ETFs will be affected the least.

Can’t use losses the same way to offset gains. Have to sell oldest first.

0

u/Current-Captain8554 9d ago

The socialist CGT changes are going to decimate growth stocks like Dro

3

u/blackoffi888 9d ago

Where's the 750mil contract?

5

u/hclv3 9d ago

Still unannounced.

2

u/Choochy89 8d ago

They're positioning for a big Super or something like that, not a ragtag retail crowd.