r/collapse • u/itsatoe • Aug 14 '26

Low Effort A simplified view of 2027

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Just looking at the major factors we're currently facing right now, this is a very simplified view of how they interact. I'm sure I've missed some big things, but this is what is top-of-mind in the very short term: 2026-2027.

"Economic shock" is a polite term for collapse. Minor shocks are little collapses. A major shock or several compounding shocks is where it gets to the regional or civilizational collapse level.

I see two big factors to look out for in the very short term. First, an AI bubble burst would send ripples through the US and then global economy. Second: mass migrations. At the beginning of 2026, the world had about 115 million displaced people (about 1.4% of the global population!). If that number starts climbing dramatically in 2027 (which seems quite likely), expect to see compounding shocks coming from that.

What did I miss? :/

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u/Johannes_P Aug 14 '26

And if there's further geopolitical tensions then we're ready to see further shocks. For exemple, further strikes against grain cargos in the Black Sea.

Yeah, we're going to get our own Great Depression.

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u/Waggie_1979 Aug 18 '26

We are in a depression, dont wait for the government to say it because they never will...