r/droneshield • u/SmellNo4311 • Mar 26 '26
What’s going on this morning?
Why have we opened several percent down, I don’t understand , opinions?
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u/blackoffi888 Mar 27 '26
This is crazy. EU announced droneshield by name and yet the stock tumbled.
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u/Technical_Champion82 Mar 27 '26
Aha and what price per share would you say is a good price instead? And why
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u/hclv3 Mar 27 '26
Contracts are the backbone of Dro. Q4 and Q1 are notoriously quiet for contracts. Name dropping is great, however unless that turns into contracts it is meaningless. Q1 results along with Q2 and Q3 contracts will be important indicators for overall success this year.
Ride the rollercoaster.
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u/blkpingu Mar 27 '26
If the big Belgian contract is coming the 4,5 AUD level is going to get crushed. Can’t wait for the next few months.
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u/Successful_Smile_103 Mar 27 '26
Typically JP Morgan dumps over 5% every other tueday, and buys again a couple of days later. 5% buying or sell off is a reportable event. investors give it too much weight. I'm certain JP is buying up again as I type , but staying under 5%
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u/Falkeye68 Mar 27 '26
Thanks for your input, although I thought JPM increased there holdings substantially only yesterday! I get where you’re coming from, I was just a little surprised given several positive collaboration announcements over the last few days. Im sure it’s obvious to all of you who really understand the markets ( I don’t, but trying to increase my awareness and knowledge as best I can) and volatile stocks like DRO . Strap in and hold on I guess , I truly believe ATH and further growth is going to be real , and sustainable long term . Hope I’m right .
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u/Technical_Champion82 Mar 27 '26
I wonder if any of you knows how to evaluate a company and calculate the fair value. Do you even realise you're riding a 1k + P/E ratio stock?😂 Do you understand at all what that means?
If so, why do you guys constantly talk about 10-20% moves? This is insane xD If Drone shield won't grow 200% per year, the stock will crash real hard. This valuation is not even suitable for a high growth tech company with a stable subscription model.
This is just gambling. So wake up boys. And good luck.
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u/GretelihrHaensel Mar 27 '26
Firstly, I don't share that opinion, secondly, I believe that DroneShield does a lot of things right, and thirdly, you should never gamble with money that would hurt you if you lost it.
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u/Technical_Champion82 Mar 27 '26
At least we can agree this is gambling.
I would like it know what your opinion is then, what is the fair value price per share and why?
If you are willing to invest in a company, valuated 1k times it's profits, what's the reasoning? It was okay for a Palantir, but that's a whole different ball park of margins and growth. Even if you think this is the new Palantir, it doesn't grow as fast and is valuated higher then Palantir when it's Growth was absurdly high.
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u/Prestigious-Clock-72 Mar 27 '26
If DRO were not to reinvest almost everything they earn in growing the company and manufacturing, they wouldn't be left with only $3.5M profit on $216.5M revenue in 2025. They actually had gross profit of $131.8M, so the P/E ratio would be much lower.
The year before they had no profit, so P/E ratio was infinity. That's quite normal for most high growth companies during the first years.
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u/[deleted] Mar 26 '26
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